Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
VCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 150.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41f885dbd144ded625e536058251139c66b1f9904a28fa17631cfc80d7b4e20c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $161,517
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,517 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 67,226$32,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,251.72 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Over | 51c | 39,650$20,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,221.57 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 51c | 29,737$15,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,165.67 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Over | 51c | 20,362$10,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,384.56 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…9742backed Under | 49c | 15,000$7,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,649.92 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Under | 50c | 5,279$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,639.7 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | -15.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 51c | 4,859$2,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,478.12 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 4,345$2,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,172.42 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 51c | 3,983$2,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,031.09 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 52c | 3,449$1,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,793.28 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 50c | 2,725$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.09 | 462 | 46.5%215 W · 247 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 49c | 2,308$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.39 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Over | 51c | 1,944$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.36 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 48c | 1,879$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.57 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Under | 49c | 1,010$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.1 | 185 | 56.8%105 W · 80 L | +14.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec4…b8e5backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 50c | 759.98$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.99 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 33c | 740.18$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.5 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 50c | 711.96$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.32 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…aa15backed Over | 52c | 611.91$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.2 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbc…8a18backed Over | 52c | 611.61$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.04 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Over | 51c | 591.78$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.81 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Over | 51c | 564.67$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.98 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over | 52c | 551.68$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.86 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Over | 52c | 495.63$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.73 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4c…c962backed Under | 72c | 400$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Over | 51c | 396.5$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.22 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Over | 51c | 388.87$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.32 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 71c | 365.51$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.33 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 46c | 363.57$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.35 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…6dddbacked Over | 51c | 313.24$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.75 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Over | 52c | 307.29$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.79 | 301 | 52.8%159 W · 142 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb781…9ba9backed Over | 52c | 297.38$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.64 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Over | 51c | 297.38$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.66 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Over | 51c | 277.54$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.55 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 52c | 246.64$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.63 | 172 | 58.7%101 W · 71 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Over | 51c | 238.93$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.85 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3a2ebacked Over | 51c | 219.61$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Over | 51c | 219.08$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.13 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +9.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc8…47d0backed Over | 52c | 198.25$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.95 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Over | 51c | 194.36$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed Over | 51c | 194.34$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.12 | 79 | 62%49 W · 30 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Over | 52c | 190.94$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Over | 50c | 172$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec38…ca10backed Over | 50c | 172$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed Over | 51c | 170.5$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.95 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb81f…2fd6backed Over | 52c | 154.64$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.41 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 52c | 151.66$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.86 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…c865backed Over | 52c | 144.88$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…c3b9backed Over | 52c | 134.02$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.35 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x695c…85ddbacked Over | 51c | 101.73$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.88 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…4f43backed Over | 50c | 99.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Under | 51c | 99.04$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x514e…a604backed Under | 50c | 98.13$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.07 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfab0…e0f5backed Over | 52c | 92.93$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.32 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Over | 50c | 80.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.15 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Over | 51c | 80.08$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.84 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Over | 17c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…3bc3backed Under | 50c | 79.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.65 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…39e2backed Over | 52c | 77.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.21 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Over | 36c | 68.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 174 | 46.6%81 W · 93 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9094…dcabbacked Over | 51c | 67.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…ab3dbacked Over | 52c | 63.44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa028…0031backed Over | 52c | 62.14$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 51c | 54.42$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8a…8775backed Under | 76c | 52.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 27c | 49.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e24…b31fbacked Over | 51c | 48.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x409b…21e8backed Over | 52c | 42.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72f0…e92bbacked Over | 52c | 41.07$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Over | 51c | 39.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…62cbbacked Over | 52c | 39.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb92b…cc3fbacked Over | 52c | 39.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2225…1838backed Over | 51c | 38.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf815…a557backed Over | 51c | 38.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Over | 51c | 34.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 226 | 56.2%127 W · 99 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…87eabacked Over | 51c | 34.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Over | 52c | 32.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +7.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 50c | 28.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 330 | 58.2%192 W · 138 L | +24.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed Over | 52c | 27.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +6.8wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x30ab…f338backed Over | 51c | 25.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d63…0b78backed Over | 53c | 25.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88e4…e2afbacked Over | 52c | 25.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Under | 53c | 24.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 334 | 45.5%152 W · 182 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…2a41backed Over | 52c | 23.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b01…a4cbbacked Over | 48c | 22.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- VCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 150.5this page
- Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-10.5)Illinois Fighting Illini won
- Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-11.5)Illinois Fighting Illini won
- Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-12.5)Illinois Fighting Illini won
- VCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting IlliniIllinois Fighting Illini won
- VCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 136.5Under won
- VCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 145.5Under won
- VCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 149.5Under won
- VCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 151.5Under won
- VCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 153.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.