South American Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Juárez win on 2026-08-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4c0b19bc28ba80a5c30a8fd2ad6f534b7552040d76ea9e6b349a2ec1eac8890
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $95,601
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,947
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,601 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0cbe…1f4ebacked Yes | 19c | 40,848$7,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,761.14 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -5.6wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -70%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 20c | 6,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.97 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed No | 80c | 4,990$3,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.39 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90aa…00f1backed Yes | 8c | 3,307$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.2 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 25c | 3,010$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.52 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 79c | 2,822$2,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.62 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 19c | 2,583$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.77 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Yes | 42c | 1,786$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 77c | 1,169$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.1 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076b…57afbacked Yes | 18c | 894.37$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 78c | 614.61$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.2 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes | 19c | 600$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -86.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd19a…ff89backed Yes | 3c | 500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 4c | 480.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked Yes | 23c | 465.25$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.01 | 106 | 67.9%72 W · 34 L | +15.7wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 7c | 416.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 311 | 36.7%114 W · 197 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 74c | 360.06$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.35 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Yes | 19c | 342$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.98 | 219 | 38.8%85 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4333backed Yes | 34c | 291.63$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.32 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ec…351fbacked Yes | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf762…d55fbacked No | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.32 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 33c | 190$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 183 | 59%108 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Yes | 19c | 180$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 97 | 10.3%10 W · 87 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 80c | 174.49$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.45 | 245 | 35.5%87 W · 158 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed No | 64c | 169$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.47 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 40c | 154.88$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 120 | 65%78 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 57c | 154.35$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.78 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 80c | 151.46$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.37 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Yes | 21c | 149.75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.77 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed No | 80c | 141.1$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.22 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 61c | 132$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.48 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Yes | 20c | 126.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9661…36f6backed Yes | 34c | 114$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68b6…99b4backed Yes | 21c | 113.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 79c | 108.28$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.67 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3995…f71dbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Yes | 21c | 93.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 34c | 85.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Yes | 20c | 84.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 145 | 40%58 W · 87 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 79c | 73.67$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 232 | 53%123 W · 109 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…f368backed No | 56c | 70.84$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.84 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92d9…8314backed Yes | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 131 | 67.9%89 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 21c | 62.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 424 | 62.3%264 W · 160 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Yes | 20c | 61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Yes | 42c | 59.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dff…bb1ebacked Yes | 21c | 52.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceb5…f397backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked No | 73c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 64c | 49.2$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.71 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked No | 80c | 45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 45c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked No | 80c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed No | 80c | 22.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 58c | 18.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed No | 68c | 18.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 80c | 16.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Juárez win on 2026-08-21?this page
- Will CF América win on 2026-08-21?Yes won
- Will FC Juárez vs. CF América end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.