TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Spread: Tulsa Golden Hurricane (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tulsa Golden Hurricaneof Tulsa Golden Hurricane, Wichita State Shockers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$29,469

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,469 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7b47…d615backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane52c9,945$5,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,793.974051.5%381 W · 359 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane54c6,532$3,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,004.5936944.2%163 W · 206 L-19.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Wichita State Shockers48c5,440$2,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,610.655,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Wichita State Shockers47c4,790$2,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,266.775,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Wichita State Shockers49c2,824$1,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,387.7523243.5%101 W · 131 L-15.7wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Wichita State Shockers46c1,938$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891.481145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb51…d2f5backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane51c1,137$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.535556.4%31 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Wichita State Shockers40c992.3$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.8746246.5%215 W · 247 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Wichita State Shockers47c856.3$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.2319958.3%116 W · 83 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Wichita State Shockers47c806.84$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.1925145.8%115 W · 136 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane51c575$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.96636.4%24 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane51c285.48$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.9663551.5%327 W · 308 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane51c272.11$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.333953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Wichita State Shockers47c260.19$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.0921342.3%90 W · 123 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b70…3102backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane54c242.82$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.479256.5%52 W · 40 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Wichita State Shockers49c205.77$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.646459.4%38 W · 26 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Wichita State Shockers49c203.62$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.133537.1%13 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane50c202.44$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.2215850%79 W · 79 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane51c198.25$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.159347.3%44 W · 49 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Wichita State Shockers46c193.95$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.2279448.9%388 W · 406 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane54c184.37$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.2416253.1%86 W · 76 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c06…bbeebacked Wichita State Shockers47c149.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.51225%3 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-33.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane55c138.59$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.526251.6%32 W · 30 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Wichita State Shockers45c120$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5416147.2%76 W · 85 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2841…3c5abacked Wichita State Shockers49c113.6$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.944334.9%15 W · 28 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-23.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Wichita State Shockers45c112.31$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.547045.7%32 W · 38 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane50c99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.550548.9%247 W · 258 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…cd69backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane55c90$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Wichita State Shockers48c89.21$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8230152.8%159 W · 142 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Wichita State Shockers46c80.74$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.292,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Wichita State Shockers26c77.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2814728.6%42 W · 105 L-0.7wins0.00per pick29cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Wichita State Shockers49c65.42$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.859045.6%41 W · 49 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane55c63.09$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.397460.8%45 W · 29 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Wichita State Shockers45c60.49$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Wichita State Shockers50c58.52$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2622047.7%105 W · 115 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x810d…6080backed Wichita State Shockers46c53.88$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.783447.1%16 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91ff…edfdbacked Wichita State Shockers46c45.14$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.771942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Wichita State Shockers47c44.2$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7864647.5%307 W · 339 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eac…8008backed Wichita State Shockers24c41.67$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick26cpaid-59.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a90…700bbacked Wichita State Shockers50c41.12$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5670%0 W · 7 L-3.3wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Wichita State Shockers49c40.81$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8882…c67dbacked Wichita State Shockers47c40.24$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.912450%12 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane54c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.462753%332 W · 295 L+13.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b1f…4eebbacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane53c39.98$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7913147.3%62 W · 69 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e13…b909backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane50c39.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.951662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+20.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane55c39.65$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.842254.5%12 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d63…242abacked Wichita State Shockers47c39.18$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Wichita State Shockers50c35.69$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8417551.4%90 W · 85 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9209…b4d5backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane51c34.51$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.791656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd708…b9d2backed Wichita State Shockers57c31.34$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.851631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.9wins-0.24per pick56cpaid-51.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.771655.3%396 W · 320 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Wichita State Shockers48c28.88$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9469350.4%349 W · 344 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5957…6437backed Wichita State Shockers46c27.94$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.85650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a67…0b8abacked Wichita State Shockers48c25.3$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.144537.8%17 W · 28 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Wichita State Shockers49c24.9$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1919848%95 W · 103 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x699c…5dc1backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane49c24.78$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.642065%13 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane52c24.75$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8816650%83 W · 83 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe964…6519backed Wichita State Shockers49c24.48$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2714…9898backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane54c21.81$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Wichita State Shockers49c20.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1111456.1%64 W · 50 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane52c20.19$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.697561.3%46 W · 29 L+6.4wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd454…b47fbacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021850.9%111 W · 107 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.