Tennis · resolved market
ITF M25 Taipei 2 Men: Ryuki Matsuda vs Chun-Chien Hou
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xddb76f35a68096f21063eeb41fa78837356ba663c58566ca583047d206a33ae4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ryuki Matsudaof Ryuki Matsuda, Chun-Chien Hou
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,807
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,730
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,807 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Chun-Chien Hou | 17c | 4,940$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842 | 717 | 29.8%214 W · 503 L | -39.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Chun-Chien Hou | 8c | 4,072$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.76 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chun-Chien Hou | 23c | 516.14$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.73 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Ryuki Matsuda | 74c | 492.56$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.48 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Chun-Chien Hou | 9c | 491$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.87 | 429 | 46.4%199 W · 230 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Ryuki Matsuda | 77c | 356.81$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.04 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Ryuki Matsuda | 80c | 252.11$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.5 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ryuki Matsuda | 77c | 242.49$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…da3bbacked Chun-Chien Hou | 26c | 232.03$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.22 | 274 | 48.5%133 W · 141 L | +24.3wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Ryuki Matsuda | 79c | 135.44$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.44 | 455 | 66.4%302 W · 153 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…9c8dbacked Chun-Chien Hou | 19c | 85.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Chun-Chien Hou | 31c | 40.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55dd…8a83backed Ryuki Matsuda | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Ryuki Matsuda | 68c | 16.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF M25 Taipei 2 Men: Ryuki Matsuda vs Chun-Chien Houthis page
- ITF M25 Taipei 2 Men, Qualifying: Completed Match: Ryuki Matsuda vs Chun-Chien HouYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.