Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: FKS (-1.5) vs MIR (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9aefabc3039c63916102701e19d8563d7b001ac7801e0309ceb5c62ff611cb6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MIRof FOKUS, MIR
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,333
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,522
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,333 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x69f2…a80dbacked FOKUS | 50c | 1,749$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.55 | 66 | 68.2%45 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked MIR | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.25 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9b…efabbacked FOKUS | 51c | 700$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x206c…2b8dbacked MIR | 49c | 596.82$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.38 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked MIR | 53c | 494.72$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.62 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked MIR | 50c | 153$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 287 | 47.4%136 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked MIR | 63c | 150.01$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.78 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed MIR | 60c | 125$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.43 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ad…a700backed MIR | 49c | 102$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.02 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked MIR | 65c | 98.6$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked MIR | 45c | 76.36$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 176 | 53.4%94 W · 82 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c6…9dc1backed FOKUS | 55c | 76.36$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked FOKUS | 43c | 75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked FOKUS | 35c | 74.29$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 155 | 35.5%55 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked FOKUS | 27c | 62.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 106 | 33%35 W · 71 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed FOKUS | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed FOKUS | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 139 | 33.1%46 W · 93 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed MIR | 52c | 49.06$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 223 | 46.6%104 W · 119 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb68c…7ef8backed MIR | 50c | 40.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed FOKUS | 46c | 34.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed MIR | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: FKS (-1.5) vs MIR (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Valorant: FOKUS vs MIR (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Group CMIR won
- Valorant: FOKUS vs MIR - Map 1 WinnerMIR won
- Valorant: FOKUS vs MIR - Map 2 WinnerFOKUS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.