TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,160,434
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,676,461

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,160,434 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Under48c503,697$240,927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262,770.31,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Over53c219,018$116,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116,058.7550153.5%268 W · 233 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over52c191,736$99,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99,082.314,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over52c114,447$59,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59,170.9692054%497 W · 423 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Under49c50,000$24,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,499.9855053.1%292 W · 258 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over51c20,000$10,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,2002,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over51c14,165$7,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,229.044,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over51c12,974$6,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,673.5511,35652.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L+209.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78b0…9f1abacked Over54c9,061$4,893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,892.8439047.4%185 W · 205 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Under47c6,287$2,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,332.1123538.3%90 W · 145 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under52c5,648$2,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,713.9210,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Under46c4,876$2,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,633.1928350.9%144 W · 139 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under55c4,156$2,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,884.0512,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under47c3,587$1,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,901.113,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under46c2,845$1,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,535.674,47748.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L-47.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Over52c2,500$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30044451.1%227 W · 217 L+1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00070744.7%316 W · 391 L-22.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc365…2e53backed Over49c1,893$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926.271,60753.2%855 W · 752 L+74.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Under47c1,889$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.388633.7%29 W · 57 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under47c1,700$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9011,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under48c1,221$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.696,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Under49c1,200$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61723758.6%139 W · 98 L+16.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Over51c1,200$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61286653%459 W · 407 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over52c1,128$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.561,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under47c1,039$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.4591252.4%478 W · 434 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73e8…cd6fbacked Over51c972.71$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.0836048.6%175 W · 185 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over51c840$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.22,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Under48c811.22$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.8355053.6%295 W · 255 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf0…a1d3backed Under47c766.43$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.212227.3%6 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-32.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under48c754.59$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.391,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Over52c674$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.4827249.3%134 W · 138 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Under48c573.74$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.951545.2%233 W · 282 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over40c548.13$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.628,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Under47c534.2$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.1347350.7%240 W · 233 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb47b…c6b1backed Over54c516.72$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.0311138.7%43 W · 68 L-11.0wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under47c506.43$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.4161450.8%312 W · 302 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Under53c471.7$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.729950.5%151 W · 148 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under48c311.85$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.168,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c250$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.55,40050.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L+17.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over50c250$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.18,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Under50c217.56$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.7890446.9%424 W · 480 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3a5…cd84backed Under47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7710046%46 W · 54 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over7c210.22$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.511,92717.2%331 W · 1,596 L-320.3wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-64.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0xfbb6…25eabacked Under47c208.51$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.5112944.2%57 W · 72 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10221748.4%105 W · 112 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Over52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.973849.3%364 W · 374 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa65c…509dbacked Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10024350.2%122 W · 121 L-0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Over54c194.44$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051,00052.4%524 W · 476 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under47c190.08$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.741,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52a0…ec9dbacked Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038252.1%199 W · 183 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over52c176.58$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.351,06249.2%523 W · 539 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e46…42dfbacked Under50c157.58$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.7917250.6%87 W · 85 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bb4…4551backed Over53c141.51$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7521152.6%111 W · 100 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x348c…c8efbacked Under47c140.43$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.4310438.5%40 W · 64 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over52c120.01$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.572,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Under47c110$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.399744.1%440 W · 557 L-38.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Under58c105.02$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.752,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508046.3%37 W · 43 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x36f4…0eb2backed Over53c97.96$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.9285949.1%422 W · 437 L-3.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7de2…cd3fbacked Over54c95$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.875164.7%33 W · 18 L+7.1wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+32.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1631…072dbacked Under63c90.83$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8377353.9%417 W · 356 L+35.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8328…e5ebbacked Under47c85.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.119339.8%37 W · 56 L-6.8wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under50c80.36$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.181,26951.1%648 W · 621 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36aa…a683backed Over54c74.06$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9944347.9%212 W · 231 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Under50c68.4$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.254152.1%282 W · 259 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2725…e7d1backed Under47c65$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.3835849.4%177 W · 181 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7f…bb6dbacked Over54c63$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7114751.7%76 W · 71 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Over51c62.9$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0827351.3%140 W · 133 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Under50c60.27$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.416,30248.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L+181.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under47c59.99$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.492,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Under50c53.02$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5140554.8%222 W · 183 L+17.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b07…5f54backed Under59c50.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.856546.2%30 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.51,17249.1%575 W · 597 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27b1…3813backed Under47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.517953.1%95 W · 84 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Under50c49.58$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7958649.5%290 W · 296 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x522f…1164backed Under46c48$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9239250.3%197 W · 195 L+18.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x69f8…2b2fbacked Under47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.55450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5407…5bbdbacked Under47c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.277836%280 W · 498 L-17.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Over54c39$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0653950.6%273 W · 266 L+16.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Over50c31.9$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.841,04249.4%515 W · 527 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under60c31$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.541,70849.9%852 W · 856 L-17.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92ed…21dcbacked Under50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152250%11 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x026b…3642backed Over51c28.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ac…8de4backed Under50c26.08$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0418551.4%95 W · 90 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9544…826ebacked Under48c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135054%27 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c9e…fd82backed Under50c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127047.1%33 W · 37 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41c8…424fbacked Over52c23.54$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3620362.6%127 W · 76 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f9…5273backed Over58c23.41$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5853644.6%239 W · 297 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8b8…2350backed Under59c22.03$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.031942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf67d…2de1backed Under50c20.84$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.427444.6%33 W · 41 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Over53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.545045.8%206 W · 244 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Over63c18.78$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.832,22355.4%1,231 W · 992 L+73.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.