Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: UCAM (-1.5) vs Pixel Lumina (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8dca188de7a7b9b1f06e0489dd9b211d5d6a7a1e6a91ec5e04781d70c3bc1c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pixel Luminaof UCAM Esports Club, Pixel Lumina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,614
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,199
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,614 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcadf…1f60backed UCAM Esports Club | 50c | 6,209$3,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,125.71 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa413…6c4abacked UCAM Esports Club | 56c | 3,584$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.95 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1c…b465backed UCAM Esports Club | 52c | 1,913$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.86 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x206c…2b8dbacked Pixel Lumina | 50c | 1,575$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.74 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed Pixel Lumina | 47c | 1,520$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.4 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69f2…a80dbacked UCAM Esports Club | 57c | 1,343$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.26 | 66 | 68.2%45 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed Pixel Lumina | 47c | 1,272$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.56 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Pixel Lumina | 50c | 1,042$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.78 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9b…efabbacked UCAM Esports Club | 52c | 999.98$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.99 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe8…bb28backed Pixel Lumina | 44c | 985.95$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.85 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed Pixel Lumina | 45c | 948.38$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.88 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…4e2dbacked Pixel Lumina | 44c | 721.23$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Pixel Lumina | 46c | 708.92$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.32 | 287 | 47.4%136 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…54a4backed Pixel Lumina | 44c | 672.73$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.73 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Pixel Lumina | 50c | 643.64$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.96 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5b…6c2abacked Pixel Lumina | 47c | 581.5$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.92 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Pixel Lumina | 48c | 500$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 140 | 32.9%46 W · 94 L | -11.0wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed UCAM Esports Club | 52c | 471.31$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.51 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Pixel Lumina | 50c | 391.62$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.81 | 158 | 43%68 W · 90 L | -12.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Pixel Lumina | 40c | 342.5$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.5 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Pixel Lumina | 45c | 325.6$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178 | 137 | 41.6%57 W · 80 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa896…4819backed Pixel Lumina | 52c | 310$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Pixel Lumina | 47c | 306.77$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.76 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40fc…498dbacked Pixel Lumina | 50c | 306$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Pixel Lumina | 50c | 299.99$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151 | 344 | 43.3%149 W · 195 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8731…2c12backed Pixel Lumina | 45c | 238.18$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff0…9306backed Pixel Lumina | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Pixel Lumina | 44c | 227.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.26 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked Pixel Lumina | 50c | 177.33$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.67 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed UCAM Esports Club | 53c | 166.04$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Pixel Lumina | 50c | 166$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…afaebacked Pixel Lumina | 50c | 124.41$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.21 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe49…de5cbacked Pixel Lumina | 48c | 122.92$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.92 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86ca…bc47backed Pixel Lumina | 44c | 115.91$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.91 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed UCAM Esports Club | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f4…04d4backed Pixel Lumina | 44c | 92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c27…97c2backed Pixel Lumina | 46c | 91.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.67 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5583…1fbbbacked Pixel Lumina | 46c | 77.2$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed UCAM Esports Club | 21c | 75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 142 | 52.8%75 W · 67 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Pixel Lumina | 71c | 75$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafeb…6da8backed Pixel Lumina | 52c | 61.6$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Pixel Lumina | 50c | 55.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Pixel Lumina | 50c | 52.46$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.23 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Pixel Lumina | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Pixel Lumina | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Pixel Lumina | 50c | 49.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.77 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac06…f93dbacked Pixel Lumina | 44c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -6.3wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked UCAM Esports Club | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed UCAM Esports Club | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Pixel Lumina | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 492 | 55.3%272 W · 220 L | +23.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8494…814abacked Pixel Lumina | 46c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -9.3wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Pixel Lumina | 46c | 23.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 155 | 35.5%55 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ac…0e0bbacked Pixel Lumina | 50c | 20.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…d8b8backed UCAM Esports Club | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: UCAM (-1.5) vs Pixel Lumina (+1.5)this page
- Valorant: UCAM Esports Club vs Pixel Lumina (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Group CUCAM Esports Club won
- Valorant: UCAM Esports Club vs Pixel Lumina - Map 1 WinnerPixel Lumina won
- Valorant: UCAM Esports Club vs Pixel Lumina - Map 2 WinnerUCAM Esports Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.