Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Henan FC (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe24a1355a4b469ef1068653be03b0f70d725bb51c7779a2b91fa06cd919b6113
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wuhan San Zhen FCof Henan FC, Wuhan San Zhen FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,951
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,951 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Henan FC | 18c | 15,044$2,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,707.98 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Wuhan San Zhen FC | 42c | 429.32$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.5 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Henan FC | 64c | 427.74$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.75 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 75c | 199.59$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.59 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Henan FC | 25c | 115.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x087f…2ebfbacked Henan FC | 19c | 98.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9b…2be5backed Henan FC | 18c | 75.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Henan FC | 27c | 59.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc96f…2ab8backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 75c | 21.73$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 72c | 19.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25fa…bdd0backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Henan FC (-2.5)this page
- Henan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Henan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Henan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Henan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Henan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Henan FC (-1.5)Wuhan San Zhen FC won
- Spread: Wuhan San Zhen FC (-1.5)Henan FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.