Tennis · resolved market
Dubrovnik: Lucija Bagaric vs Mia Ristic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0a64221c9b0d42eed10237a6f32886b7737a7a7cce6b39b9aaeaff04d772833
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mia Risticof Lucija Bagaric, Mia Ristic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,016
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,016 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcc26…b177backed Lucija Bagaric | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aee…fad4backed Mia Ristic | 74c | 4,029$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.96 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Lucija Bagaric | 12c | 1,811$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.89 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Lucija Bagaric | 26c | 1,757$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.74 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7376…4f46backed Lucija Bagaric | 26c | 1,700$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Lucija Bagaric | 25c | 1,522$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.29 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Lucija Bagaric | 26c | 1,249$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.08 | 320 | 31.3%100 W · 220 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f20…0360backed Lucija Bagaric | 26c | 900$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…a5d6backed Mia Ristic | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 504 | 58.9%297 W · 207 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Lucija Bagaric | 26c | 602.7$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.7 | 469 | 32%150 W · 319 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mia Ristic | 73c | 587.3$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.93 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Lucija Bagaric | 25c | 577.07$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.48 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x123a…c974backed Lucija Bagaric | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Mia Ristic | 74c | 472.98$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.97 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Lucija Bagaric | 26c | 472.06$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.74 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x400d…e759backed Mia Ristic | 74c | 399.98$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 608 | 56.6%344 W · 264 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f2…a822backed Mia Ristic | 75c | 399.98$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.99 | 111 | 58.6%65 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d8…06eabacked Lucija Bagaric | 8c | 361.87$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Lucija Bagaric | 25c | 352.88$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.44 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…f15cbacked Mia Ristic | 74c | 338.69$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.66 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…6118backed Mia Ristic | 75c | 334.25$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.25 | 239 | 65.3%156 W · 83 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Lucija Bagaric | 28c | 311.19$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.92 | 363 | 33.9%123 W · 240 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Lucija Bagaric | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 586 | 39.6%232 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf7d…c233backed Mia Ristic | 74c | 300$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcff1…1e74backed Mia Ristic | 74c | 300$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4c…913fbacked Mia Ristic | 74c | 300$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +87.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Lucija Bagaric | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…71babacked Lucija Bagaric | 28c | 278$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.84 | 285 | 52.3%149 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Lucija Bagaric | 28c | 253.06$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.83 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fe…98a5backed Mia Ristic | 74c | 250$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x172a…6502backed Mia Ristic | 74c | 250$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Mia Ristic | 73c | 181.56$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.02 | 567 | 57.1%324 W · 243 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1b…89d0backed Mia Ristic | 75c | 150$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf27b…39edbacked Mia Ristic | 74c | 150$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3e…7909backed Mia Ristic | 74c | 150$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…0c28backed Mia Ristic | 74c | 150$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbade…84b8backed Mia Ristic | 74c | 150$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3792…3f75backed Mia Ristic | 74c | 150$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad3…4144backed Mia Ristic | 74c | 150$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb984…03febacked Mia Ristic | 74c | 150$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Mia Ristic | 74c | 149$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.74 | 967 | 55.3%535 W · 432 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Mia Ristic | 73c | 137$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 382 | 68.1%260 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Mia Ristic | 75c | 133$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 534 | 57.7%308 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Lucija Bagaric | 25c | 130.04$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.91 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Mia Ristic | 73c | 130$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5444…bbdabacked Mia Ristic | 77c | 129.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.85 | 331 | 49.2%163 W · 168 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Lucija Bagaric | 23c | 113.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.41 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Lucija Bagaric | 25c | 107.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Lucija Bagaric | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 119 | 27.7%33 W · 86 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…ed22backed Mia Ristic | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 184 | 47.3%87 W · 97 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…1d57backed Mia Ristic | 78c | 96.26$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.26 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 74cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Lucija Bagaric | 25c | 95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lucija Bagaric | 22c | 93.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Lucija Bagaric | 25c | 91.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…80ecbacked Lucija Bagaric | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 211 | 49.8%105 W · 106 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Lucija Bagaric | 26c | 80$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 299 | 47.5%142 W · 157 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…9a6ebacked Lucija Bagaric | 25c | 67.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2363…1ac3backed Mia Ristic | 73c | 61.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef49…1207backed Lucija Bagaric | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Lucija Bagaric | 28c | 51.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Lucija Bagaric | 23c | 51.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 594 | 40.2%239 W · 355 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed Lucija Bagaric | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 124 | 47.6%59 W · 65 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf79…796ebacked Mia Ristic | 75c | 46.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Mia Ristic | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 711 | 65.1%463 W · 248 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe856…4711backed Mia Ristic | 75c | 35.74$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d63…242abacked Mia Ristic | 75c | 32.79$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mia Ristic | 74c | 30.52$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…9436backed Mia Ristic | 75c | 26.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 74cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…641bbacked Mia Ristic | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca53…195fbacked Mia Ristic | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x047c…44c4backed Mia Ristic | 75c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +35%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Mia Ristic | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 355 | 59.4%211 W · 144 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Mia Ristic | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dubrovnik: Lucija Bagaric vs Mia Risticthis page
- Bagaric vs. Ristic: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.