TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9d63…242a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
48
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Asian League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 55 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT2060%12 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dubrovnik: Mayar Sherif vs Mia Risticbacked Mayar Sherif · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.2
Split: Mili Poljicak vs Felix Gillbacked Felix Gill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.6
Bucaramanga: Johan Nikles vs Benjamin Torrealbabacked Johan Nikles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$6.06
Miami Open: Victoria Mboko vs Karolina Muchovabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+75.9%+$11.46
Dubrovnik: Lucija Bagaric vs Mia Risticbacked Mia Ristic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+34.1%+$8.33
Split: Alexander Vasilev vs George Loffhagenbacked George Loffhagen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.95
Dubrovnik: Anhelina Kalinina vs Lucia Bronzettibacked Anhelina Kalinina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$7.13
Yokkaichi: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Justin Boulaisbacked Justin Boulais · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.92
Yokkaichi: Li Tu vs Carl Overbeckbacked Li Tu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+63.1%+$7.77
Sao Paulo: Pedro Sakamoto vs Thiago Monteirobacked Pedro Sakamoto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Miami Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Split: Martin Krumich vs Felix Gillbacked Felix Gill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.14
Dubrovnik: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Lina Gjorcheskabacked Leyre Romero Gormaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+38.2%+$6.56
Split: Jacopo Berrettini vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburgbacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+81.2%+$54.22
Dubrovnik: Lola Radivojevic vs Alina Charaevabacked Lola Radivojevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.24
Naples: Geoffrey Blancaneaux vs Vitaliy Sachkobacked Geoffrey Blancaneaux · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
Dubrovnik: Dominika Salkova vs Kaitlin Quevedobacked Kaitlin Quevedo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+114.9%+$21.06
Dubrovnik: Guiomar Maristany vs Veronika Erjavecbacked Veronika Erjavec · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+50.6%+$6.13
Yokkaichi: Renta Tokuda vs August Holmgrenbacked Renta Tokuda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.29
Yokkaichi: Hayato Matsuoka vs Ognjen Milicbacked Hayato Matsuoka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+46.4%+$12.28
All 20 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Illinois State Redbirds vs. Dayton Flyersbacked Dayton Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.02
Spread: Tulsa Golden Hurricane (-3.5)backed Wichita State Shockers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.6
Spread: Auburn Tigers (-13.5)backed Seattle Redhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+155.5%+$15.91
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-10.5)backed Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+72.1%+$9.84
All 4 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+128.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+97.9%+$10.68
Henan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+159.8%+$40.52
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+66%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Xinjiang Flying Tigers vs. Shandong Hi-Speed Kirinbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+102.1%+$61.74
Shanghai Sharks vs. Guangdong Southern Tigersbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.27
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+71.7%+$8.67
Newcastle United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.55
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.86per pick14cpaid+595.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+595.4%+$177.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+52.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Nantes vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+52.8%+$5.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win on 2026-03-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.