Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Team Bald (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd874291e3b3e7aadcde136132cea5cf1c165a2a2c0bb0753556bac1e85f5249e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Baldof VP.Prodigy, Team Bald
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,283
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,323
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,283 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed VP.Prodigy | 39c | 2,421$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.39 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Team Bald | 66c | 1,915$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.78 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed VP.Prodigy | 33c | 1,850$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.5 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed Team Bald | 63c | 1,388$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.62 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed VP.Prodigy | 1c | 1,242$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 104 | 0%0 W · 104 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked VP.Prodigy | 36c | 1,222$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.92 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Team Bald | 62c | 1,215$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.7 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked VP.Prodigy | 19c | 1,125$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.75 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked VP.Prodigy | 10c | 1,041$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.43 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Team Bald | 66c | 1,027$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.03 | 292 | 43.2%126 W · 166 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed VP.Prodigy | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed VP.Prodigy | 37c | 999.99$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed VP.Prodigy | 33c | 999.98$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.99 | 211 | 46.9%99 W · 112 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked VP.Prodigy | 21c | 879.09$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.55 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked VP.Prodigy | 34c | 877.77$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed VP.Prodigy | 29c | 836.8$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.42 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked VP.Prodigy | 34c | 829.74$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.11 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Team Bald | 64c | 750$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Team Bald | 67c | 728$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.24 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Team Bald | 65c | 622.92$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.02 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Bald | 73c | 603.83$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.25 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2b…825ebacked VP.Prodigy | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 106 | 37.7%40 W · 66 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Team Bald | 68c | 543.48$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.48 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +14.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0e…2330backed Team Bald | 66c | 538.86$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.21 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Team Bald | 53c | 525$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a4…a73ebacked VP.Prodigy | 14c | 507.61$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.06 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed VP.Prodigy | 33c | 502.98$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.98 | 101 | 36.6%37 W · 64 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Bald | 62c | 500$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.46 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed VP.Prodigy | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed VP.Prodigy | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed VP.Prodigy | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked VP.Prodigy | 42c | 496.74$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.86 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Bald | 66c | 452.65$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.65 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Team Bald | 57c | 452$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.36 | 210 | 45.7%96 W · 114 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Team Bald | 68c | 441.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…4771backed VP.Prodigy | 40c | 426.2$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Team Bald | 67c | 410$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.3 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked VP.Prodigy | 44c | 409.42$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.05 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x257e…ca61backed Team Bald | 65c | 387.98$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.68 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6da3…95a0backed Team Bald | 60c | 358.4$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7c…7a19backed Team Bald | 73c | 353.51$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.65 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Team Bald | 60c | 336.13$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.45 | 141 | 54.6%77 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Team Bald | 61c | 324.34$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.49 | 139 | 41.7%58 W · 81 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed VP.Prodigy | 29c | 317.23$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.76 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +44.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked Team Bald | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed VP.Prodigy | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefab…a304backed VP.Prodigy | 34c | 291.2$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.01 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Team Bald | 70c | 284.93$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.93 | 150 | 69.3%104 W · 46 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Team Bald | 63c | 275.63$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.97 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Team Bald | 63c | 274$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.84 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed VP.Prodigy | 34c | 257.91$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.95 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked VP.Prodigy | 15c | 250$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Team Bald | 66c | 250$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked VP.Prodigy | 42c | 247.88$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.33 | 325 | 48.9%159 W · 166 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed VP.Prodigy | 34c | 234.1$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.02 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed VP.Prodigy | 37c | 224.41$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.01 | 408 | 44.1%180 W · 228 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Team Bald | 67c | 223.88$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.88 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…fd05backed Team Bald | 57c | 206.98$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcc…ee29backed VP.Prodigy | 41c | 206$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.66 | 174 | 51.7%90 W · 84 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea8…0491backed VP.Prodigy | 39c | 200$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 240 | 41.3%99 W · 141 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…cca3backed Team Bald | 60c | 186.67$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.67 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked VP.Prodigy | 14c | 184.36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed VP.Prodigy | 29c | 183.93$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.34 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed VP.Prodigy | 12c | 173.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…998fbacked Team Bald | 67c | 173.16$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.59 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b0…b4d1backed VP.Prodigy | 34c | 170$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.8 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbda…d2c0backed Team Bald | 67c | 164.18$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.18 | 108 | 70.4%76 W · 32 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Team Bald | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Team Bald | 65c | 159.94$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.42 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Team Bald | 66c | 157.78$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.79 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f7…71d2backed Team Bald | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d5…8a03backed Team Bald | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91c7…24fabacked VP.Prodigy | 23c | 150.49$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked VP.Prodigy | 13c | 150$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 124 | 32.3%40 W · 84 L | -10.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57e1…c97fbacked VP.Prodigy | 34c | 147.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked VP.Prodigy | 11c | 140$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 312 | 51.3%160 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked VP.Prodigy | 36c | 139.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee22…7054backed VP.Prodigy | 21c | 137.87$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -7.6wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -55%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed VP.Prodigy | 16c | 137.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10c0…4dcabacked VP.Prodigy | 29c | 136.45$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.41 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60f…1490backed VP.Prodigy | 36c | 134.53$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 55 | 78.2%43 W · 12 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Team Bald | 58c | 128$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.76 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Team Bald | 70c | 127$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked VP.Prodigy | 33c | 125$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 222 | 40.1%89 W · 133 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed VP.Prodigy | 34c | 125$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Team Bald | 55c | 124.04$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.82 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed VP.Prodigy | 26c | 122$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 324 | 41.7%135 W · 189 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked VP.Prodigy | 20c | 118$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 197 | 37.1%73 W · 124 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed VP.Prodigy | 33c | 118$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.94 | 140 | 43.6%61 W · 79 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…f7dbbacked Team Bald | 56c | 101.65$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.73 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed VP.Prodigy | 15c | 101.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 213 | 44.1%94 W · 119 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed VP.Prodigy | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked VP.Prodigy | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 308 | 44.8%138 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd796…cca3backed Team Bald | 70c | 99.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked VP.Prodigy | 21c | 99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x613a…2185backed VP.Prodigy | 35c | 99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed Team Bald | 66c | 98.07$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.93 | 385 | 47.5%183 W · 202 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Team Bald | 80c | 95.02$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.42 | 79 | 64.6%51 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked VP.Prodigy | 15c | 90$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 217 | 42.9%93 W · 124 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed VP.Prodigy | 23c | 88.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Team Bald (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Team Bald - Game 1 WinnerTeam Bald won
- Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Team Bald - Game 2 WinnerTeam Bald won
- Game Handicap: Bald (-1.5) vs VP.Prodigy (+1.5)Team Bald won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.