South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-03-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5681e37f194f2943d8d2c92a7e5425410d0cfba903565a59e6626988cadfe020
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,719
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,719 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa41a…2e2bbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 72c | 3,221$2,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.06 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd57d…80d0backed Yes | 29c | 2,052$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.68 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 29c | 1,588$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.54 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 18c | 1,245$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.78 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 778.57$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.51 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 80c | 646.13$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.43 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 28c | 580$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.4 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 74c | 380.97$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.8 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 27c | 336.35$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.95 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed Yes | 29c | 304.76$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.38 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 71c | 250$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 29c | 176.59$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.21 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 23c | 163$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.06 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 72c | 162.33$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.05 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 23c | 155$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.32 | 175 | 42.3%74 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 73c | 138$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.38 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 72c | 129$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.12 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea9…469bbacked Yes | 26c | 127.8$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 13c | 118.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x31f7…eca9backed Yes | 28c | 84.79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 80c | 69.53$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.93 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 19c | 54.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 27c | 49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8911…5ffabacked Yes | 25c | 46.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed Yes | 29c | 44.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed No | 72c | 34.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed No | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 73c | 27.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 72c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 213 | 59.6%127 W · 86 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69bd…af6ebacked No | 75c | 18.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.69 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 71cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 67c | 15.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.24 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefd3…83d5backed No | 76c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-03-21?this page
- Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-03-21?Yes won
- Will CF Monterrey vs. CD Guadalajara end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.