Asian League · resolved market
Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima win on 2026-08-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f13c7ed98ecb05d08875a8e7e3880e9a131250f543dcadd1e1086c0bf01fc0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,128
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,631
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,128 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 29c | 7,034$2,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,018.94 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 73c | 5,969$4,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,329.05 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6980…5478backed Yes | 63c | 2,400$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,511.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…7016backed Yes | 66c | 1,800$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.7 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 64c | 1,765$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.78 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked No | 37c | 1,508$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.07 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78e3…2bcabacked Yes | 44c | 770.64$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.19 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 39c | 600$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 64c | 578.33$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.13 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 46c | 563.91$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.88 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78e1…7337backed No | 36c | 555.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.55 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 36c | 544.97$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.07 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 34c | 433$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.78 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 34c | 288.45$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.38 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x294f…eeabbacked Yes | 65c | 229.99$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.47 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 27c | 203.64$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.11 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b03…b127backed No | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a11…9becbacked No | 37c | 192.51$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked No | 56c | 176.35$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.6 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 36c | 157.23$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.59 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 28c | 151.27$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.01 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d29…65e7backed No | 25c | 150$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +6.4wins | +0.26per pick | 32cpaid | +88%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 27c | 145.05$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.59 | 251 | 55.8%140 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked No | 40c | 137.98$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.79 | 169 | 29%49 W · 120 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 55c | 137.2$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.97 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef80…7fcdbacked Yes | 65c | 136.07$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.21 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -49%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 64c | 133.48$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.46 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 27c | 125$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.25 | 144 | 40.3%58 W · 86 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce5…17f9backed Yes | 65c | 123.08$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 35c | 117.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.69 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed No | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 29c | 92$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.52 | 181 | 61.9%112 W · 69 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 35c | 89.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.19 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 28c | 88.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.04 | 319 | 60.2%192 W · 127 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 37c | 85.12$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.89 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 63c | 82.63$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.34 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 45c | 71$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.83 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked No | 16c | 66.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.55 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed No | 29c | 60.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 35c | 60.35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.23 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 35c | 56.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.52 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 151 | 60.9%92 W · 59 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 43c | 48.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 61c | 46.02$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.07 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 59c | 43.01$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.57 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked Yes | 64c | 39.82$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 69c | 39.8$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbef0…69c8backed Yes | 43c | 39.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55dd…8a83backed No | 37c | 38.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6a…ae46backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 43c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 271 | 48%130 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…0ff5backed No | 36c | 27.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1040…ac10backed Yes | 76c | 26.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 22 | 86.4%19 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 74cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52dc…33c9backed Yes | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1d…9591backed Yes | 60c | 20.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5837…8cdebacked Yes | 60c | 20.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 59c | 18.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Yes | 60c | 18.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 68cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Yes | 64c | 17.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d12…ccc3backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…aae6backed Yes | 75c | 13.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima win on 2026-08-22?this page
- Will Kawasaki Frontale win on 2026-08-22?No won
- Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. Kawasaki Frontale end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.