South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-03-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23d22c2a85a996f2ea8d03f9381880d5d3f1ea4428cf6f88d168ddd87f00edc4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $237,423
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $237,423 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 50c | 40,379$20,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,279.19 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 47c | 30,854$14,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,497.66 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 49c | 30,000$14,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,339.21 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 53c | 26,133$13,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,896.72 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 51c | 14,351$7,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,981.2 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 48c | 13,132$6,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,865.69 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 37c | 9,257$3,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,416.1 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 53c | 8,449$4,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,471.59 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 42c | 8,104$3,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,434.99 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 51c | 5,222$2,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,663.17 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 54c | 5,009$2,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,682.34 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,079.99 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed No | 53c | 3,500$1,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,865 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +39%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Yes | 47c | 3,140$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,663.97 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | -12.7wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked No | 2c | 3,065$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.37 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 3cpaid | +962.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 46c | 2,964$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.81 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 50c | 2,690$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343.53 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x800b…152abacked Yes | 44c | 1,393$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.12 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 51c | 1,237$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.74 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 39c | 1,119$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.26 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Yes | 20c | 1,111$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.13 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 57c | 997.45$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.49 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa78b…d26dbacked No | 51c | 973.99$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.95 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 38c | 903.6$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.42 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 80c | 792.43$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.05 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked No | 53c | 699.99$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.99 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 52c | 644.26$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.79 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed No | 51c | 615.5$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.9 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Yes | 52c | 566.43$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.89 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed No | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 49c | 504.99$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.41 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 48c | 482.82$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.58 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed No | 58c | 420.37$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.81 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 47c | 407.72$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.11 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf18…179abacked Yes | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 56c | 400$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 55c | 374.42$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.82 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 51c | 356.99$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.06 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 39c | 341.38$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.91 | 120 | 65%78 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…d370backed No | 54c | 331.67$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc8…47d0backed Yes | 45c | 324.87$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.19 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 53c | 317.99$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.53 | 213 | 59.6%127 W · 86 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…d550backed Yes | 65c | 309.18$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc644…1546backed Yes | 49c | 307.13$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 53c | 283.01$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed No | 54c | 277.79$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.01 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +12.3wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed No | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed No | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…b93dbacked No | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 57c | 265$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.73 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 53c | 246.35$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.79 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 52c | 212$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.24 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a67…be3ebacked Yes | 48c | 206.25$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 48c | 198$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.25 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 53c | 195.92$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.84 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 53c | 189$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.3 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3454…333bbacked Yes | 48c | 182.95$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.13 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…cca3backed No | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 55c | 180.18$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.1 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 57c | 179.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.79 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 53c | 179.58$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.23 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked No | 57c | 173.75$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec38…ca10backed Yes | 45c | 170$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 51c | 161$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.89 | 175 | 42.3%74 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 50c | 155$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.49 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Yes | 44c | 154.09$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.41 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -41%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x862a…d26bbacked No | 54c | 141.6$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.46 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 55c | 141.16$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.82 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2b3abacked Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…108dbacked No | 55c | 136.36$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…8052backed No | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed No | 55c | 118.22$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.02 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed No | 53c | 117.51$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.28 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…c67dbacked No | 39c | 111.86$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.9 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 44c | 111.82$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.53 | 88 | 29.5%26 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 54c | 111.02$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.52 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe2…5981backed No | 54c | 107.35$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.97 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…79afbacked Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Yes | 19c | 105.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.82 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Yes | 46c | 100.23$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.12 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed No | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9901…6adbbacked Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…6cecbacked Yes | 62c | 95$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac5c…f766backed Yes | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Yes | 47c | 90$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed No | 51c | 89.45$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.62 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 54c | 88.54$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.39 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed Yes | 43c | 87$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.59 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 45c | 86.14$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.76 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 56c | 79.41$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.15 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…e187backed Yes | 57c | 76.44$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.84 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 37c | 75.39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x843e…e477backed No | 56c | 74.08$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.65 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a3…bce8backed No | 54c | 73$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.42 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 54c | 72.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.57 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ec…40edbacked Yes | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88e4…e2afbacked No | 56c | 68.31$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-03-21?this page
- Will CF Monterrey vs. CD Guadalajara end in a draw?No won
- Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-03-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.