MLB · resolved market
Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x413da7343afd0147d2a799ff849c19c68c25161c33802e1f63fdea032c7f1a6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Marinersof Boston Red Sox, Seattle Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $369,429
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $385,149
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $369,429 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 252 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Boston Red Sox | 47c | 60,000$28,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,200 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Seattle Mariners | 56c | 45,455$25,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,000 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Boston Red Sox | 45c | 45,132$20,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,120.94 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Seattle Mariners | 53c | 40,881$21,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,214.13 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 37,341$20,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,304.15 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Boston Red Sox | 45c | 31,568$14,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,205.6 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Boston Red Sox | 45c | 17,058$7,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,636.55 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Boston Red Sox | 30c | 16,801$4,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,963.34 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 16,547$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 12,003$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,102.06 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c20…66a9backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 9,259$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,259.35 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Boston Red Sox | 45c | 8,289$3,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,757.83 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Seattle Mariners | 54c | 7,234$3,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,292.09 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 6,460$3,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,907.12 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Seattle Mariners | 67c | 5,981$4,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,944.3 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…3992backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 5,682$3,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 156 | 59%92 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Boston Red Sox | 45c | 5,556$2,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,498.72 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Seattle Mariners | 46c | 5,304$2,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,841.22 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Seattle Mariners | 48c | 4,822$2,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,488.38 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Boston Red Sox | 34c | 4,802$1,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,637.34 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…2ff4backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 4,545$2,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Seattle Mariners | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc7…389dbacked Seattle Mariners | 53c | 3,500$1,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,634.99 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…3aaebacked Seattle Mariners | 56c | 3,409$1,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…b9e3backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 3,400$1,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 3,178$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.54 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed Boston Red Sox | 48c | 2,798$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342.88 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 2,625$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.97 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 2,580$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.46 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Boston Red Sox | 46c | 2,574$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.16 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 2,526$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.72 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Boston Red Sox | 44c | 2,250$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 2,198$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.39 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Boston Red Sox | 23c | 1,946$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.67 | 400 | 43%172 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 1,873$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.13 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Seattle Mariners | 74c | 1,776$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.83 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49d6…ea7bbacked Boston Red Sox | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 109 | 13.8%15 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Boston Red Sox | 6c | 1,558$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 85 | 15.3%13 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 1,471$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.83 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Boston Red Sox | 45c | 1,410$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.65 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 1,310$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.3 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 1,260$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.2 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Boston Red Sox | 45c | 1,109$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.05 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Seattle Mariners | 61c | 1,108$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.01 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…b6a4backed Boston Red Sox | 39c | 1,106$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 1,056$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.32 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked Boston Red Sox | 44c | 960$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.6 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d4acbacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 866.22$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.46 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 800$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…15fcbacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 800$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Boston Red Sox | 47c | 800$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Boston Red Sox | 15c | 799.97$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Boston Red Sox | 41c | 751.99$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.57 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Boston Red Sox | 44c | 699.95$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.98 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef3a…1eb3backed Boston Red Sox | 22c | 681.82$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 559.99$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253 | 260 | 49.6%129 W · 131 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4232…d505backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 540$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Boston Red Sox | 43c | 530.04$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.92 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 505.88$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.88 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 500$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.5 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Seattle Mariners | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98f3…bf14backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.99 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 493.79$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.33 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a99…d29fbacked Seattle Mariners | 51c | 479.04$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Seattle Mariners | 46c | 478.26$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.26 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Seattle Mariners | 56c | 472.73$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.32 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Boston Red Sox | 46c | 460$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.6 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 434.13$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.26 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Seattle Mariners | 56c | 427.96$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.66 | 143 | 58%83 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a01…1a3cbacked Boston Red Sox | 11c | 427.09$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.85 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 410$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.05 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Boston Red Sox | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87c7…d1b6backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 204 | 55.4%113 W · 91 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 399.99$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Boston Red Sox | 15c | 396.53$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.42 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6262…360cbacked Boston Red Sox | 7c | 395.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb5…6e63backed Boston Red Sox | 33c | 382.52$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.32 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6e…4555backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 380$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.8 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00ed…0a9fbacked Boston Red Sox | 44c | 365.2$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.69 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd82…9f66backed Boston Red Sox | 34c | 352.94$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc70b…d2f2backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 346.58$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.5 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Seattle Mariners | 53c | 317.14$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.93 | 1,013 | 50.3%510 W · 503 L | +51.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Seattle Mariners | 54c | 314$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.18 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31ab…20e9backed Seattle Mariners | 48c | 310.86$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.86 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x776f…32b7backed Boston Red Sox | 48c | 302.08$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Boston Red Sox | 43c | 300$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.1 | 656 | 51.2%336 W · 320 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x334f…0d32backed Seattle Mariners | 67c | 293$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.5 | 378 | 68.8%260 W · 118 L | +25.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Seattle Mariners | 69c | 292.29$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.35 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Seattle Mariners | 68c | 283.22$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.6 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 279.96$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 52cpaid | -74%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Marinersthis page
- Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 3.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 4.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 5.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-3.5)Boston Red Sox won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.