Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: FOKUS vs Formulation Gaming - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64c2645c14b2b094fc9ef8dd5bffa3b3cdba50511c60950c4a4463b2f26959bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FOKUSof FOKUS, Formulation Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,300
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,475
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,300 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd472…a5b2backed FOKUS | 70c | 8,083$5,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,423.31 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked FOKUS | 69c | 6,566$4,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,006.81 | 29 | 82.8%24 W · 5 L | +6.4wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Formulation Gaming | 30c | 6,109$1,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,802.4 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510e…f086backed FOKUS | 70c | 2,400$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Formulation Gaming | 33c | 2,057$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.53 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ea…49e9backed FOKUS | 70c | 1,744$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.13 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Formulation Gaming | 30c | 1,560$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.48 | 237 | 45.1%107 W · 130 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8908…d28fbacked FOKUS | 70c | 1,420$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Formulation Gaming | 32c | 1,227$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.85 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdced…c799backed FOKUS | 72c | 1,216$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Formulation Gaming | 27c | 1,134$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.18 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Formulation Gaming | 28c | 1,108$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.19 | 517 | 49.5%256 W · 261 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Formulation Gaming | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff8…5e5dbacked Formulation Gaming | 30c | 586.96$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…a778backed FOKUS | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7437…142dbacked Formulation Gaming | 28c | 499.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3d…51b8backed Formulation Gaming | 29c | 479.31$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Formulation Gaming | 30c | 466.31$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.89 | 101 | 59.4%60 W · 41 L | +11.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Formulation Gaming | 35c | 436.64$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.81 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Formulation Gaming | 33c | 414.01$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.64 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Formulation Gaming | 31c | 414$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.69 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Formulation Gaming | 30c | 397$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.32 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Formulation Gaming | 30c | 334.54$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.37 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed Formulation Gaming | 29c | 325$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.25 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Formulation Gaming | 29c | 314.7$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.6 | 158 | 42.4%67 W · 91 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Formulation Gaming | 29c | 304$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.16 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Formulation Gaming | 32c | 289$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.52 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Formulation Gaming | 27c | 269.29$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.93 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Formulation Gaming | 34c | 266.41$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.52 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f50…e12bbacked Formulation Gaming | 30c | 250.25$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.08 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.25per pick | 52cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Formulation Gaming | 30c | 204.1$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.23 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Formulation Gaming | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Formulation Gaming | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Formulation Gaming | 23c | 148$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.47 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Formulation Gaming | 32c | 136.97$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.92 | 312 | 27.6%86 W · 226 L | -33.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Formulation Gaming | 31c | 136.14$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.86 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Formulation Gaming | 31c | 127.13$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3685…6d99backed Formulation Gaming | 29c | 124$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.73 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Formulation Gaming | 26c | 104.19$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.89 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89ab…14e7backed Formulation Gaming | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Formulation Gaming | 30c | 98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…49c1backed Formulation Gaming | 29c | 89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1c…2679backed Formulation Gaming | 30c | 84.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Formulation Gaming | 29c | 82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x35b7…c557backed Formulation Gaming | 18c | 78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Formulation Gaming | 29c | 75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Formulation Gaming | 29c | 75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Formulation Gaming | 30c | 73.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Formulation Gaming | 40c | 73.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed FOKUS | 71c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Formulation Gaming | 33c | 56.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Formulation Gaming | 35c | 52.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Formulation Gaming | 27c | 51.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf186…03a9backed FOKUS | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x660c…7f7abacked Formulation Gaming | 30c | 49.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b2…0ab9backed Formulation Gaming | 27c | 47.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.41per pick | 53cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Formulation Gaming | 26c | 46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x337a…b913backed Formulation Gaming | 31c | 44.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa574…4596backed Formulation Gaming | 29c | 44.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…645cbacked Formulation Gaming | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Formulation Gaming | 29c | 39.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Formulation Gaming | 31c | 39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked FOKUS | 70c | 38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked FOKUS | 79c | 26.77$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: FOKUS vs Formulation Gaming - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FOKUS (-2.5) vs Formulation Gaming (+2.5)FOKUS won
- Valorant: FOKUS vs Formulation Gaming (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Last Chance Qualifier Group AFOKUS won
- Valorant: FOKUS vs Formulation Gaming - Map 1 WinnerFOKUS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.