Tennis · resolved market
ITF M15 Mistelbach Men: Nikita Mashtakov vs Marcel Zielinski
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4d56c3852432917ca67c1cb69df54ffa1d12297b60b7354398152b83b9906d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nikita Mashtakovof Nikita Mashtakov, Marcel Zielinski
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,181
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,240
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,181 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Marcel Zielinski | 49c | 1,500$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.5 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Nikita Mashtakov | 56c | 1,268$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.12 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1a…bbb8backed Nikita Mashtakov | 35c | 777.18$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.7 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Marcel Zielinski | 46c | 599.99$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Marcel Zielinski | 53c | 593.08$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.63 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nikita Mashtakov | 52c | 496.68$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.59 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Nikita Mashtakov | 33c | 445.99$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.88 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Nikita Mashtakov | 51c | 405.25$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.52 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Nikita Mashtakov | 39c | 401.17$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.95 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Nikita Mashtakov | 39c | 354.52$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.26 | 648 | 37.5%243 W · 405 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…9035backed Marcel Zielinski | 48c | 314.81$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 307 | 55%169 W · 138 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdccf…faeabacked Marcel Zielinski | 40c | 288.38$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.46 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Nikita Mashtakov | 56c | 287.87$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.63 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x911f…7e46backed Nikita Mashtakov | 36c | 280.5$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.52 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9b…1e2abacked Marcel Zielinski | 74c | 270$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Nikita Mashtakov | 55c | 269.09$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.27 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882e…e0a1backed Marcel Zielinski | 74c | 247.74$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.07 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | -11.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nikita Mashtakov | 61c | 231.57$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.67 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Marcel Zielinski | 52c | 229.41$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 643 | 50.2%323 W · 320 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…ecf5backed Nikita Mashtakov | 47c | 204$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.12 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Nikita Mashtakov | 45c | 147.29$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.51 | 853 | 48.9%417 W · 436 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5698…4a0fbacked Marcel Zielinski | 9c | 121.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 27 | 3.7%1 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Nikita Mashtakov | 60c | 116$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.48 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Nikita Mashtakov | 58c | 112.07$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.07 | 182 | 58.8%107 W · 75 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe89c…9c72backed Nikita Mashtakov | 36c | 110.1$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.38 | 430 | 54.9%236 W · 194 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Marcel Zielinski | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 394 | 51.8%204 W · 190 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Marcel Zielinski | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Marcel Zielinski | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…6a10backed Marcel Zielinski | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 285 | 57.9%165 W · 120 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…c00fbacked Marcel Zielinski | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Nikita Mashtakov | 53c | 105.1$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.81 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Marcel Zielinski | 47c | 101.06$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Nikita Mashtakov | 48c | 86.36$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.91 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…da3bbacked Marcel Zielinski | 40c | 71.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 274 | 48.5%133 W · 141 L | +24.3wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Marcel Zielinski | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Marcel Zielinski | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37a6…6684backed Nikita Mashtakov | 19c | 60$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 95 | 64.2%61 W · 34 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Nikita Mashtakov | 41c | 58.62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.73 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nikita Mashtakov | 66c | 49.61$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Marcel Zielinski | 22c | 45.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc02…ce2abacked Nikita Mashtakov | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 215 | 72.6%156 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfd…e3fcbacked Nikita Mashtakov | 54c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.24per pick | 55cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Marcel Zielinski | 60c | 36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Marcel Zielinski | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8468…3860backed Marcel Zielinski | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 242 | 31%75 W · 167 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Nikita Mashtakov | 51c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55dd…8a83backed Nikita Mashtakov | 59c | 27.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Nikita Mashtakov | 50c | 25.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ac…c148backed Nikita Mashtakov | 58c | 23.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ad…5097backed Nikita Mashtakov | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 268 | 68.3%183 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…fc25backed Nikita Mashtakov | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF M15 Mistelbach Men: Nikita Mashtakov vs Marcel Zielinskithis page
- ITF M15 Mistelbach Men: Completed Match: Nikita Mashtakov vs Marcel ZielinskiYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.