TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0b01…a4cb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
37
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: La Liga, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 53 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT2334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-9.5)backed Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$37.61
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 156.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.89
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
VCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 149.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.25
VCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 150.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.69
Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs: O/U 146.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.86
Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-1.5)backed Gonzaga Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.69
Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs: O/U 142.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.94
Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-2.5)backed Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$15.98
Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs: O/U 143.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.19
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Houston Cougars: O/U 148.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Spread: Houston Cougars (-24.5)backed Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$18.23
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 139.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.35
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-12.5)backed Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$13.39
Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 150.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.1
Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 145.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+194%+$20.01
Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-6.5)backed Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.71
Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.45
Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-7.5)backed Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$18.29
Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 146.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.34
Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 151.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.17
Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 141.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$13.39
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Saint Louis Billikens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.3
All 23 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$21.25
Spurs vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.48
All 3 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paychex (PAYX) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.3
Will PDD Holdings (PDD) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$46.38
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.83
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.48
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+354.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$51.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$22.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jets vs. Penguinsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Sam Patterson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.09
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.