Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: SHG (-1.5) vs GAM Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe78b8ba4df9e69e84ed30fed64b6fa90097e28463b4ddf83a0e423dc51e07d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GAM Esportsof Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming, GAM Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,653
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,164
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,653 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19b5…c0aebacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 28c | 4,083$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.03 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked GAM Esports | 72c | 2,771$1,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.97 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed GAM Esports | 77c | 2,028$1,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.42 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -27.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b50…1db2backed GAM Esports | 77c | 906.24$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.44 | 64 | 14.1%9 W · 55 L | -16.9wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…e6ffbacked GAM Esports | 72c | 675.28$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.34 | 159 | 50.9%81 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed GAM Esports | 72c | 611.48$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.97 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…f510backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 28c | 496.56$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.65 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed GAM Esports | 72c | 448$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.44 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f90…6269backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 31c | 328.89$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.72 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 28c | 160.71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 295 | 54.2%160 W · 135 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f0…9384backed GAM Esports | 71c | 154.93$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55dd…8a83backed GAM Esports | 72c | 132.5$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7be8…0f50backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 28c | 105.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed GAM Esports | 77c | 60.75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed GAM Esports | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed GAM Esports | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…5753backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 28c | 39.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked GAM Esports | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 238 | 80.3%191 W · 47 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: SHG (-1.5) vs GAM Esports (+1.5)this page
- Game Handicap: GAM (-1.5) vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (+1.5)GAM Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs GAM Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Asia-Pacific Qualifier PlayoffsGAM Esports won
- LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs GAM Esports - Game 1 WinnerGAM Esports won
- LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs GAM Esports - Game 2 WinnerGAM Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.