Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Team Bald - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91414027b6f1a6d192e04fc4841982a2773a9acc1bca279941639f4d5d9e621e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Baldof VP.Prodigy, Team Bald
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $137,182
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $153,630
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,182 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Bald | 61c | 28,166$17,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,865.66 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed VP.Prodigy | 39c | 12,924$5,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,091.41 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Bald | 61c | 11,403$6,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,488.24 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked VP.Prodigy | 19c | 8,594$1,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666.2 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed VP.Prodigy | 13c | 6,427$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.08 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked VP.Prodigy | 24c | 6,337$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,494.8 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed VP.Prodigy | 36c | 6,000$2,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,129.99 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde90…d417backed Team Bald | 80c | 4,500$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 74cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed VP.Prodigy | 19c | 3,814$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.74 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked VP.Prodigy | 42c | 3,750$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,569.88 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13b8…d1afbacked VP.Prodigy | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.99 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Team Bald | 66c | 2,911$1,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.7 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed VP.Prodigy | 32c | 2,431$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.63 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed VP.Prodigy | 11c | 2,395$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.68 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed VP.Prodigy | 11c | 1,265$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.61 | 324 | 41.7%135 W · 189 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed VP.Prodigy | 42c | 1,226$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.07 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed VP.Prodigy | 38c | 1,131$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.64 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed VP.Prodigy | 37c | 1,030$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.64 | 292 | 43.2%126 W · 166 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed VP.Prodigy | 37c | 1,000$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.88 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed VP.Prodigy | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed VP.Prodigy | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed VP.Prodigy | 35c | 840.24$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.33 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed VP.Prodigy | 38c | 796$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.76 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed VP.Prodigy | 25c | 705.84$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.17 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked VP.Prodigy | 37c | 701.04$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.38 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed VP.Prodigy | 43c | 697$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.71 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed VP.Prodigy | 7c | 662.42$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6955…867abacked Team Bald | 63c | 644.21$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.36 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked VP.Prodigy | 21c | 605.54$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.63 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Bald | 64c | 569.16$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.13 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked VP.Prodigy | 43c | 568.6$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.59 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb787…ad0abacked Team Bald | 64c | 559.9$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.56 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked VP.Prodigy | 21c | 555.99$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.76 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…b845backed VP.Prodigy | 11c | 550$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.46 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed VP.Prodigy | 24c | 524.39$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.03 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb87…eb45backed VP.Prodigy | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked VP.Prodigy | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc564…e89dbacked VP.Prodigy | 13c | 499.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…86e1backed VP.Prodigy | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 242 | 44.6%108 W · 134 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed VP.Prodigy | 36c | 482.8$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.81 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Team Bald | 74c | 470.27$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.4 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked VP.Prodigy | 30c | 460.88$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.52 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Team Bald | 79c | 419.82$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.16 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked VP.Prodigy | 18c | 400$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.27 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed VP.Prodigy | 3c | 381.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed VP.Prodigy | 37c | 378.38$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Bald | 79c | 375.54$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.89 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed Team Bald | 57c | 355.82$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked VP.Prodigy | 36c | 334.02$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.24 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed VP.Prodigy | 36c | 328.13$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.13 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Team Bald | 68c | 319.06$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.09 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Team Bald | 64c | 313.38$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.82 | 285 | 44.9%128 W · 157 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed VP.Prodigy | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed VP.Prodigy | 28c | 297.89$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.44 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed VP.Prodigy | 9c | 293.43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…4fddbacked VP.Prodigy | 42c | 284.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.41 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa23c…0a8abacked VP.Prodigy | 26c | 272.24$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed VP.Prodigy | 9c | 270.7$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed VP.Prodigy | 37c | 257.69$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.19 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Team Bald | 77c | 243.39$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.27 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdaa…ed87backed Team Bald | 64c | 242.97$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.47 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57e1…c97fbacked VP.Prodigy | 38c | 239.22$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed VP.Prodigy | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.22 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked VP.Prodigy | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 393 | 51.1%201 W · 192 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed VP.Prodigy | 37c | 185.84$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.76 | 253 | 59.3%150 W · 103 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69f8…2b2fbacked VP.Prodigy | 43c | 184.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed VP.Prodigy | 43c | 178.13$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.6 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed VP.Prodigy | 25c | 175$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed VP.Prodigy | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb085…7b10backed VP.Prodigy | 42c | 166.31$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.45 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad9…0eaebacked Team Bald | 63c | 163.07$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.15 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x257c…a408backed Team Bald | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Team Bald | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked VP.Prodigy | 23c | 150$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 308 | 44.8%138 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed VP.Prodigy | 20c | 147$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a12…a9a7backed VP.Prodigy | 10c | 144.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked VP.Prodigy | 39c | 140$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.2 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1c…8408backed VP.Prodigy | 37c | 139.65$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43a8…d77fbacked VP.Prodigy | 22c | 137.96$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +7.1wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…4b13backed Team Bald | 80c | 137.5$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 139 | 75.5%105 W · 34 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 73cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed VP.Prodigy | 36c | 127.88$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.63 | 192 | 49%94 W · 98 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb695…f967backed VP.Prodigy | 22c | 112.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca2…1798backed Team Bald | 75c | 109$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.25 | 62 | 71%44 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…53d0backed VP.Prodigy | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…5bfdbacked Team Bald | 79c | 101.72$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked VP.Prodigy | 10c | 101.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 405 | 34.6%140 W · 265 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Team Bald | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked VP.Prodigy | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9af1…7d5abacked VP.Prodigy | 39c | 93.95$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.64 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd181…6a2bbacked Team Bald | 72c | 90.48$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 176 | 60.2%106 W · 70 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…02febacked VP.Prodigy | 36c | 90.23$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf456…3855backed VP.Prodigy | 20c | 85.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 173 | 37.6%65 W · 108 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2342…12d6backed Team Bald | 62c | 80.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.39 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked VP.Prodigy | 17c | 75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 222 | 40.1%89 W · 133 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…434abacked Team Bald | 67c | 70$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 496 | 44.6%221 W · 275 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…1002backed Team Bald | 64c | 63.44$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.93 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Team Bald | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed VP.Prodigy | 33c | 58.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Team Bald | 64c | 51.51$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 378 | 51.1%193 W · 185 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd47a…67fabacked VP.Prodigy | 44c | 51.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Team Bald - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Team Bald (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsTeam Bald won
- Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Team Bald - Game 1 WinnerTeam Bald won
- Game Handicap: Bald (-1.5) vs VP.Prodigy (+1.5)Team Bald won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.