Cricket · resolved market
SA20: Pretoria Capitals vs Sunrisers Eastern Cape (Game 1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e1276d5b778722cdcc60a3e2cfe3b4cd20a564b542883a2a4e232c555a71302
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunrisers Eastern Capeof Pretoria Capitals, Sunrisers Eastern Cape
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,588
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,148
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,588 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1599…a8b6backed Pretoria Capitals | 35c | 3,896$1,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373.34 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…dc71backed Sunrisers Eastern Cape | 69c | 3,495$2,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Pretoria Capitals | 34c | 3,326$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.03 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Pretoria Capitals | 24c | 2,578$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.44 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c9…41b5backed Sunrisers Eastern Cape | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Sunrisers Eastern Cape | 58c | 1,601$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.11 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…c1f5backed Sunrisers Eastern Cape | 59c | 1,542$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.62 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa69b…7b0cbacked Pretoria Capitals | 38c | 1,506$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.01 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +20.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Sunrisers Eastern Cape | 65c | 1,376$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.13 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Sunrisers Eastern Cape | 56c | 1,310$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.27 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Pretoria Capitals | 40c | 1,150$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.66 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Pretoria Capitals | 42c | 1,092$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.58 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…2134backed Sunrisers Eastern Cape | 65c | 712.7$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.76 | 125 | 34.4%43 W · 82 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Pretoria Capitals | 10c | 690.67$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.12 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4798…bac8backed Pretoria Capitals | 41c | 688.92$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189c…c41ebacked Sunrisers Eastern Cape | 61c | 679.04$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Sunrisers Eastern Cape | 70c | 591.87$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.96 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc172…47cbbacked Pretoria Capitals | 42c | 580$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.6 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Pretoria Capitals | 27c | 526.86$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.63 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed Sunrisers Eastern Cape | 57c | 502.46$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.9 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e01…9bd0backed Pretoria Capitals | 28c | 500$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…ce91backed Pretoria Capitals | 44c | 464.12$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.61 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…f872backed Sunrisers Eastern Cape | 59c | 355.08$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.03 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Pretoria Capitals | 11c | 332.22$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.18 | 111 | 6.3%7 W · 104 L | -18.9wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Sunrisers Eastern Cape | 60c | 320.94$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.06 | 88 | 60.2%53 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Pretoria Capitals | 42c | 220$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Sunrisers Eastern Cape | 60c | 216.6$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb0…27f8backed Pretoria Capitals | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | +6.1wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d09…1167backed Pretoria Capitals | 41c | 195.1$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0646…ad17backed Pretoria Capitals | 13c | 166.42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 324 | 15.7%51 W · 273 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0cf…8671backed Sunrisers Eastern Cape | 62c | 148.6$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.77 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd4…a6f6backed Pretoria Capitals | 39c | 140$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c87…98b1backed Pretoria Capitals | 14c | 140$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 107 | 11.2%12 W · 95 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7a…500cbacked Sunrisers Eastern Cape | 59c | 134.89$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.31 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4690…94fbbacked Sunrisers Eastern Cape | 59c | 133$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.53 | 151 | 51.7%78 W · 73 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a1…e821backed Sunrisers Eastern Cape | 59c | 129.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.3 | 235 | 55.3%130 W · 105 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec95…156dbacked Pretoria Capitals | 20c | 124.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x901b…59efbacked Sunrisers Eastern Cape | 65c | 121.51$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.67 | 132 | 41.7%55 W · 77 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0d…ca21backed Pretoria Capitals | 39c | 117.11$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 203 | 42.4%86 W · 117 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…cd78backed Pretoria Capitals | 43c | 107.6$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.27 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Pretoria Capitals | 10c | 103.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f8…280cbacked Pretoria Capitals | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c56…daf8backed Pretoria Capitals | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999f…1312backed Pretoria Capitals | 41c | 90.49$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…c744backed Pretoria Capitals | 40c | 74.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 130 | 40.8%53 W · 77 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1f…6823backed Pretoria Capitals | 50c | 70.68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.34 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | +200.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…73adbacked Pretoria Capitals | 29c | 55.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 261 | 30.7%80 W · 181 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Pretoria Capitals | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca6a…519abacked Pretoria Capitals | 30c | 49.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 36cpaid | -75%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Sunrisers Eastern Cape | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5064…b4a2backed Pretoria Capitals | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…ceeabacked Pretoria Capitals | 42c | 37.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Pretoria Capitals | 44c | 33.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed Pretoria Capitals | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 198 | 62.6%124 W · 74 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b2a…0ed3backed Sunrisers Eastern Cape | 60c | 24.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0184…8a3abacked Sunrisers Eastern Cape | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…3cd2backed Sunrisers Eastern Cape | 60c | 21.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Sunrisers Eastern Cape | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…d5b0backed Sunrisers Eastern Cape | 60c | 19.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SA20: Pretoria Capitals vs Sunrisers Eastern Cape (Game 1)this page
- SA20: Pretoria Capitals vs Sunrisers Eastern Cape (Game 1) - Who wins the toss?Pretoria Capitals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.