TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CF América win on 2026-08-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$878,464
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$914,022

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $878,464 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 320 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0cbe…1f4ebacked No43c475,046$204,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204,025.831915.8%3 W · 16 L-5.6wins-0.29per pick45cpaid-70%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes57c241,894$137,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103,938.4349136.3%178 W · 313 L-2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes62c59,062$36,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,457.188,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes57c39,502$22,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,095.888756.3%49 W · 38 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+21%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes68c27,527$18,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,778.012,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076b…57afbacked Yes58c26,000$15,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,839.97540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes56c23,399$13,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,256.082,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfed1…eedbbacked No45c21,218$9,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,488.83742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No43c15,124$6,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,561.5619952.8%105 W · 94 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes59c14,728$8,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,089.9323733.8%80 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Yes57c12,365$7,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,323.7931039.7%123 W · 187 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes58c11,870$6,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,018.328940.1%116 W · 173 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Yes57c11,700$6,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,03116160.9%98 W · 63 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Yes57c11,627$6,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,016.484136.6%15 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-37.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes58c11,548$6,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,853.3742962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes58c10,022$5,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,259.1338233%126 W · 256 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19b5…c0aebacked No44c10,000$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,400616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick47cpaid-60.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes71c9,626$6,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,800.585,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked No42c9,206$3,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,866.5219742.1%83 W · 114 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8488…588cbacked Yes57c8,000$4,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,4408321.7%18 W · 65 L-12.7wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-46.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x2918…fe4abacked No39c7,848$3,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,091.322433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-27.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3ddcbacked Yes55c7,688$4,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,469.56526.2%17 W · 48 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-37.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No45c7,500$3,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,37531643%136 W · 180 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No43c6,721$2,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,898.6157540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes57c6,399$3,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,750.013,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Yes56c6,250$3,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,769.1212156.2%68 W · 53 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes57c6,200$3,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,675.519846%91 W · 107 L+13.5wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe1fa…9c2cbacked No45c5,960$2,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6821566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+24.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No41c5,123$2,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,108.131,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes57c5,033$2,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,169.311,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe77…ef6cbacked Yes57c5,000$2,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1501030%3 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick54cpaid-52.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes56c4,902$2,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,157.031457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Yes56c4,800$2,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1121100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes57c4,282$2,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,825.611,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes59c4,118$2,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,671.948547.6%231 W · 254 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed Yes65c3,995$2,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,380.4221538.1%82 W · 133 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes67c3,954$2,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,308.23,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes59c3,765$2,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,529.3751945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No43c3,436$1,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,485.9478756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Yes57c3,158$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,357.987556%42 W · 33 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes59c3,063$1,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,248.9250643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed No44c3,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.9934747.6%165 W · 182 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcdfe…9483backed No43c2,975$1,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,279.06450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes57c2,900$1,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,242.0866837.1%248 W · 420 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes59c2,896$1,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,181.6735046.3%162 W · 188 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No3c2,880$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.9982434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes57c2,700$1,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,16151750.7%262 W · 255 L+28.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4348…f08abacked No42c2,621$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,092.3411143.2%48 W · 63 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Yes57c2,538$1,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,091.35850%29 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed No43c2,362$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,015.3712755.1%70 W · 57 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes55c2,330$1,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,048.419454.3%51 W · 43 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes57c2,240$1,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961.211,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes62c2,086$1,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.8836339.9%145 W · 218 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Yes57c2,015$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.214658.7%27 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+19.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked No40c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8001656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked No44c2,000$881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.126243.5%27 W · 35 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No27c1,950$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.489122%20 W · 71 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-25%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes57c1,799$1,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.5537540%150 W · 225 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No43c1,682$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.825446.3%25 W · 29 L-7.6wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-28.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb88a…f6adbacked Yes55c1,631$897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.95771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+34.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No26c1,513$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.6725635.9%92 W · 164 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed No33c1,397$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.5421938.8%85 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed No41c1,309$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.697143.7%31 W · 40 L-7.8wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-20.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x911b…344fbacked Yes54c1,274$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.07650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes61c1,252$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.3672058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No43c1,250$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.51,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Yes57c1,237$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.4212740.9%52 W · 75 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-34.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No45c1,221$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.4931136.7%114 W · 197 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No42c1,119$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.681,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5633…59bcbacked Yes55c1,100$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.99771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+34.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Yes56c1,070$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.8560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Yes58c1,028$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.166048.3%29 W · 31 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x74f9…6024backed No44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4401060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked No45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4501136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes56c999.99$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44017049.4%84 W · 86 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2045…c77cbacked Yes57c959.99$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.923658.3%21 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Yes63c958$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.8941262.1%256 W · 156 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes72c951$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.661,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Yes60c924.91$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.0819349.2%95 W · 98 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb797…e779backed No42c905$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.14040%16 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes57c877.19$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.1921252.4%111 W · 101 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Yes53c869$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes57c833.36$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.51,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes57c821.92$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.691,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes58c777.13$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.128347%39 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2185…b40cbacked Yes56c700$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3081968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0e3…c760backed No43c697.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30040%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Yes60c689.8$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.7263061.3%386 W · 244 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No43c639.66$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.521,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8930…db72backed Yes33c606.06$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.061369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes57c560.12$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.2912737.8%48 W · 79 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x374e…87c9backed Yes54c553.32$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.32616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-69.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9df…210ebacked Yes59c552.62$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.12650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90aa…00f1backed Yes55c545.94$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.942626.9%7 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No44c537.81$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.1727855.4%154 W · 124 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No45c522$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.2545253.1%240 W · 212 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Yes43c521.32$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.7219155.5%106 W · 85 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Yes58c517.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.2433152.6%174 W · 157 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f0b…027fbacked Yes58c517.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+38.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x381b…4d74backed Yes59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.