Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Execration vs Grind Back (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30815e6ea9b69f7a38e8e1794ba5f4519ca28b343fdbeed5e4cb3850175008c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grind Backof Execration, Grind Back
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,700
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $104,817
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,700 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf704…bed4backed Execration | 30c | 9,774$2,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,907.08 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Grind Back | 58c | 5,762$3,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.71 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5b…b82bbacked Execration | 58c | 4,335$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Grind Back | 64c | 3,207$2,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.83 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaf…d959backed Execration | 42c | 2,618$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.45 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Execration | 44c | 2,000$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.5 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Execration | 41c | 1,804$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.06 | 1,247 | 44.4%554 W · 693 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42dd…5d2bbacked Execration | 45c | 1,783$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.13 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Execration | 5c | 1,500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Execration | 11c | 1,477$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.47 | 1,270 | 45.1%573 W · 697 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…3ff9backed Grind Back | 77c | 1,200$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.52 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Execration | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe694…0a08backed Grind Back | 58c | 932.66$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.11 | 179 | 52.5%94 W · 85 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Grind Back | 60c | 882$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.01 | 1,113 | 36.2%403 W · 710 L | -37.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd1…b201backed Execration | 22c | 771.74$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Grind Back | 59c | 749.99$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.5 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Execration | 9c | 735.71$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.08 | 878 | 38.3%336 W · 542 L | -42.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Grind Back | 74c | 712.2$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.3 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked Grind Back | 60c | 711.2$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.2 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Grind Back | 73c | 697.67$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.5 | 565 | 45%254 W · 311 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Execration | 17c | 692.09$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.65 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10c0…4dcabacked Execration | 26c | 685.36$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.93 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Grind Back | 74c | 619.49$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.64 | 583 | 46.3%270 W · 313 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Execration | 30c | 558.32$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…bedfbacked Grind Back | 52c | 553.23$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.55 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0284…97f6backed Grind Back | 60c | 537.01$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.91 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddbd…bcb5backed Execration | 19c | 531.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 140 | 30.7%43 W · 97 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Execration | 48c | 524.8$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.41 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…a3c4backed Execration | 16c | 521.25$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.13 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Execration | 20c | 520.43$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.42 | 1,691 | 41.4%700 W · 991 L | -40.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…46ddbacked Grind Back | 54c | 453.04$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.4 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Grind Back | 80c | 415$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.04 | 322 | 41.6%134 W · 188 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd241…6c35backed Grind Back | 37c | 400$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Execration | 40c | 396.8$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.2 | 101 | 36.6%37 W · 64 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Execration | 35c | 384$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 235 | 29.4%69 W · 166 L | -21.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Execration | 19c | 371.88$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.66 | 225 | 43.6%98 W · 127 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Grind Back | 36c | 360$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.2 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…5473backed Grind Back | 80c | 346.75$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.35 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed Grind Back | 56c | 334.07$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.01 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf206…df39backed Grind Back | 61c | 330.08$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.08 | 169 | 63.3%107 W · 62 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34af…3bbfbacked Execration | 28c | 321.82$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.11 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 32cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6f…9f0abacked Execration | 45c | 309.77$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.3 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8106…bd36backed Execration | 27c | 304.1$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5480…b38cbacked Execration | 42c | 302.71$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.94 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Grind Back | 60c | 297.02$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.81 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2b…825ebacked Grind Back | 67c | 296.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.44 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Execration | 42c | 296$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 410 | 55.1%226 W · 184 L | +39.6wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Execration | 19c | 293$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.67 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Execration | 27c | 286.08$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Execration | 29c | 254.62$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.04 | 1,443 | 48.7%703 W · 740 L | +29.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…9eaebacked Grind Back | 36c | 254$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.94 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d6…423dbacked Grind Back | 36c | 254$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.94 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked Execration | 40c | 251.46$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.17 | 591 | 54%319 W · 272 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Execration | 14c | 250$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…0f42backed Execration | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 372 | 52.7%196 W · 176 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked Execration | 18c | 248.92$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.81 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7d…a286backed Grind Back | 58c | 248.71$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.56 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Execration | 40c | 246.96$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Execration | 6c | 246.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Grind Back | 35c | 246$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.22 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Execration | 13c | 243.46$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.65 | 410 | 37.3%153 W · 257 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Grind Back | 34c | 239$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.87 | 283 | 36.4%103 W · 180 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Execration | 42c | 210.95$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Grind Back | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 695 | 52.2%363 W · 332 L | +45.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed Execration | 39c | 199.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Execration | 42c | 195.3$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.03 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa781…8745backed Grind Back | 36c | 190.97$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.32 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec23…a896backed Grind Back | 61c | 180.49$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.49 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe187…a69cbacked Grind Back | 60c | 172.54$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.54 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked Grind Back | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x729b…1b33backed Grind Back | 72c | 163.57$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.8 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.39per pick | 49cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Execration | 31c | 160.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd2…87f4backed Grind Back | 36c | 153$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.53 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +13.0wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x029e…b19cbacked Grind Back | 36c | 153$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.53 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +11.0wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +46%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…1b41backed Grind Back | 36c | 153$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.53 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc75…af4dbacked Grind Back | 36c | 153$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.53 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +12.5wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed Execration | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 408 | 44.1%180 W · 228 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee22…7054backed Execration | 35c | 149.98$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.09 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -7.6wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -55%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Execration | 22c | 145$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 276 | 36.2%100 W · 176 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22bc…b0b2backed Grind Back | 72c | 142.76$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.82 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Grind Back | 72c | 129.02$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.55 | 200 | 30.5%61 W · 139 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Grind Back | 66c | 125.8$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.34 | 928 | 46.2%429 W · 499 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Execration | 21c | 123.24$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x7380…9019backed Execration | 41c | 120$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Execration | 41c | 119.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.34 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed Grind Back | 27c | 116.03$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.7 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +34%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Execration | 11c | 113.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 889 | 38%338 W · 551 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…417cbacked Execration | 41c | 110$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed Grind Back | 59c | 105.42$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.22 | 294 | 66%194 W · 100 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f0…6da2backed Grind Back | 71c | 105.37$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Execration | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 142 | 36.6%52 W · 90 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Execration | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…aab3backed Grind Back | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 421 | 60.1%253 W · 168 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Execration | 42c | 99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Grind Back | 60c | 98.19$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.22 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Execration | 19c | 95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 526 | 38.4%202 W · 324 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4255…1792backed Execration | 40c | 94.6$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.84 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…a307backed Execration | 41c | 92.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.31 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…ac1ebacked Execration | 20c | 89.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x422d…7e39backed Execration | 40c | 87.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Execration vs Grind Back (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Execration vs Grind Back - Game 1 WinnerGrind Back won
- Dota 2: Execration vs Grind Back - Game 2 WinnerGrind Back won
- Game Handicap: XctN (-1.5) vs Grind Back (+1.5)Grind Back won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.