TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Augsburg: Raphael Perot vs Mika Brunold

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mika Brunoldof Raphael Perot, Mika Brunold
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$84,381
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$94,099

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,381 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Mika Brunold77c11,766$9,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,740.159,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f98…0aa1backed Mika Brunold67c9,174$6,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,006.8611557.4%66 W · 49 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b20…8eafbacked Raphael Perot46c5,498$2,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,546.2510161.4%62 W · 39 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Raphael Perot26c4,450$1,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,153.258,70242.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L-165.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Raphael Perot26c3,514$928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928.221,40442.8%601 W · 803 L-31.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Raphael Perot18c3,425$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.564,97538.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L-19.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Raphael Perot27c3,370$912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911.6711,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Mika Brunold66c2,563$1,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$876.167249.6%333 W · 339 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfeb9…95c9backed Raphael Perot50c2,369$1,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,189.0314338.5%55 W · 88 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Mika Brunold76c2,139$1,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.453,15557.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L+176.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf12f…b30fbacked Raphael Perot33c1,515$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50072040.8%294 W · 426 L+2.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14a2…704cbacked Raphael Perot14c1,470$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014518.6%27 W · 118 L+0.2wins0.00per pick18cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Raphael Perot11c1,416$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.055,00941.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L-82.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2978…b511backed Raphael Perot43c1,359$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.2544032.7%144 W · 296 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25bf…ef3dbacked Raphael Perot37c1,289$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.2343652.1%227 W · 209 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f35…95dabacked Mika Brunold56c999.98$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.9946544.3%206 W · 259 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Raphael Perot33c870.69$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.333,31948.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L-52.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Raphael Perot32c803.2$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.462,83947.2%1,340 W · 1,499 L+38.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Mika Brunold66c769.11$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.543943.7%192 W · 247 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Raphael Perot35c757.51$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.134,34152.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L+63.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc7b…c4ebbacked Raphael Perot11c728.84$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838810.2%9 W · 79 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick17cpaid-53.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Mika Brunold55c648.58$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.495,42256.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L+231.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0146…4d51backed Raphael Perot46c585$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.12157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Raphael Perot12c584.94$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.974,25345%1,912 W · 2,341 L+20.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Raphael Perot32c552.19$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.71,88344.8%843 W · 1,040 L+36.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Mika Brunold60c543.6$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.4429237.7%110 W · 182 L-0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid+9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Raphael Perot33c533.09$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.7533234%113 W · 219 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb524…0808backed Raphael Perot44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22016355.8%91 W · 72 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Raphael Perot21c497.85$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.321,31439%512 W · 802 L-23.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-27.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Raphael Perot39c478.36$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.111,58042.3%668 W · 912 L+18.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Raphael Perot52c457.59$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.721,74548.1%840 W · 905 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Mika Brunold63c436.77$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.773,79854.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L+111.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x306e…3a7cbacked Mika Brunold66c435$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.929849.7%148 W · 150 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed Raphael Perot28c434.3$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.2353946.9%253 W · 286 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Mika Brunold49c423$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.854,65048.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Mika Brunold63c335$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.11,68350.6%851 W · 832 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mika Brunold60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.337,96850.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L+92.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Raphael Perot34c316.42$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.587,10739.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L-17.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Mika Brunold67c313.31$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.78,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Mika Brunold65c306.13$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.1425855%142 W · 116 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Raphael Perot8c305.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.382,88739.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L-84.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fb7…fb66backed Raphael Perot5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1556244.1%248 W · 314 L-21.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Raphael Perot28c300$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.991,90444.1%839 W · 1,065 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbadb…31a7backed Raphael Perot34c299.99$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1023240.6%13 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x91b6…4b40backed Raphael Perot35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030925.9%80 W · 229 L-29.0wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-29.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Raphael Perot33c270.11$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.322,52138.4%969 W · 1,552 L+93.0wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Mika Brunold65c252.06$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.246,84048.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L+58.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed Raphael Perot33c220.76$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.0894751.1%484 W · 463 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Mika Brunold78c205.04$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.981,76645.9%810 W · 956 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb720…da75backed Mika Brunold59c203.39$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.3941664.4%268 W · 148 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c57…a7debacked Mika Brunold65c200.01$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7010947.7%52 W · 57 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed Mika Brunold70c199.99$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605949.2%29 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x425d…86e1backed Raphael Perot29c189.66$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5515620.5%32 W · 124 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Mika Brunold50c187.27$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.426,57446.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L-45.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5513…de2abacked Raphael Perot30c179.14$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.9479238.3%303 W · 489 L-15.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Mika Brunold63c178.13$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.094,60267.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L+309.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb552…b70cbacked Mika Brunold55c177.47$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.863745.9%17 W · 20 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf19…8869backed Raphael Perot39c172.8$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.0713036.9%48 W · 82 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebde…1de0backed Raphael Perot30c169.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.290834.1%310 W · 598 L-43.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x762d…45a6backed Mika Brunold72c169.97$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0522341.3%92 W · 131 L-20.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-24%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1d6d…f2b4backed Mika Brunold65c153.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.6848258.1%280 W · 202 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Raphael Perot33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,63946.4%1,224 W · 1,415 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Raphael Perot13c150$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206,79236.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd92e…3d53backed Raphael Perot35c145.71$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+69.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Raphael Perot45c141.84$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.139,37444.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L-244.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecc5…5fdebacked Raphael Perot35c140$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4925144.2%111 W · 140 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Raphael Perot19c136.79$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6327832.4%90 W · 188 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Raphael Perot36c127.89$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.543,45738.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L-15.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1058…01c1backed Mika Brunold65c119$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.652263.6%14 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Mika Brunold57c116.13$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.694,76049.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L+176.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Raphael Perot35c114.37$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405,32528.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L-21.8wins0.00per pick29cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe760…19bdbacked Mika Brunold48c106.08$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.164443.2%19 W · 25 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Raphael Perot35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352,04347.8%977 W · 1,066 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfaa…28f7backed Raphael Perot37c99.99$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3795445.5%434 W · 520 L+22.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b75…adc8backed Raphael Perot45c93.51$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.082035%7 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed Mika Brunold71c90$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.15853.4%31 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Raphael Perot40c82.7$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.173,98745.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Raphael Perot36c82$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.471,84241%755 W · 1,087 L-31.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0e0…585bbacked Mika Brunold75c80.87$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8510451%53 W · 51 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Raphael Perot40c80$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1772047.9%345 W · 375 L-2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9a9…68b6backed Raphael Perot39c76.94$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7916653.6%89 W · 77 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e0e…1cebbacked Raphael Perot33c74$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1924039.2%94 W · 146 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5803…3f3fbacked Mika Brunold68c73.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5799148.6%482 W · 509 L+43.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Mika Brunold52c71.02$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.051,88257.4%1,081 W · 801 L+104.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed Mika Brunold66c70$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.836740.6%149 W · 218 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Raphael Perot22c63.53$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1216144.7%72 W · 89 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9a2…7886backed Mika Brunold66c60.61$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.61650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf8c…e040backed Raphael Perot20c57$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5265437.5%245 W · 409 L-33.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-32.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe368…e9edbacked Raphael Perot34c55.88$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1937436.4%136 W · 238 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x301f…e84cbacked Mika Brunold63c47.62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6230969.6%215 W · 94 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x05c5…8181backed Mika Brunold66c45.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4583056.1%466 W · 364 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ee0…64b1backed Raphael Perot34c41.18$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144450%22 W · 22 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+17.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Raphael Perot34c38.82$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.21,08452.6%570 W · 514 L+31.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03dd…49c8backed Mika Brunold53c38.53$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1147851.5%246 W · 232 L+17.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd16f…9713backed Raphael Perot52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010657.5%61 W · 45 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x13a4…31f4backed Mika Brunold66c37.88$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.88666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Mika Brunold64c35.93$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.942,08754.1%1,130 W · 957 L+64.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Mika Brunold66c35.92$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2140550.6%205 W · 200 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf504…0111backed Raphael Perot41c34.87$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.421,12056.5%633 W · 487 L+52.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e17…589ebacked Mika Brunold65c33.85$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.85560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.