Asian League · resolved market
Henan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35f8f3b14e5c46801b08eb3776670228a484c8055ef2a9a9d804f2026b0ba952
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,814
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,814 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 1,436$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.23 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 39c | 1,369$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.91 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 37cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 51c | 696.86$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.46 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x955f…2a6fbacked Over | 53c | 654.34$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 39c | 257.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 78c | 192.58$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.58 | 213 | 67.6%144 W · 69 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 65c | 155.58$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.58 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 14c | 129.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 16c | 114$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Under | 50c | 112.36$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.18 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe08c…e03cbacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -11.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9381…9ae2backed Over | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 38c | 55.15$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Under | 28c | 50.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 52c | 48.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.35 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 69c | 40.58$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 276 | 39.5%109 W · 167 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 30c | 35.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +11.0wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +28%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…04e4backed Over | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…bbfabacked Over | 64c | 29.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 51c | 26.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 141 | 53.2%75 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c42…213bbacked Under | 47c | 25.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d6…fa72backed Over | 68c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Henan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Henan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Henan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Henan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Henan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Henan FC (-1.5)Wuhan San Zhen FC won
- Spread: Henan FC (-2.5)Wuhan San Zhen FC won
- Spread: Wuhan San Zhen FC (-1.5)Henan FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.