Asian League · resolved market
Henan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19d925dadb0830cb84eb75d698049c83d0062388c3a71420ebb8a80398eebec2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,369
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,369 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 2,495$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.03 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 62c | 1,355$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.24 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Over | 47c | 1,068$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.85 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 37cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 33c | 999.86$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.95 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 29c | 889.83$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.05 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 52c | 599.99$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 55c | 454.53$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 144 | 29.2%42 W · 102 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe220…f862backed Over | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…d31abacked Over | 63c | 393.85$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.93 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 63c | 372.08$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.98 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 57c | 367.5$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.34 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Under | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Under | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b9…70aebacked Over | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba6c…20e3backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 17c | 168.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e32…449bbacked Under | 50c | 142.86$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +179.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 37c | 131$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.53 | 225 | 55.1%124 W · 101 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4801…295fbacked Over | 45c | 120$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Over | 34c | 113.76$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.51 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Under | 64c | 104.16$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 66c | 100.02$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.23 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 40c | 88.97$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.97 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf715…bbf0backed Over | 64c | 88$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.32 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 20c | 85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf72a…5d8ebacked Over | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7a…3ce8backed Over | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 33c | 74.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d63…242abacked Under | 38c | 65.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +128.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 42c | 64.96$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.87 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe2…5981backed Under | 37c | 64.52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.65 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed Under | 66c | 64.32$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Under | 52c | 64.04$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Under | 33c | 49.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.44 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Over | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 141 | 44%62 W · 79 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c42…213bbacked Over | 28c | 43.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc667…e68dbacked Under | 68c | 39.1$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.47per pick | 36cpaid | +196.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 37c | 36.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Under | 56c | 35.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.42 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Under | 64c | 33.15$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Under | 39c | 31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…8c82backed Over | 52c | 28.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 66c | 23.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 48c | 23.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…aeaabacked Over | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Henan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Henan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Henan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Henan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Henan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Henan FC (-1.5)Wuhan San Zhen FC won
- Spread: Henan FC (-2.5)Wuhan San Zhen FC won
- Spread: Wuhan San Zhen FC (-1.5)Henan FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.