TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: REKONIX vs Grind Back - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Grind Backof REKONIX, Grind Back
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$167,046
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$197,406

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $167,046 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 221 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x913c…39b3backed Grind Back64c20,321$13,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,216.0871454.5%389 W · 325 L+55.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked REKONIX68c11,212$7,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,623.580256%449 W · 353 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked REKONIX74c7,106$5,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,236.411,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe16d…5e30backed REKONIX45c5,704$2,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,545.241,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1032…c372backed REKONIX64c4,300$2,752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,751.992040%8 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Grind Back49c3,878$1,907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,970.82,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Grind Back44c3,540$1,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,986.2654246.7%253 W · 289 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15e5…d3febacked REKONIX22c3,373$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.720%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Grind Back34c3,154$1,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,096.4626843.7%117 W · 151 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Grind Back61c3,012$1,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,177.0230138.9%117 W · 184 L-20.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-32.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked REKONIX24c3,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72089741.5%372 W · 525 L+22.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad09…612cbacked Grind Back36c2,631$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,670.912842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Grind Back38c2,618$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,629.231,28045%576 W · 704 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f00…2f63backed Grind Back39c2,500$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,522.21475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+68.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3de…6fe8backed Grind Back80c2,444$1,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.3510075%75 W · 25 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Grind Back48c2,180$1,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,132.1919249%94 W · 98 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Grind Back44c2,168$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.431,45848.5%707 W · 751 L+27.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Grind Back43c1,724$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$984.3958746.5%273 W · 314 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Grind Back45c1,506$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.4756945.2%257 W · 312 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed REKONIX19c1,445$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.6569132.6%225 W · 466 L-26.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked REKONIX70c1,413$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993.3161456%344 W · 270 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Grind Back79c1,395$1,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.962,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed Grind Back35c1,273$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.1728341%116 W · 167 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed Grind Back34c1,166$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.371,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Grind Back36c1,111$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.7223529.4%69 W · 166 L-21.5wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-26.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcd65…5726backed REKONIX71c1,095$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776.9511753%62 W · 55 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed REKONIX58c1,064$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.6888539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Grind Back43c1,059$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.1589238.1%340 W · 552 L-42.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Grind Back48c1,039$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.171,70241.2%701 W · 1,001 L-44.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Grind Back46c1,028$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.7430146.2%139 W · 162 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf27…026fbacked REKONIX65c1,012$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.1865863.1%415 W · 243 L+17.5wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed REKONIX44c1,000$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.871,16447.2%549 W · 615 L-29.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked REKONIX65c1,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65077256.5%436 W · 336 L+30.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked REKONIX30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30019338.9%75 W · 118 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefdd…1e8abacked Grind Back51c1,000$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.7315050%75 W · 75 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed REKONIX1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102110.5%1 W · 210 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-99.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc564…e89dbacked REKONIX46c999.97$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.999242.4%39 W · 53 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a5e…8fd0backed Grind Back31c967.74$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.746053.3%32 W · 28 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked REKONIX60c869.1$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.4625549%125 W · 130 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bce…558cbacked Grind Back37c864.62$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.712661.5%16 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x958c…a328backed REKONIX50c858$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42928347%133 W · 150 L+10.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Grind Back35c854.01$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.111,24844.4%554 W · 694 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Grind Back74c851.68$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.971,26049.7%626 W · 634 L+21.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f30…3aeebacked REKONIX64c841.52$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54214157.4%81 W · 60 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Grind Back79c826$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.686659.6%516 W · 350 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x824b…8386backed REKONIX64c781.88$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015848.1%76 W · 82 L-13.8wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-21.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x52f9…1fb2backed Grind Back37c759$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4753627.8%10 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5f6…38e8backed REKONIX12c754.54$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.193323%10 W · 322 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-57.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed REKONIX63c749$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.8712646%58 W · 68 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd92c…dd9abacked Grind Back33c745.58$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.172352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+21.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x60dd…40e5backed Grind Back52c734.54$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.9533453%177 W · 157 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa0b…2debbacked Grind Back75c705.33$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.3319547.7%93 W · 102 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed REKONIX72c666.54$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48016256.8%92 W · 70 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Grind Back43c659.42$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.5458943%253 W · 336 L-25.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed REKONIX69c652.16$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.9917757.6%102 W · 75 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5b1…1b71backed Grind Back31c628.55$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.76741.8%28 W · 39 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Grind Back63c608.51$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.4466947.1%315 W · 354 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked REKONIX47c590.87$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.951,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf991…3965backed Grind Back25c581.81$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.1131248.4%151 W · 161 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x812e…6f3cbacked Grind Back69c523.3$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.61662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x952a…bdc8backed REKONIX68c519.6$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.148469%58 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Grind Back54c514.12$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.143067%288 W · 142 L+31.9wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+11.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1c93…33d5backed Grind Back36c500$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3201936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-31.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc36…d35dbacked Grind Back34c500$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3304645.7%21 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3265…d5b8backed Grind Back71c499.99$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1455942.4%25 W · 34 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked REKONIX66c499.98$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.4991356.1%512 W · 401 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Grind Back76c498$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.6779341.7%331 W · 462 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Grind Back48c485.06$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.8353538.5%206 W · 329 L-26.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-31.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdcb8…6b51backed Grind Back64c482.78$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.8542053.6%225 W · 195 L+16.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5779…54adbacked REKONIX65c463.46$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a86…cc01backed Grind Back30c452$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.410051%51 W · 49 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb877…4601backed REKONIX67c448.82$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.4641455.6%230 W · 184 L+41.4wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+19.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd6f5…f3b5backed REKONIX61c438.32$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.3718351.9%95 W · 88 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Grind Back30c411.05$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.2371143%306 W · 405 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Grind Back52c400$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.3422240.1%89 W · 133 L-14.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Grind Back49c400$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.830844.8%138 W · 170 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Grind Back39c400$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.2962841.1%258 W · 370 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed REKONIX67c396.58$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.8593546.4%434 W · 501 L-15.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9705…7442backed Grind Back37c394$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.373528.6%10 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7dfd…b845backed REKONIX30c392.64$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.587656.6%43 W · 33 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0273…f081backed REKONIX21c388$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.2815639.1%61 W · 95 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a3a…269fbacked Grind Back28c373.12$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.654050%20 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x05a7…42e6backed REKONIX69c364$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.2141056.8%233 W · 177 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Grind Back41c361.39$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.0640534.6%140 W · 265 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed REKONIX63c360.19$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.0729243.2%126 W · 166 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc1ec…64b6backed Grind Back34c356.62$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+197.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe74…a70ebacked Grind Back38c350$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.2513145.8%60 W · 71 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Grind Back35c346.68$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.7368345.8%313 W · 370 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed REKONIX63c339.06$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.6165647.3%310 W · 346 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed REKONIX61c324.28$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.815747.4%27 W · 30 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2d8…f6b6backed Grind Back36c295.77$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.292748.1%13 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed REKONIX62c292.91$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.7952046.5%242 W · 278 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8342…6dc8backed REKONIX71c283.26$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9948054%259 W · 221 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3162…d515backed Grind Back63c266.87$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.1435948.2%173 W · 186 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe16…60bebacked REKONIX67c260.59$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.421154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+28.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Grind Back47c248.99$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.031,12036.1%404 W · 716 L-39.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked Grind Back47c246.7$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.7912432.3%40 W · 84 L-10.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-41.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Grind Back54c246.15$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.9491553.3%488 W · 427 L+48.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6c6…933abacked REKONIX63c238.95$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15012868%87 W · 41 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8106…bd36backed Grind Back39c236.74$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.418056.3%45 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.