Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Alexandrova (-1.5) vs Gibson (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b80b05b75d5bfe3ff2976cbb7500e175b8b953561fe11d5f5a5dbed70d7c8f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gibsonof Alexandrova, Gibson
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,433
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,100
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,433 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Alexandrova | 35c | 999.98$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.99 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7002…395cbacked Alexandrova | 39c | 900$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351 | 222 | 52.7%117 W · 105 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Gibson | 65c | 572.73$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.46 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Gibson | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e9…caedbacked Gibson | 61c | 400$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 92 | 67.4%62 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Alexandrova | 30c | 385.18$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.18 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc79b…b9eebacked Gibson | 65c | 370.43$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.65 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7596…f13abacked Gibson | 71c | 211.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.27 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Alexandrova | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Gibson | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 848 | 57.4%487 W · 361 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Gibson | 65c | 132.8$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.48 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Gibson | 65c | 107.69$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 282 | 55%155 W · 127 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1861…408dbacked Alexandrova | 31c | 43.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4383…dbddbacked Gibson | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Gibson | 64c | 32.72$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Gibson | 70c | 31.42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f96…9ecebacked Gibson | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 73cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Alexandrova (-1.5) vs Gibson (+1.5)this page
- Gibson vs. Alexandrova: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- National Bank Open: Talia Gibson vs Ekaterina AlexandrovaEkaterina Alexandrova won
- Set 1 Winner: Gibson vs AlexandrovaGibson won
- Set Handicap: Gibson (-1.5) vs Alexandrova (+1.5)Alexandrova won
- Talia Gibson vs. Ekaterina Alexandrova: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.