Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: FOKUS vs MIR - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d36f31593cd5b5c88f660adefcc6468ca8c66646335048ef95dc798039abe20
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FOKUSof FOKUS, MIR
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,860
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,726
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,860 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked FOKUS | 72c | 2,118$1,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.22 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked MIR | 29c | 1,206$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.66 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked FOKUS | 75c | 844.09$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.63 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed FOKUS | 77c | 747.45$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.88 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed MIR | 23c | 588.35$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.25 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked MIR | 9c | 345.53$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.73 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked MIR | 24c | 331.05$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.6 | 407 | 31.7%129 W · 278 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed MIR | 28c | 236.24$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.93 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed MIR | 22c | 224.92$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.48 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked MIR | 25c | 200$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.15 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked MIR | 24c | 175$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.77 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed MIR | 27c | 150$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked FOKUS | 67c | 149.23$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.99 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…9712backed FOKUS | 77c | 140.36$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.05 | 159 | 73%116 W · 43 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed FOKUS | 76c | 126.57$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.87 | 409 | 45.7%187 W · 222 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed MIR | 34c | 120.59$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 139 | 33.1%46 W · 93 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed FOKUS | 73c | 103.49$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 391 | 66%258 W · 133 L | +24.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked FOKUS | 74c | 100.51$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 225 | 39.1%88 W · 137 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked MIR | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 106 | 33%35 W · 71 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked MIR | 23c | 98.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed FOKUS | 80c | 97$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x615d…bd5bbacked FOKUS | 79c | 80$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked MIR | 23c | 77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked MIR | 29c | 75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 211 | 53.6%113 W · 98 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed MIR | 31c | 63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 338 | 38.5%130 W · 208 L | -21.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked FOKUS | 62c | 61.31$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabbc…04a3backed MIR | 28c | 60.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed FOKUS | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 375 | 45.6%171 W · 204 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x476e…00a9backed FOKUS | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +5.1wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked MIR | 34c | 47.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked MIR | 26c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…6e9bbacked MIR | 33c | 41.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99d6…9fcabacked FOKUS | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc47f…cf9bbacked MIR | 35c | 31.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7886…ec60backed FOKUS | 73c | 30.09$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eba…cb3dbacked FOKUS | 66c | 24.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed FOKUS | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed FOKUS | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 305 | 44.3%135 W · 170 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: FOKUS vs MIR - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: FKS (-1.5) vs MIR (+1.5)MIR won
- Valorant: FOKUS vs MIR (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Group CMIR won
- Valorant: FOKUS vs MIR - Map 1 WinnerMIR won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.