Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Team Bald - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7812cc86be453ec43341b0b02adbb1a2df3cd0f86b00de0b0c5e6990fe2425d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Baldof VP.Prodigy, Team Bald
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $158,381
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $165,901
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,381 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Bald | 58c | 27,733$16,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,714.07 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed VP.Prodigy | 42c | 15,288$6,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,348.36 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed VP.Prodigy | 43c | 10,108$4,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,298.86 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Team Bald | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,599.98 | 471 | 46.1%217 W · 254 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked VP.Prodigy | 47c | 5,995$2,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,829 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed VP.Prodigy | 10c | 3,004$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.17 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked VP.Prodigy | 39c | 2,812$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.88 | 1,270 | 45.1%573 W · 697 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed VP.Prodigy | 36c | 2,733$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.47 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked VP.Prodigy | 42c | 2,369$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.8 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed VP.Prodigy | 35c | 2,285$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…e59dbacked VP.Prodigy | 36c | 2,200$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.97 | 220 | 31.8%70 W · 150 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Bald | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.99 | 795 | 59.4%472 W · 323 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed VP.Prodigy | 40c | 1,807$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.99 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed VP.Prodigy | 40c | 1,789$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.17 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…6fe8backed Team Bald | 60c | 1,719$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.8 | 100 | 75%75 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed VP.Prodigy | 36c | 1,650$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.09 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Team Bald | 77c | 1,615$1,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.43 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked VP.Prodigy | 19c | 1,608$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.56 | 1,443 | 48.7%703 W · 740 L | +29.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc41e…e2e9backed VP.Prodigy | 4c | 1,521$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 37 | 5.4%2 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed VP.Prodigy | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.99 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…54c4backed VP.Prodigy | 39c | 1,412$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa23c…0a8abacked VP.Prodigy | 2c | 1,144$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed VP.Prodigy | 6c | 1,133$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.75 | 324 | 3.1%10 W · 314 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked VP.Prodigy | 51c | 1,100$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.86 | 325 | 48.9%159 W · 166 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed VP.Prodigy | 27c | 1,019$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.73 | 679 | 32.5%221 W · 458 L | -27.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked VP.Prodigy | 42c | 1,004$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.71 | 692 | 35.3%244 W · 448 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed VP.Prodigy | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed VP.Prodigy | 47c | 999.99$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.95 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Bald | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb238…4961backed VP.Prodigy | 11c | 905.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.7 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d9…b188backed VP.Prodigy | 23c | 881.3$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed VP.Prodigy | 36c | 859.11$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.12 | 290 | 43.4%126 W · 164 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed VP.Prodigy | 50c | 858$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Team Bald | 60c | 849.98$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.49 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Team Bald | 64c | 846.13$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.1 | 409 | 33%135 W · 274 L | -36.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed VP.Prodigy | 40c | 837.53$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.24 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked VP.Prodigy | 24c | 797.28$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.77 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed VP.Prodigy | 38c | 793.05$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.74 | 1,247 | 44.4%554 W · 693 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed VP.Prodigy | 19c | 790.55$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.28 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed VP.Prodigy | 21c | 781.09$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.78 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked VP.Prodigy | 39c | 729.84$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.64 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked VP.Prodigy | 44c | 727.1$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.92 | 944 | 42.3%399 W · 545 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked VP.Prodigy | 37c | 710.81$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed VP.Prodigy | 42c | 707.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Team Bald | 58c | 684.53$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.53 | 474 | 57.4%272 W · 202 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Team Bald | 60c | 658.38$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.88 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed VP.Prodigy | 37c | 649.52$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.32 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed Team Bald | 56c | 574.22$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.66 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked VP.Prodigy | 36c | 544.46$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.61 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked VP.Prodigy | 45c | 537.49$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked VP.Prodigy | 45c | 527.83$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.4 | 1,894 | 47.7%903 W · 991 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed VP.Prodigy | 13c | 494.85$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.09 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked VP.Prodigy | 39c | 460.88$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.02 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed VP.Prodigy | 42c | 456.63$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.03 | 1,255 | 49.6%623 W · 632 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Team Bald | 76c | 450$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.1 | 772 | 58.5%452 W · 320 L | +74.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked VP.Prodigy | 14c | 400$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.73 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb787…ad0abacked Team Bald | 75c | 399.31$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.41 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4b…c865backed VP.Prodigy | 38c | 394.74$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked Team Bald | 74c | 392.78$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.54 | 488 | 43.6%213 W · 275 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed VP.Prodigy | 32c | 382.47$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.54 | 259 | 48.3%125 W · 134 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked VP.Prodigy | 23c | 380.41$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.51 | 907 | 56.1%509 W · 398 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed VP.Prodigy | 35c | 366.07$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.7 | 192 | 49%94 W · 98 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f41…547cbacked VP.Prodigy | 30c | 364$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.2 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked VP.Prodigy | 28c | 321$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.66 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0452…843cbacked Team Bald | 77c | 319.13$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.55 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed Team Bald | 58c | 308.84$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.71 | 581 | 56.6%329 W · 252 L | +27.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed VP.Prodigy | 24c | 278.61$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.98 | 131 | 45%59 W · 72 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Team Bald | 77c | 274.44$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.44 | 907 | 53.7%487 W · 420 L | +50.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f42…1f72backed Team Bald | 75c | 270$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 318 | 65.1%207 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x257c…a408backed Team Bald | 76c | 264.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbda…d2c0backed Team Bald | 58c | 262.26$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.26 | 108 | 70.4%76 W · 32 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…d7dbbacked VP.Prodigy | 38c | 255.72$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.22 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked VP.Prodigy | 43c | 254.58$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.73 | 1,151 | 47.8%550 W · 601 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed VP.Prodigy | 41c | 253.01$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.13 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed VP.Prodigy | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b5…205abacked VP.Prodigy | 43c | 242.07$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.68 | 319 | 53.9%172 W · 147 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Team Bald | 71c | 230.9$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.89 | 79 | 64.6%51 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed VP.Prodigy | 45c | 220.27$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.44 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed VP.Prodigy | 45c | 212$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.23 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed VP.Prodigy | 42c | 206.58$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.02 | 359 | 48.2%173 W · 186 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6334…6fa3backed VP.Prodigy | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed VP.Prodigy | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed VP.Prodigy | 47c | 200$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.95 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Team Bald | 66c | 197.03$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd241…6c35backed VP.Prodigy | 23c | 183.05$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.1 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5088…cfc5backed Team Bald | 56c | 177.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.66 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d6…423dbacked VP.Prodigy | 17c | 172.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…1002backed Team Bald | 59c | 162.7$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.4 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdaa…ed87backed Team Bald | 64c | 157.45$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.68 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked VP.Prodigy | 43c | 150$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 222 | 40.1%89 W · 133 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28f5…2035backed Team Bald | 57c | 149.98$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.49 | 331 | 65.3%216 W · 115 L | +23.4wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked VP.Prodigy | 12c | 146.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 283 | 36.4%103 W · 180 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…878abacked Team Bald | 60c | 132.66$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.66 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e1…c97fbacked VP.Prodigy | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked VP.Prodigy | 44c | 125$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.25 | 308 | 44.8%138 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed VP.Prodigy | 44c | 125$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…c3b7backed VP.Prodigy | 43c | 125$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3def…1169backed VP.Prodigy | 15c | 121.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…1b41backed VP.Prodigy | 23c | 120$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed VP.Prodigy | 47c | 112.72$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.17 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | +11.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Team Bald - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Team Bald (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsTeam Bald won
- Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Team Bald - Game 2 WinnerTeam Bald won
- Game Handicap: Bald (-1.5) vs VP.Prodigy (+1.5)Team Bald won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.