CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: 33 (-1.5) vs HyperSpirit (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2185f033de3835018035f6f2937a2fbe758448acce302735fad0da707f79866b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BET-M 33of BET-M 33, HyperSpirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,737
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,830
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,737 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed BET-M 33 | 44c | 2,142$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.61 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked BET-M 33 | 49c | 2,051$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.58 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked HyperSpirit | 54c | 1,939$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.22 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf84d…8830backed BET-M 33 | 45c | 1,200$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +7.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcefd…d6aabacked HyperSpirit | 54c | 1,015$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.5 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…6815backed HyperSpirit | 55c | 840$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed BET-M 33 | 48c | 833.32$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.33 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24a…8382backed HyperSpirit | 52c | 763.24$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.88 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed BET-M 33 | 49c | 615.37$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.59 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked HyperSpirit | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed HyperSpirit | 52c | 400.3$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.55 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked HyperSpirit | 58c | 391.38$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed BET-M 33 | 48c | 385$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.2 | 740 | 54.6%404 W · 336 L | +15.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e7…a100backed HyperSpirit | 50c | 367.32$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.88 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x920a…29e0backed HyperSpirit | 54c | 296.12$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.09 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed BET-M 33 | 52c | 262.38$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.62 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43c2…30d3backed HyperSpirit | 51c | 221$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83e0…82abbacked HyperSpirit | 51c | 215.33$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed HyperSpirit | 54c | 195$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.3 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02cf…813cbacked HyperSpirit | 55c | 194.4$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed BET-M 33 | 48c | 179.72$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.45 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3187…f61abacked BET-M 33 | 40c | 179.49$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked HyperSpirit | 50c | 168$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.9 | 345 | 42.3%146 W · 199 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef5…e9acbacked HyperSpirit | 52c | 167.64$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.45 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83c4…3212backed HyperSpirit | 60c | 166.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 317 | 61.2%194 W · 123 L | +22.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d3…bab9backed HyperSpirit | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.9 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…b792backed HyperSpirit | 54c | 144.34$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.94 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e18…872ebacked BET-M 33 | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +7.6wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbe04…1481backed HyperSpirit | 51c | 96.08$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b1…8e7dbacked HyperSpirit | 51c | 77.08$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.31 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8f…2aeebacked HyperSpirit | 46c | 73.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.17 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -5.8wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b23…6b2bbacked BET-M 33 | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69d2…a218backed HyperSpirit | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xece0…7dc9backed BET-M 33 | 47c | 53.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9c…fd70backed HyperSpirit | 51c | 52.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda29…f4b8backed BET-M 33 | 65c | 42.85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1c…35c6backed HyperSpirit | 55c | 42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked HyperSpirit | 26c | 41.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked BET-M 33 | 47c | 41.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.03 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +10.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed BET-M 33 | 46c | 38.84$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.97 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2d…b69dbacked BET-M 33 | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…91a0backed HyperSpirit | 53c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed HyperSpirit | 53c | 32.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 217 | 50.7%110 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked BET-M 33 | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked BET-M 33 | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2a…0fdbbacked HyperSpirit | 51c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55dd…8a83backed HyperSpirit | 55c | 23.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf1…3018backed HyperSpirit | 49c | 23.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x183b…b6e9backed BET-M 33 | 51c | 22.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.26 | 320 | 54.4%174 W · 146 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1f…1e14backed BET-M 33 | 51c | 22.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.26 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe408…b5a2backed BET-M 33 | 45c | 22.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…5b83backed HyperSpirit | 58c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed BET-M 33 | 64c | 16.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.99 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: 33 (-1.5) vs HyperSpirit (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group StageBET-M 33 won
- Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs HyperSpirit - Map 1 WinnerBET-M 33 won
- Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs HyperSpirit - Map 2 WinnerBET-M 33 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.