TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

VCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 151.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$215,879

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $215,879 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2537…bff9backed Under49c75,737$37,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,374.9544452.7%234 W · 210 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c2b…2575backed Over51c30,000$15,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,30060949.8%303 W · 306 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Over48c19,926$9,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,564.6189645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Under52c19,899$10,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,551.523756.8%21 W · 16 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+22.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over48c19,012$9,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,176.132,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Over48c8,833$4,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,240.048145.7%37 W · 44 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa59…75ecbacked Over51c8,062$4,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,093.9314346.9%67 W · 76 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over51c6,922$3,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,530.1823149.8%115 W · 116 L+14.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+38.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Under50c5,719$2,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,859.7310745.8%49 W · 58 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca6…73e3backed Over48c5,000$2,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,408.338946.1%41 W · 48 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d6…d65fbacked Over50c4,843$2,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,441.355639.3%22 W · 34 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb5a4…5780backed Over46c4,140$1,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,904.35742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under52c4,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,92027947.3%132 W · 147 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd817…ac33backed Over50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0008444%37 W · 47 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over50c3,985$1,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,992.412445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under52c3,334$1,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,600.3215858.2%92 W · 66 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Over48c2,644$1,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,275.713554.3%19 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+23.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4a9…4d64backed Under49c2,555$1,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,303.017231.9%23 W · 49 L-7.6wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-29.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x295e…218abacked Over51c2,500$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,275616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick51cpaid-66.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbee0…aa9fbacked Over49c2,136$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040.097643.4%33 W · 43 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Over51c2,105$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,071.4318048.9%88 W · 92 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb5…a518backed Under53c2,063$1,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$978.37714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.37per pick52cpaid-72.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc1f7…c4e5backed Over51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02013343.6%58 W · 75 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6797…42fbbacked Under49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0202356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x42d0…77e2backed Under49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0203751.4%19 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b1e…6738backed Under49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0205054%27 W · 23 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe74a…f1bfbacked Under49c1,900$931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9692544%11 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77d4…3983backed Under49c1,500$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7655341.5%22 W · 31 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under52c1,495$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.5361652.8%325 W · 291 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Over46c1,487$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68442948.5%208 W · 221 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cd5…f2cfbacked Under49c1,351$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.891457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over48c1,315$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.9817643.8%77 W · 99 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over49c1,302$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.1519958.3%116 W · 83 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbd6d…ed0bbacked Over51c1,200$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.952343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c83…cf0abacked Under54c1,100$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50613343.6%58 W · 75 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over48c1,100$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52814447.9%69 W · 75 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe182…b624backed Over51c1,100$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5615552.7%29 W · 26 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Under53c1,090$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.4923754.9%130 W · 107 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x128a…a1b0backed Over49c1,011$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.632250%11 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Under49c1,010$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.118556.8%105 W · 80 L+14.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Under54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46013447%63 W · 71 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeae5…0720backed Under49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5101346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked Over51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5102147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked Under49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51012344.7%55 W · 68 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3486…b78ebacked Over51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5102445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f23…7333backed Over51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5103138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-22.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Under52c991.26$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.8110451%53 W · 51 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa774…005fbacked Over48c938.48$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.475740.4%23 W · 34 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed Over50c900$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.516341.7%68 W · 95 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over49c867.54$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.0918744.9%84 W · 103 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94d8…37e6backed Under49c862.82$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.043554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over49c850.88$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.9311456.1%64 W · 50 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over40c819.91$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.555,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Over51c777.14$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.3463551.5%327 W · 308 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over48c699.99$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.9916147.2%76 W · 85 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x563d…0f60backed Under53c667.55$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.44520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-62%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under52c636.23$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.393,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Over49c594.75$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.4382048.2%395 W · 425 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Under51c518.31$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.9731448.7%153 W · 161 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xce70…0be2backed Under49c435.41$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.063956.4%22 W · 17 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+23.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under52c420$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.691848.9%449 W · 469 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Over50c417$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.53943.6%17 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over49c404.59$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.251,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under50c399.08$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.951,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Over46c396.52$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.42948.3%14 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77ee…cbe9backed Over49c324.07$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.61825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-37.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd84b…0df3backed Over49c305.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.814153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Under49c297.38$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.6616546.7%77 W · 88 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over47c282.08$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.2212,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Under59c273.6$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.173372.7%24 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x768c…dc52backed Over50c267.64$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.821050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over45c245.37$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.4293941.6%391 W · 548 L+25.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea22…0b78backed Over52c223$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over41c222.76$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.661,23444.8%553 W · 681 L-32.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06e1…8b57backed Over50c211.14$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.57560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5de3…2039backed Over52c209.39$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.89475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+19.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87b8…29dcbacked Over49c208.16$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10212147.9%58 W · 63 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec2d…45a8backed Under49c206.95$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.552100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Over49c203.21$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.5730152.8%159 W · 142 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under49c198.25$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.1178052.2%407 W · 373 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5930…012bbacked Under49c197.93$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.95475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+47.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85a7…d9f3backed Under51c194.36$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.247653.9%41 W · 35 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e09…0901backed Over51c190.87$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.933441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under51c189.32$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.7716650%83 W · 83 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Under53c187.03$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.911,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Under53c187.03$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.9183350.2%418 W · 415 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb5c…ae4ebacked Under52c184.9$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.75475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick55cpaid+43.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over50c184.37$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.191,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70ac…8811backed Under49c184.15$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.914100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+103.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x811e…9b75backed Over52c183.59$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.47250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78cc…65a4backed Over52c182.13$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.71540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over49c181.76$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.1862451.1%319 W · 305 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56d6…0a12backed Under49c179.8$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.7540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ae1…d271backed Over49c174.9$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.7520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-60.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8df…e13ebacked Under49c170.58$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd63…42d8backed Over49c170.38$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.48366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+27.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81da…2b1abacked Under49c166.28$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.8683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick51cpaid+64.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x206c…4f34backed Under52c165.48$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.43475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+51.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x28a7…119bbacked Over52c163.47$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x062d…039bbacked Over52c162.02$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.2530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.