Tennis · resolved market
Roehampton 2: Tiago Cacao vs Fabrizio Andaloro
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae6f3afbe34f6bcfabc28c8ca6c75d001d635d0279974bb75cfdfdbcb776be34
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fabrizio Andaloroof Tiago Cacao, Fabrizio Andaloro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,667
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,578
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,667 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tiago Cacao | 1c | 4,605$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.05 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccc…77abbacked Fabrizio Andaloro | 53c | 4,502$2,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,117.32 | 258 | 54.3%140 W · 118 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Tiago Cacao | 16c | 2,481$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.16 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tiago Cacao | 25c | 2,190$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.42 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x085b…97dabacked Fabrizio Andaloro | 58c | 2,101$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.29 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Tiago Cacao | 51c | 1,688$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.72 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Tiago Cacao | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f35…95dabacked Tiago Cacao | 23c | 1,105$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.15 | 453 | 43.9%199 W · 254 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Tiago Cacao | 18c | 1,067$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.06 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Tiago Cacao | 4c | 978.95$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.24 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Tiago Cacao | 10c | 933.51$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.86 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d26…f4f8backed Tiago Cacao | 1c | 892.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 86 | 16.3%14 W · 72 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Tiago Cacao | 5c | 876.91$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.55 | 648 | 37.5%243 W · 405 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Tiago Cacao | 47c | 661.23$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.09 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…0724backed Tiago Cacao | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 702 | 54.4%382 W · 320 L | +40.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Tiago Cacao | 44c | 599.99$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.5 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb2…1bfcbacked Tiago Cacao | 23c | 525.81$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.94 | 280 | 55.4%155 W · 125 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Tiago Cacao | 42c | 374.77$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 369 | 46.9%173 W · 196 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Tiago Cacao | 11c | 333.05$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.31 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Fabrizio Andaloro | 56c | 305$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.2 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Fabrizio Andaloro | 71c | 290$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.81 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Fabrizio Andaloro | 70c | 255.83$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.83 | 182 | 58.8%107 W · 75 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed2f…5e19backed Fabrizio Andaloro | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x911f…7e46backed Fabrizio Andaloro | 80c | 247.5$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Tiago Cacao | 48c | 225$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2938…235fbacked Tiago Cacao | 51c | 206.84$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.49 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Tiago Cacao | 37c | 179.62$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.79 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed Fabrizio Andaloro | 58c | 169.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.39 | 470 | 58.5%275 W · 195 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Tiago Cacao | 43c | 157.92$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.13 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed Fabrizio Andaloro | 56c | 141.07$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.07 | 244 | 46.3%113 W · 131 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Tiago Cacao | 37c | 135.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Fabrizio Andaloro | 80c | 133.13$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.63 | 455 | 66.4%302 W · 153 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Tiago Cacao | 36c | 126.5$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Tiago Cacao | 36c | 126.5$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cdd…db30backed Tiago Cacao | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 187 | 24.6%46 W · 141 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Fabrizio Andaloro | 79c | 122.54$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.26 | 443 | 49%217 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Tiago Cacao | 47c | 111.08$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.59 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Tiago Cacao | 27c | 109.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Tiago Cacao | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Tiago Cacao | 42c | 92.14$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 552 | 41.3%228 W · 324 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x572b…83dbbacked Tiago Cacao | 24c | 91.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…da3bbacked Fabrizio Andaloro | 69c | 87.28$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.39 | 274 | 48.5%133 W · 141 L | +24.3wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Tiago Cacao | 44c | 72.59$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.94 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Fabrizio Andaloro | 61c | 63.89$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 447 | 29.3%131 W · 316 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Fabrizio Andaloro | 70c | 61.04$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Tiago Cacao | 42c | 58.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Tiago Cacao | 20c | 57.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8495…df87backed Fabrizio Andaloro | 71c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 102 | 66.7%68 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Fabrizio Andaloro | 68c | 49.92$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 736 | 48.1%354 W · 382 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Fabrizio Andaloro | 73c | 49.5$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Fabrizio Andaloro | 50c | 49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd7…1735backed Fabrizio Andaloro | 57c | 43.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 139 | 66.2%92 W · 47 L | +15.5wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x55dd…8a83backed Fabrizio Andaloro | 67c | 40.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7475…fc7ebacked Fabrizio Andaloro | 55c | 40.92$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.41 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Tiago Cacao | 50c | 39.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28d8…be44backed Fabrizio Andaloro | 76c | 38.31$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3057…b550backed Tiago Cacao | 42c | 38.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf40e…9addbacked Fabrizio Andaloro | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 386 | 64%247 W · 139 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Fabrizio Andaloro | 60c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Fabrizio Andaloro | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Fabrizio Andaloro | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 690 | 47%324 W · 366 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Tiago Cacao | 45c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Tiago Cacao | 46c | 21.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Fabrizio Andaloro | 76c | 19.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Fabrizio Andaloro | 70c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 621 | 40.7%253 W · 368 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.