Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: FOKUS vs Formulation Gaming (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Last Chance Qualifier Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad6501644409352b3c8bcac50ca59c9797a83b6d8e7c420c72a6351521804446
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FOKUSof FOKUS, Formulation Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,983
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,313
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,983 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd472…a5b2backed FOKUS | 70c | 2,804$1,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.67 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Formulation Gaming | 16c | 2,717$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.09 | 351 | 42.5%149 W · 202 L | -14.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03d8…e73cbacked FOKUS | 68c | 2,441$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.83 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe52c…01f4backed Formulation Gaming | 36c | 1,501$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.36 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Formulation Gaming | 17c | 1,155$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.62 | 833 | 35.2%293 W · 540 L | -60.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x257e…ca61backed Formulation Gaming | 19c | 1,106$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.22 | 223 | 44.4%99 W · 124 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd761…56e3backed FOKUS | 79c | 1,096$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.38 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Formulation Gaming | 23c | 1,016$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.55 | 1,271 | 49.6%630 W · 641 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Formulation Gaming | 34c | 999.95$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.98 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Formulation Gaming | 25c | 854.78$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.78 | 1,294 | 32.4%419 W · 875 L | -65.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Formulation Gaming | 14c | 709.55$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.31 | 238 | 33.2%79 W · 159 L | -20.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Formulation Gaming | 30c | 694$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.34 | 326 | 42%137 W · 189 L | -15.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69f2…a80dbacked FOKUS | 67c | 597.01$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.01 | 66 | 68.2%45 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42dd…5d2bbacked Formulation Gaming | 31c | 585$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.35 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Formulation Gaming | 33c | 500.1$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.03 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…30b5backed Formulation Gaming | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 140 | 45%63 W · 77 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Formulation Gaming | 27c | 497.4$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.07 | 857 | 37.9%325 W · 532 L | -53.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50e8…0105backed Formulation Gaming | 31c | 435.61$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.04 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Formulation Gaming | 33c | 414.75$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.87 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked Formulation Gaming | 31c | 388.39$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked FOKUS | 70c | 300$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.59 | 293 | 43.7%128 W · 165 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed Formulation Gaming | 12c | 291.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.18 | 240 | 34.2%82 W · 158 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Formulation Gaming | 24c | 284$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.13 | 487 | 47%229 W · 258 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed FOKUS | 66c | 277$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.17 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Formulation Gaming | 34c | 275.18$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.92 | 130 | 43.8%57 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Formulation Gaming | 24c | 268.79$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.97 | 976 | 45.2%441 W · 535 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x041d…047ebacked FOKUS | 66c | 220.23$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.88 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Formulation Gaming | 25c | 171.33$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ea…49e9backed FOKUS | 75c | 150.97$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Formulation Gaming | 31c | 150$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 556 | 37.6%209 W · 347 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Formulation Gaming | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked FOKUS | 72c | 139.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.67 | 630 | 56.3%355 W · 275 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Formulation Gaming | 27c | 119$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.86 | 313 | 27.8%87 W · 226 L | -33.6wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -42%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Formulation Gaming | 20c | 116$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Formulation Gaming | 33c | 101.49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.49 | 344 | 43.3%149 W · 195 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Formulation Gaming | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 375 | 45.6%171 W · 204 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed FOKUS | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 660 | 47.3%312 W · 348 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked FOKUS | 65c | 97.47$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.14 | 205 | 53.2%109 W · 96 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Formulation Gaming | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 413 | 55.2%228 W · 185 L | +19.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked FOKUS | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 359 | 56%201 W · 158 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d94…cc42backed Formulation Gaming | 34c | 79.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Formulation Gaming | 17c | 64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x378c…14b8backed Formulation Gaming | 31c | 62.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Formulation Gaming | 31c | 44.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…c6cebacked FOKUS | 78c | 31.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 63 | 66.7%42 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Formulation Gaming | 34c | 31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9b…efabbacked FOKUS | 67c | 29.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: FOKUS vs Formulation Gaming (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Last Chance Qualifier Group Athis page
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FOKUS (-2.5) vs Formulation Gaming (+2.5)FOKUS won
- Valorant: FOKUS vs Formulation Gaming - Map 1 WinnerFOKUS won
- Valorant: FOKUS vs Formulation Gaming - Map 2 WinnerFOKUS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.