MLB · resolved market
Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f79bb189a75eca06e71950751d290d4a1abc2dbbbd8b1cf8fc1d75490a6f4b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,160,434
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,676,461
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,160,434 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 48c | 503,697$240,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262,770.3 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Over | 53c | 219,018$116,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116,058.75 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 52c | 191,736$99,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99,082.31 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 52c | 114,447$59,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,170.96 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 49c | 50,000$24,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,499.98 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,200 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 51c | 14,165$7,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,229.04 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 51c | 12,974$6,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,673.55 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Over | 54c | 9,061$4,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,892.84 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Under | 47c | 6,287$2,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,332.11 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 52c | 5,648$2,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,713.92 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 46c | 4,876$2,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,633.19 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 4,156$2,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,884.05 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 47c | 3,587$1,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,901.11 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 46c | 2,845$1,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,535.67 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Over | 49c | 1,893$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.27 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Under | 47c | 1,889$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.38 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 47c | 1,700$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 48c | 1,221$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.69 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Under | 49c | 1,200$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 52c | 1,128$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.56 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 47c | 1,039$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.45 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Over | 51c | 972.71$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.08 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 51c | 840$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.2 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Under | 48c | 811.22$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.83 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…a1d3backed Under | 47c | 766.43$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.21 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 754.59$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.39 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Over | 52c | 674$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.48 | 272 | 49.3%134 W · 138 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Under | 48c | 573.74$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.9 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 40c | 548.13$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.62 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Under | 47c | 534.2$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.13 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Over | 54c | 516.72$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.03 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | -11.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 47c | 506.43$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.41 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Under | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.7 | 299 | 50.5%151 W · 148 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 48c | 311.85$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.16 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 250$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 50c | 250$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.1 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 50c | 217.56$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.78 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a5…cd84backed Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 7c | 210.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked Under | 47c | 208.51$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.51 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.9 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 54c | 194.44$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 47c | 190.08$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.74 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 52c | 176.58$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.35 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…42dfbacked Under | 50c | 157.58$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.79 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…4551backed Over | 53c | 141.51$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x348c…c8efbacked Under | 47c | 140.43$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.43 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 52c | 120.01$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.57 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Under | 47c | 110$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.3 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Under | 58c | 105.02$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Over | 53c | 97.96$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.92 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7de2…cd3fbacked Over | 54c | 95$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.87 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +7.1wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1631…072dbacked Under | 63c | 90.83$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 773 | 53.9%417 W · 356 L | +35.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…e5ebbacked Under | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 50c | 80.36$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.18 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Over | 54c | 74.06$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 443 | 47.9%212 W · 231 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 50c | 68.4$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Under | 47c | 65$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.38 | 358 | 49.4%177 W · 181 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7f…bb6dbacked Over | 54c | 63$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.71 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Over | 51c | 62.9$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.08 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 50c | 60.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.41 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 47c | 59.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Under | 50c | 53.02$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 405 | 54.8%222 W · 183 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b07…5f54backed Under | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Under | 50c | 49.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.79 | 586 | 49.5%290 W · 296 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Under | 46c | 48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 392 | 50.3%197 W · 195 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69f8…2b2fbacked Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…5bbdbacked Under | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 778 | 36%280 W · 498 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Over | 54c | 39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Over | 50c | 31.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 60c | 31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92ed…21dcbacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x026b…3642backed Over | 51c | 28.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Under | 50c | 26.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.04 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…826ebacked Under | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…fd82backed Under | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked Over | 52c | 23.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 203 | 62.6%127 W · 76 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Over | 58c | 23.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b8…2350backed Under | 59c | 22.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…2de1backed Under | 50c | 20.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Over | 63c | 18.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5this page
- Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle MarinersSeattle Mariners won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 3.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 4.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 5.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-3.5)Boston Red Sox won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.