Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x493c88fbbadd54de3f1d3c6c364e86597e29c80af1e28e90bf76100307f31c57
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Illinois Fighting Illiniof Illinois Fighting Illini, VCU Rams
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $325,568
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $325,568 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 55c | 45,061$24,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,277.36 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed VCU Rams | 45c | 33,300$14,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,985 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked VCU Rams | 46c | 19,640$9,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,093.17 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 57c | 17,350$9,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,423.12 | 334 | 38.9%130 W · 204 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 53c | 13,504$7,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,346.72 | 155 | 56.1%87 W · 68 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed VCU Rams | 32c | 10,798$3,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,474.01 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed VCU Rams | 47c | 10,481$4,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,911.45 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 51c | 9,221$4,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,558.67 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked VCU Rams | 47c | 8,451$3,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,971.88 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x561e…2093backed VCU Rams | 45c | 8,076$3,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,634.38 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…ae9dbacked VCU Rams | 47c | 6,875$3,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,213.61 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 55c | 6,811$3,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,088.79 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked VCU Rams | 46c | 6,428$2,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,987.11 | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 53c | 6,214$3,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,920.69 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d6…d65fbacked VCU Rams | 49c | 6,140$3,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,021.4 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked VCU Rams | 45c | 5,907$2,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,662.96 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 49c | 4,978$2,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,529.91 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5748…3c7bbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 52c | 4,956$2,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,379.03 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed VCU Rams | 48c | 3,848$1,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,836.34 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a7…0af9backed VCU Rams | 45c | 3,600$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked VCU Rams | 43c | 3,333$1,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,433.19 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c83…cf0abacked VCU Rams | 47c | 3,300$1,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.25 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 55c | 2,729$1,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.86 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked VCU Rams | 45c | 2,644$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.61 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77d4…3983backed VCU Rams | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.99 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked VCU Rams | 45c | 2,183$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.2 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked VCU Rams | 42c | 2,100$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.29 | 104 | 29.8%31 W · 73 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd817…ac33backed VCU Rams | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd5…f2cfbacked VCU Rams | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 70c | 1,871$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.27 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed VCU Rams | 53c | 1,777$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.23 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed VCU Rams | 36c | 1,671$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.52 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 48c | 1,500$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 45c | 1,469$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.77 | 462 | 46.5%215 W · 247 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x694d…c5a4backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 57c | 1,418$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed VCU Rams | 49c | 1,382$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.03 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 51c | 1,321$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.38 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed VCU Rams | 43c | 1,299$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.15 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 52c | 1,137$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.31 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed VCU Rams | 45c | 1,090$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.71 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa59…75ecbacked VCU Rams | 47c | 1,077$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.19 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed VCU Rams | 45c | 1,010$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.51 | 185 | 56.8%105 W · 80 L | +14.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71af…c057backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf295…508fbacked VCU Rams | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec4…b8e5backed VCU Rams | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 53c | 932.48$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.26 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed VCU Rams | 44c | 919.87$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.74 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 56c | 856.37$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.8 | 143 | 25.9%37 W · 106 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…e313backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 58c | 854.72$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.98 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +5.3wins | +0.31per pick | 51cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 52c | 799.77$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.89 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed VCU Rams | 47c | 798.22$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.16 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 50c | 795.98$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.88 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed VCU Rams | 50c | 751.82$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.21 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked VCU Rams | 46c | 700$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bda…4282backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 58c | 683.78$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.19 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebfd…dd70backed VCU Rams | 46c | 608.44$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.93 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5aa…5bd7backed VCU Rams | 60c | 599.56$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.98 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 58c | 598.3$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.29 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 53c | 561.1$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.72 | 222 | 50%111 W · 111 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ba…b283backed VCU Rams | 48c | 537.44$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.97 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed VCU Rams | 50c | 481.12$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.56 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 56c | 470.71$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.11 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…fb90backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 54c | 429.57$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.6 | 127 | 49.6%63 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked VCU Rams | 53c | 429$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.56 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed VCU Rams | 47c | 421.82$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.26 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 49c | 404.43$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.26 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 51c | 399.99$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.99 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed VCU Rams | 47c | 396.51$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.36 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9385…2484backed VCU Rams | 45c | 390.32$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.65 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 51c | 325.45$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.36 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ac…8fc5backed VCU Rams | 46c | 323.25$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.7 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked VCU Rams | 32c | 321.51$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.43 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked VCU Rams | 47c | 316.37$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.69 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe74a…f1bfbacked VCU Rams | 48c | 273.71$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.38 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 53c | 261.85$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.07 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked VCU Rams | 7c | 222.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 318 | 37.7%120 W · 198 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed VCU Rams | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed VCU Rams | 53c | 212.5$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.33 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 52c | 199.04$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.51 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9386…cfe5backed VCU Rams | 47c | 198.26$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.18 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 52c | 195$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 57c | 173.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.6 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked VCU Rams | 40c | 164.82$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.12 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67e3…e5b3backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 56c | 158.62$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.79 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7afa…5394backed VCU Rams | 49c | 141.61$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.39 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…bc03backed VCU Rams | 48c | 140.52$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.79 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81fa…c4d6backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 54c | 129.36$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.97 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed VCU Rams | 31c | 124.52$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.18 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161b…e1fdbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 56c | 118.61$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.19 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 55c | 118.18$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.18 | 211 | 49.3%104 W · 107 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed VCU Rams | 53c | 117.43$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.77 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…2687backed VCU Rams | 47c | 105.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…fa78backed VCU Rams | 48c | 99.13$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.58 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…5401backed VCU Rams | 48c | 98.92$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.14 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x514e…a604backed VCU Rams | 46c | 96.16$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.23 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…c448backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 55c | 90.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.55 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed VCU Rams | 36c | 89.27$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.71 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed VCU Rams | 43c | 89.18$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.91 | 528 | 43.6%230 W · 298 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70cb…f527backed VCU Rams | 49c | 89.01$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.62 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-10.5)this page
- Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-11.5)Illinois Fighting Illini won
- Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-12.5)Illinois Fighting Illini won
- VCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting IlliniIllinois Fighting Illini won
- VCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 136.5Under won
- VCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 145.5Under won
- VCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 149.5Under won
- VCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 150.5Under won
- VCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 151.5Under won
- VCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 153.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.