South American Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Juárez vs. CF América end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab98300cb0a39d10d6e9dc668b9353feb47da4115c438bc50b87aa67dc0dd064
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,167
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,498
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,167 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 76c | 8,562$6,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.06 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 23c | 3,036$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.29 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90aa…00f1backed Yes | 23c | 1,672$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.78 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 77c | 1,321$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.83 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x11cd…e5a8backed Yes | 25c | 1,258$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 76c | 1,134$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.19 | 256 | 35.9%92 W · 164 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d93…533fbacked No | 77c | 909.09$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 25c | 908.68$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.87 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc581…0f24backed Yes | 29c | 860$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.78 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Yes | 23c | 858.77$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.52 | 104 | 26.9%28 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 23c | 826.2$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.03 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 76c | 480.78$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.41 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 6c | 438.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 75c | 371.71$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.24 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 77c | 269.93$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.54 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 24c | 219.19$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.42 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 76c | 199$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.8 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 23c | 191.95$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.07 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 78c | 187$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.93 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f6…e517backed Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Yes | 26c | 176.77$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.12 | 119 | 44.5%53 W · 66 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ea…639abacked Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed Yes | 24c | 149.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4333backed Yes | 34c | 149.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 16c | 124.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 245 | 35.5%87 W · 158 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 22c | 123$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4f…1737backed No | 78c | 115.38$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 76c | 108.32$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.06 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…f368backed Yes | 14c | 107.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x140e…cf85backed Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 22c | 103.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 69c | 79.33$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.83 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 66c | 77.03$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.19 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 17c | 76.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 76c | 75$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 382 | 33%126 W · 256 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 69c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 166 | 41.6%69 W · 97 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…efaebacked No | 78c | 66.48$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked No | 77c | 66$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 28c | 63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 23c | 54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 74c | 48.1$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x648f…fc85backed Yes | 24c | 47.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55dd…8a83backed Yes | 30c | 34.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed No | 73c | 28.49$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed No | 79c | 26.53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 145 | 40%58 W · 87 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Juárez vs. CF América end in a draw?this page
- Will CF América win on 2026-08-21?Yes won
- Will FC Juárez win on 2026-08-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.