Tennis · resolved market
ITF M15 Krakow Men: Michael Agwi vs Wojciech Marek
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d41cf7af756158c6e19f2e278a58656b8479f03dd02a887963fc647683189bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Michael Agwiof Michael Agwi, Wojciech Marek
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,638
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,440
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,638 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Wojciech Marek | 34c | 8,000$2,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,719.94 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Michael Agwi | 52c | 4,839$2,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,325.69 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Wojciech Marek | 39c | 4,681$1,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,847.8 | 361 | 45.2%163 W · 198 L | -19.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…4b92backed Michael Agwi | 27c | 1,413$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.79 | 106 | 38.7%41 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Michael Agwi | 40c | 1,199$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.82 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Michael Agwi | 41c | 1,143$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.18 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Michael Agwi | 29c | 802.04$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.02 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Michael Agwi | 33c | 756.86$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.61 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Michael Agwi | 64c | 664.78$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.36 | 648 | 37.5%243 W · 405 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Michael Agwi | 63c | 624.97$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.73 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Michael Agwi | 40c | 624.05$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.41 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8546…35b8backed Michael Agwi | 66c | 571.69$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.37 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c99…8b23backed Michael Agwi | 64c | 466.34$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.34 | 161 | 60.2%97 W · 64 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Michael Agwi | 62c | 460.38$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.14 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Michael Agwi | 66c | 388$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.92 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Wojciech Marek | 35c | 385.07$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.03 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf98d…384ebacked Michael Agwi | 79c | 368.74$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.61 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Wojciech Marek | 21c | 366.55$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.98 | 922 | 37.4%345 W · 577 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d7…2485backed Wojciech Marek | 70c | 340.51$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.05 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Wojciech Marek | 30c | 317.55$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.76 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…0f79backed Wojciech Marek | 53c | 317.43$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.79 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -17.3wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc07b…6ee4backed Wojciech Marek | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8468…3860backed Michael Agwi | 67c | 184.42$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.42 | 242 | 31%75 W · 167 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Michael Agwi | 35c | 144.37$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.66 | 910 | 51%464 W · 446 L | +23.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2d…72f9backed Wojciech Marek | 69c | 136.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.89 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x568e…40bcbacked Wojciech Marek | 73c | 131.63$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.61 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Michael Agwi | 66c | 127.38$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.31 | 341 | 49.9%170 W · 171 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc611…cc2ebacked Michael Agwi | 55c | 125.7$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.89 | 94 | 53.2%50 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aca…e738backed Michael Agwi | 37c | 116.72$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.63 | 118 | 61%72 W · 46 L | +10.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe014…b336backed Wojciech Marek | 64c | 103.56$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.77 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd072…95e8backed Michael Agwi | 57c | 100.74$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.32 | 248 | 51.2%127 W · 121 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked Michael Agwi | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3e…b9c5backed Michael Agwi | 73c | 99.03$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 355 | 58.6%208 W · 147 L | +19.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…32b5backed Michael Agwi | 45c | 97.07$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.39 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Michael Agwi | 71c | 95.38$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.87 | 165 | 61.2%101 W · 64 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Michael Agwi | 66c | 95.08$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.18 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad1…b4c5backed Michael Agwi | 66c | 77.58$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Michael Agwi | 47c | 75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 636 | 48%305 W · 331 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Wojciech Marek | 52c | 73.88$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.05 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde9…7d86backed Wojciech Marek | 25c | 70.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e8…c60ebacked Michael Agwi | 51c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 374 | 60.4%226 W · 148 L | +29.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…cec8backed Michael Agwi | 29c | 67.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.54 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6c…5679backed Wojciech Marek | 64c | 65.32$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.66 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5a…d0f0backed Michael Agwi | 41c | 64.05$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.52 | 461 | 55.3%255 W · 206 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Michael Agwi | 66c | 62.59$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Michael Agwi | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f4…6794backed Michael Agwi | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 369 | 54.2%200 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe37…33bebacked Wojciech Marek | 68c | 58.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.77 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Michael Agwi | 32c | 52.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 853 | 48.9%417 W · 436 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0b…c814backed Michael Agwi | 75c | 48.86$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd32e…b577backed Michael Agwi | 75c | 46.94$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 397 | 59.4%236 W · 161 L | +26.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8558…8615backed Michael Agwi | 74c | 43.34$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 311 | 64.3%200 W · 111 L | +36.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Michael Agwi | 32c | 41.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.34 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Michael Agwi | 61c | 41.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581e…5d85backed Michael Agwi | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x504e…7ad9backed Wojciech Marek | 66c | 35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4f…000ebacked Michael Agwi | 60c | 34.26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x586c…8ad1backed Michael Agwi | 48c | 33.46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77e6…0ae1backed Michael Agwi | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 158 | 64.6%102 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…05a6backed Michael Agwi | 66c | 28.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55dd…8a83backed Wojciech Marek | 56c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd9…2c1dbacked Michael Agwi | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Michael Agwi | 65c | 19.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 821 | 59.4%488 W · 333 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97de…27d1backed Michael Agwi | 62c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…e711backed Wojciech Marek | 75c | 17.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF M15 Krakow Men: Michael Agwi vs Wojciech Marekthis page
- ITF M15 Krakow Men: Completed Match: Michael Agwi vs Wojciech MarekYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.