TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Mariners

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Seattle Marinersof Boston Red Sox, Seattle Mariners
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$369,429
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$385,149

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $369,429 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 252 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Boston Red Sox47c60,000$28,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,2001,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc1…b33cbacked Seattle Mariners56c45,455$25,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,00026056.9%148 W · 112 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Boston Red Sox45c45,132$20,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,120.9410,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Seattle Mariners53c40,881$21,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,214.1341149.1%202 W · 209 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Seattle Mariners54c37,341$20,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,304.153,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Boston Red Sox45c31,568$14,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,205.692054%497 W · 423 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x38f0…2768backed Boston Red Sox45c17,058$7,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,636.5514943.6%65 W · 84 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc365…2e53backed Boston Red Sox30c16,801$4,963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,963.341,60753.2%855 W · 752 L+74.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Boston Red Sox47c16,547$7,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,7771,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Seattle Mariners57c12,003$6,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,102.0611,35652.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L+209.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c20…66a9backed Seattle Mariners54c9,259$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,259.352268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+24.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Boston Red Sox45c8,289$3,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,757.834,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Seattle Mariners54c7,234$3,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,292.091,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Seattle Mariners55c6,460$3,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,907.125,40050.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L+17.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Seattle Mariners67c5,981$4,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,944.395045.2%429 W · 521 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b44…3992backed Seattle Mariners56c5,682$3,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50015659%92 W · 64 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Boston Red Sox45c5,556$2,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,498.7228042.1%118 W · 162 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Seattle Mariners46c5,304$2,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,841.228,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Boston Red Sox47c5,000$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3501,06348.2%512 W · 551 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Seattle Mariners48c4,822$2,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,488.386,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Boston Red Sox34c4,802$1,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,637.348,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5674…2ff4backed Seattle Mariners56c4,545$2,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00012759.8%76 W · 51 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x41b4…10dabacked Seattle Mariners50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00019950.3%100 W · 99 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cc7…389dbacked Seattle Mariners53c3,500$1,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,634.991070%7 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+25.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4861…3aaebacked Seattle Mariners56c3,409$1,909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50012759.1%75 W · 52 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6195…b9e3backed Seattle Mariners56c3,400$1,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4964654.3%25 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Boston Red Sox47c3,178$1,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500.541,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Seattle Mariners55c3,000$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,35077951.1%398 W · 381 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacf8…e791backed Boston Red Sox48c2,798$1,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,342.887338.4%28 W · 45 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Seattle Mariners56c2,625$1,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,158.974,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Seattle Mariners57c2,580$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,099.462,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Boston Red Sox46c2,574$1,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,184.1629147.1%137 W · 154 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Seattle Mariners55c2,526$1,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,136.7227351.3%140 W · 133 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked Boston Red Sox44c2,250$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99075248.8%367 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Seattle Mariners53c2,198$1,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,032.394,47748.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L-47.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Boston Red Sox23c1,946$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.6740043%172 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Seattle Mariners49c1,873$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961.134,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Seattle Mariners55c1,818$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.1849158.9%289 W · 202 L+30.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Seattle Mariners74c1,776$1,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.8347545.9%218 W · 257 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49d6…ea7bbacked Boston Red Sox6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010913.8%15 W · 94 L-0.2wins0.00per pick14cpaid-35.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf472…a262backed Boston Red Sox6c1,558$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008515.3%13 W · 72 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Seattle Mariners53c1,500$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7052,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Seattle Mariners54c1,471$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.836,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Boston Red Sox45c1,410$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.652,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Seattle Mariners57c1,310$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.39,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Seattle Mariners55c1,260$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.22,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked Boston Red Sox45c1,109$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.0544945.4%204 W · 245 L-13.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed Seattle Mariners61c1,108$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.012759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c10…b6a4backed Boston Red Sox39c1,106$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43511446.5%53 W · 61 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Seattle Mariners53c1,056$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.321,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Seattle Mariners55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45085952.6%452 W · 407 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Seattle Mariners55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4501,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20e5…118dbacked Seattle Mariners55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45051449.2%253 W · 261 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked Boston Red Sox44c960$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.611743.6%51 W · 66 L-9.9wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-20.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc1be…d4acbacked Seattle Mariners55c866.22$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.468446.4%39 W · 45 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Seattle Mariners56c800$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35632850%164 W · 164 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa689…15fcbacked Seattle Mariners55c800$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36024346.9%114 W · 129 L-1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Boston Red Sox47c800$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37691252.4%478 W · 434 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Boston Red Sox15c799.97$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12036729.4%108 W · 259 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Boston Red Sox41c751.99$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.5712,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Boston Red Sox44c699.95$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.9895850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xef3a…1eb3backed Boston Red Sox22c681.82$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d29…f683backed Seattle Mariners55c559.99$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25326049.6%129 W · 131 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4232…d505backed Seattle Mariners55c540$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2435250%26 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Boston Red Sox43c530.04$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.921,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x10e0…c736backed Seattle Mariners51c505.88$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.8817951.4%92 W · 87 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…67fdbacked Seattle Mariners55c500$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.537748.8%184 W · 193 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x085c…99e3backed Seattle Mariners55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22524448.4%118 W · 126 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c0…24eebacked Seattle Mariners54c499.99$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23021653.2%115 W · 101 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98f3…bf14backed Boston Red Sox55c499.99$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.993562.9%22 W · 13 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+25.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Seattle Mariners55c493.79$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.336,30248.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L+181.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a99…d29fbacked Seattle Mariners51c479.04$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.442100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Seattle Mariners46c478.26$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.2622448.7%109 W · 115 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x186a…559dbacked Seattle Mariners56c472.73$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.3214457.6%83 W · 61 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked Boston Red Sox46c460$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.617853.4%95 W · 83 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Seattle Mariners53c434.13$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.262,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9958…b9acbacked Seattle Mariners56c427.96$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.6614358%83 W · 60 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a01…1a3cbacked Boston Red Sox11c427.09$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8510143.6%44 W · 57 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Seattle Mariners54c410$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.0570744.7%316 W · 391 L-22.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Boston Red Sox3c400$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87c7…d1b6backed Seattle Mariners57c400$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17220455.4%113 W · 91 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Seattle Mariners55c399.99$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1801,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6770…5bdfbacked Boston Red Sox15c396.53$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.4225950.2%130 W · 129 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6262…360cbacked Boston Red Sox7c395.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.722828.6%8 W · 20 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cb5…6e63backed Boston Red Sox33c382.52$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.327467.6%50 W · 24 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+5.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd6e…4555backed Seattle Mariners54c380$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.814046.4%65 W · 75 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x00ed…0a9fbacked Boston Red Sox44c365.2$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.6910145.5%46 W · 55 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd82…9f66backed Boston Red Sox34c352.94$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12015937.7%60 W · 99 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc70b…d2f2backed Seattle Mariners56c346.58$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.511255.4%62 W · 50 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Seattle Mariners53c317.14$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.931,01350.3%510 W · 503 L+51.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+21.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Seattle Mariners54c314$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.182,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31ab…20e9backed Seattle Mariners48c310.86$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.861861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x776f…32b7backed Boston Red Sox48c302.08$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1459657.3%55 W · 41 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Boston Red Sox43c300$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.165651.2%336 W · 320 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Seattle Mariners55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13558652.7%309 W · 277 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Seattle Mariners55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13563943.3%277 W · 362 L+1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x334f…0d32backed Seattle Mariners67c293$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.537868.8%260 W · 118 L+25.1wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Seattle Mariners69c292.29$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.3597050.7%492 W · 478 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Seattle Mariners68c283.22$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.65,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Boston Red Sox54c279.96$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.37per pick52cpaid-74%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.