TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Yokkaichi: Li Tu vs Carl Overbeck

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Li Tuof Li Tu, Carl Overbeck
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$435,142

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $435,142 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5d58…9a15backed Li Tu71c121,715$86,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,018.74647.8%22 W · 24 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Carl Overbeck29c99,915$29,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,439.352,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Carl Overbeck36c12,253$4,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,450.0737741.4%156 W · 221 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6826…d188backed Carl Overbeck0c11,280$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.283517.1%6 W · 29 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Carl Overbeck33c4,032$1,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,346.532,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Li Tu36c3,351$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,151.221,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Li Tu65c3,000$1,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,038.692,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Carl Overbeck33c2,406$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783.443,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Li Tu35c2,277$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,476.5130225.8%78 W · 224 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Carl Overbeck27c2,266$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.8234136.4%124 W · 217 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Carl Overbeck28c2,223$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.694,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Carl Overbeck33c2,159$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.386,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x27c5…6d61backed Carl Overbeck55c1,804$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.96235.5%22 W · 40 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+30.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc8e…f961backed Carl Overbeck57c1,750$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.165724.6%14 W · 43 L-6.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-30.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Carl Overbeck45c1,016$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.6926131.4%82 W · 179 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3010…a27cbacked Li Tu39c932$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.5210729%31 W · 76 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Carl Overbeck43c808.07$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.684,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Carl Overbeck33c786.25$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.726,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Carl Overbeck30c696$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.8673745.2%333 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Carl Overbeck44c620.68$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.378,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a84…e271backed Carl Overbeck54c600$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.6913959%82 W · 57 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Carl Overbeck27c589.42$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.44,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Carl Overbeck62c550.91$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.839,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Li Tu58c470$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.418250%91 W · 91 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Carl Overbeck56c450.02$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa10e…4ea1backed Li Tu47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.538331.3%26 W · 57 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4865…904dbacked Li Tu72c418.52$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.5237071.9%266 W · 104 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e38…1b52backed Carl Overbeck35c380$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13361924.4%151 W · 468 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93c8…adffbacked Carl Overbeck55c362.09$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026847%126 W · 142 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Carl Overbeck49c330$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.720336%73 W · 130 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8a0…92dfbacked Li Tu46c326.09$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.0929637.5%111 W · 185 L-15.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5444…bbdabacked Carl Overbeck34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10033149.2%163 W · 168 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked Li Tu50c280$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14016648.8%81 W · 85 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd571…d24abacked Carl Overbeck29c275.86$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8020643.2%89 W · 117 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Li Tu77c260.52$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.521,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7e0…a433backed Li Tu72c244.08$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.3421845.9%100 W · 118 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Carl Overbeck42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea48…62dcbacked Carl Overbeck56c234.88$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.539947.5%47 W · 52 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Carl Overbeck54c230$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.221346.5%99 W · 114 L+0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Carl Overbeck37c210$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.4526941.3%111 W · 158 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1d9…5955backed Carl Overbeck24c204.46$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.071752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Carl Overbeck49c202.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Carl Overbeck25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.411,02646.8%480 W · 546 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781d…201bbacked Carl Overbeck51c197.6$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-39%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Li Tu67c186.22$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.547,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Carl Overbeck54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10057349.6%284 W · 289 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Carl Overbeck28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,25850%629 W · 629 L-4.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe30c…3f38backed Li Tu30c166$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.21662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+43.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Carl Overbeck34c158.82$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5435944.8%161 W · 198 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Li Tu33c151.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.521,41745.2%640 W · 777 L+41.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Li Tu48c141.67$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.6728322.3%63 W · 220 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-31.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xff21…d56abacked Li Tu74c139.64$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.641573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Carl Overbeck73c136.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013444%59 W · 75 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x068a…6fe7backed Li Tu75c133.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.566852.9%36 W · 32 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Li Tu79c126.96$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.961978.9%15 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick74cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Carl Overbeck37c107.47$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.443,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x9534…4182backed Li Tu67c101.51$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.481154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Carl Overbeck33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3362534.4%215 W · 410 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Carl Overbeck35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.631435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-37.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Li Tu52c99.04$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.127,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Li Tu32c98.33$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.3353752.3%281 W · 256 L+2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Li Tu41c95.74$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3659440.2%239 W · 355 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xade2…e86dbacked Carl Overbeck56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5052661.2%322 W · 204 L+1.8wins0.00per pick61cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd72f…2806backed Li Tu76c88.01$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a74…6631backed Li Tu71c81.92$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.761668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Li Tu29c79.31$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3135730.5%109 W · 248 L-11.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7474…3e91backed Li Tu40c68.17$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.171855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Li Tu59c68$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.7869249.6%343 W · 349 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x288a…768abacked Li Tu62c64.95$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.864259.5%25 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6aaa…ddfdbacked Carl Overbeck46c64.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3027346.5%127 W · 146 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a90…700bbacked Carl Overbeck43c62.66$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.051266.7%8 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Carl Overbeck35c60$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.732,11855.9%1,185 W · 933 L+40.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc898…a9b9backed Li Tu41c58.54$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.543574.3%26 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Carl Overbeck40c58.19$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1236333.9%123 W · 240 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Li Tu50c57.03$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.331,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8882…c67dbacked Li Tu56c56.76$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.75054%27 W · 23 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Carl Overbeck30c53.33$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1652854.9%290 W · 238 L+20.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Carl Overbeck25c51.01$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.915113.7%7 W · 44 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-36%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Li Tu59c50.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8546453%246 W · 218 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf80d…0c0cbacked Li Tu69c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d47…e855backed Li Tu34c44.14$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.14450%2 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+40.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e96…1e75backed Carl Overbeck48c43.87$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.852958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbcc…5ae5backed Li Tu75c40.82$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.181782.4%14 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick69cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0922…d953backed Li Tu59c40.66$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.735952.5%31 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbebf…9baebacked Li Tu57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0990854.5%495 W · 413 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad9d…9b95backed Li Tu47c32.24$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.248851.1%45 W · 43 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe894…d8dfbacked Carl Overbeck35c31.02$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.98850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-21.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked Li Tu53c30.75$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.417354.8%40 W · 33 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8bf…1c35backed Li Tu63c30.52$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.321050%5 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x900c…f55cbacked Carl Overbeck70c30.43$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+53.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd77…ef21backed Li Tu53c29.28$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6665264.1%418 W · 234 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Carl Overbeck41c29.24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.112,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc874…54a3backed Li Tu73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.42382.6%19 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick68cpaid+16.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Li Tu49c22.53$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4857252.3%299 W · 273 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12f9…6967backed Li Tu67c22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.26520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-70.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2909…d8d9backed Carl Overbeck62c21.84$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.546248.4%30 W · 32 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Li Tu54c21.75$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9511352.2%59 W · 54 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2953…2ed5backed Carl Overbeck49c21$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2934851.1%178 W · 170 L+1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d63…242abacked Li Tu61c20.1$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.772060%12 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6af…532dbacked Li Tu70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.