Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Gibson vs Alexandrova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10be7f4094a47a1d63f9729f85f636d84c5541578c92c454f8ad1155dfbe89f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gibsonof Gibson, Alexandrova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,135
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,164
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,135 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Gibson | 55c | 8,073$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,672.71 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Alexandrova | 46c | 7,500$3,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,450 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Gibson | 47c | 2,005$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.65 | 391 | 35.8%140 W · 251 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Alexandrova | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Alexandrova | 43c | 1,457$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.56 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61a8…1ad4backed Gibson | 54c | 1,156$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.62 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe729…6cd0backed Gibson | 51c | 924.71$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.11 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Gibson | 62c | 770.44$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.19 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Alexandrova | 49c | 614.43$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.07 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Gibson | 50c | 415.74$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.87 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Gibson | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Alexandrova | 47c | 275.5$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.49 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Gibson | 56c | 223.84$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.49 | 950 | 50.1%476 W · 474 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb74c…f4f1backed Alexandrova | 50c | 213.84$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.92 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…3f90backed Alexandrova | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa35d…102abacked Alexandrova | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Gibson | 63c | 144.63$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.51 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b06…c9f9backed Alexandrova | 40c | 130.4$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.16 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe295…7df1backed Alexandrova | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Alexandrova | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Alexandrova | 45c | 41.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…cda9backed Gibson | 61c | 41.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe660…514fbacked Alexandrova | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 102 | 33.3%34 W · 68 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Gibson | 48c | 38.46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b94…9c0dbacked Alexandrova | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Gibson | 55c | 35.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 1,226 | 52%637 W · 589 L | +44.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Alexandrova | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 425 | 45.6%194 W · 231 L | -11.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Gibson | 53c | 27.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Gibson | 48c | 24.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0128…d934backed Gibson | 61c | 23.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.34per pick | 56cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Gibson | 53c | 19.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 455 | 66.4%302 W · 153 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Gibson vs Alexandrovathis page
- Gibson vs. Alexandrova: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- National Bank Open: Talia Gibson vs Ekaterina AlexandrovaEkaterina Alexandrova won
- Set Handicap: Alexandrova (-1.5) vs Gibson (+1.5)Gibson won
- Set Handicap: Gibson (-1.5) vs Alexandrova (+1.5)Alexandrova won
- Talia Gibson vs. Ekaterina Alexandrova: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.