Lol · resolved market
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs GAM Esports - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0256f18dde6808369e832de8a319fc297feae374ca0617d5c822b0458745cc24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GAM Esportsof Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming, GAM Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,639
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,062
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,639 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 6c | 1,758$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.58 | 1,265 | 42.8%541 W · 724 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 10c | 1,336$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.77 | 1,474 | 29%427 W · 1,047 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed GAM Esports | 59c | 1,045$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.55 | 2,178 | 53.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L | +61.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 41c | 1,038$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.37 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0159…db47backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 26c | 602.75$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.72 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed GAM Esports | 74c | 597.28$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.29 | 869 | 43.2%375 W · 494 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked GAM Esports | 57c | 122.89$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.89 | 494 | 51.8%256 W · 238 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 44c | 116.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.47 | 2,240 | 37.3%836 W · 1,404 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f90…6269backed GAM Esports | 56c | 107.27$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.3 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 48c | 104$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 1,939 | 42.2%819 W · 1,120 L | -46.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 11c | 96.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 1,608 | 17.5%282 W · 1,326 L | -245.3wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 41c | 86.77$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.92 | 2,984 | 44.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L | -94.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…1438backed GAM Esports | 56c | 78.32$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.46 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59aa…3376backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 72c | 69.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,136 | 43.2%491 W · 645 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 38c | 36.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 1,852 | 39.8%738 W · 1,114 L | -64.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed GAM Esports | 62c | 36.58$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 1,577 | 48.4%764 W · 813 L | +17.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf9…dde4backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 52c | 34.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 131 | 56.5%74 W · 57 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed GAM Esports | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 411 | 56.7%233 W · 178 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe275…2450backed GAM Esports | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 51c | 25.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 1,343 | 49%658 W · 685 L | -26.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed GAM Esports | 49c | 24.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs GAM Esports - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: GAM (-1.5) vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (+1.5)GAM Esports won
- Game Handicap: SHG (-1.5) vs GAM Esports (+1.5)GAM Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs GAM Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Asia-Pacific Qualifier PlayoffsGAM Esports won
- LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs GAM Esports - Game 2 WinnerGAM Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.