Dota2 · resolved market
Game Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs PlayTime (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0bf4f043efcd8bebaf81dd032e33eb7ad2f239338a665757e0d9d34ee8095f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PlayTimeof LGD Gaming, PlayTime
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,507
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,547
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,507 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed LGD Gaming | 36c | 1,667$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed PlayTime | 67c | 1,338$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed PlayTime | 59c | 996$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.36 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed PlayTime | 64c | 819.38$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.98 | 292 | 43.2%126 W · 166 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed PlayTime | 64c | 700$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9b…efabbacked LGD Gaming | 38c | 604.84$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.69 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked LGD Gaming | 32c | 600$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed LGD Gaming | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 151 | 47.7%72 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed LGD Gaming | 32c | 200$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 177 | 37.9%67 W · 110 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed PlayTime | 62c | 194.97$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed PlayTime | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc182…1339backed LGD Gaming | 36c | 166.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 288 | 46.5%134 W · 154 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed LGD Gaming | 39c | 142.47$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4f…9b0cbacked PlayTime | 75c | 133.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.97 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked PlayTime | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 264 | 45.1%119 W · 145 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec9…1873backed LGD Gaming | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 198 | 39.4%78 W · 120 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed LGD Gaming | 37c | 55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…2d72backed PlayTime | 63c | 55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed LGD Gaming | 26c | 54.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed PlayTime | 60c | 41.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked LGD Gaming | 29c | 39.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d8…fd15backed PlayTime | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed PlayTime | 60c | 20.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 395 | 59%233 W · 162 L | +18.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs PlayTime (+1.5)this page
- Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PlayTime (BO3) - The International South America Closed Qualifier PlayoffsLGD Gaming won
- Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PlayTime - Game 1 WinnerPlayTime won
- Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PlayTime - Game 2 WinnerLGD Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.