Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs: O/U 146.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa20340191eb3a90e2ecf9b9cbaa8b0fec9faf4c7fcc96d6058cfbb9133b1ed6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,539
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,539 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 52c | 11,912$6,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,194.42 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 49c | 7,815$3,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,819.06 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 53c | 5,845$3,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,096.25 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 47c | 4,975$2,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,623.47 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 4,389$2,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,282.94 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,119.98 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 50c | 3,044$1,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,531.86 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 47c | 3,024$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,602.74 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…37e6backed Under | 48c | 3,005$1,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,572.6 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 50c | 2,824$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408.24 | 462 | 46.5%215 W · 247 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 47c | 2,496$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.94 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Over | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca6…73e3backed Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked Over | 52c | 1,357$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.68 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Under | 48c | 1,322$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.45 | 163 | 41.7%68 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa59…75ecbacked Under | 47c | 1,318$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.32 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 52c | 1,146$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.52 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked Over | 52c | 1,100$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c83…cf0abacked Under | 47c | 1,089$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.03 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 1,064$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.56 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 46c | 899.57$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.81 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf12e…7939backed Under | 48c | 677.94$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.53 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ba…b283backed Under | 48c | 527.68$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.39 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4059…3371backed Over | 51c | 518.89$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.63 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d6…245ebacked Over | 53c | 480$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x743a…ddcdbacked Over | 52c | 445$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.4 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Under | 48c | 417.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.92 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Over | 53c | 406.8$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.6 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x733b…0268backed Under | 48c | 366.52$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.59 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked Under | 48c | 366.52$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.59 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…b78ebacked Under | 48c | 366.52$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.59 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Under | 48c | 322.02$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.45 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe610…044dbacked Over | 52c | 243.13$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Under | 48c | 230.41$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.81 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Over | 37c | 202$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.95 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 52c | 193$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.36 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9615…8c8fbacked Under | 49c | 185.82$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02ff…b3ebbacked Over | 52c | 182.13$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 49cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1d…dac4backed Under | 49c | 181.64$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.64 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 53c | 178.08$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.38 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa89d…f314backed Over | 52c | 174.58$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…c158backed Over | 52c | 170.55$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…b77abacked Over | 52c | 163.98$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…ba43backed Under | 49c | 162.12$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c43…5f27backed Over | 52c | 162.06$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dba…1f27backed Under | 49c | 158.57$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.87 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc329…067ebacked Over | 52c | 151.36$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.71 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked Over | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1071…e39ebacked Over | 11c | 149.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdc…3632backed Under | 49c | 146.67$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.8 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 45c | 143.71$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.71 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d20…5b7abacked Under | 49c | 142.47$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3a2ebacked Over | 52c | 140.76$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.19 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ac…914abacked Under | 49c | 130.27$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.44 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x680b…0ca8backed Over | 52c | 123.37$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9352…6220backed Under | 49c | 122.78$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.62 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3a…e16abacked Over | 52c | 102.31$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed Over | 48c | 95$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Over | 53c | 79.3$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.03 | 134 | 47%63 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 50c | 59.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 48c | 57.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Over | 51c | 48.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 48c | 48.57$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 227 | 56.4%128 W · 99 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Over | 49c | 39.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 528 | 43.6%230 W · 298 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa26…564fbacked Over | 52c | 38.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 48c | 37.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 194 | 54.6%106 W · 88 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Under | 48c | 35.11$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.26 | 174 | 46.6%81 W · 93 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0586…cb84backed Under | 47c | 34.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b01…a4cbbacked Over | 49c | 32.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…c396backed Over | 53c | 19.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs: O/U 146.5this page
- Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-1.5)Texas Longhorns won
- Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-2.5)Texas Longhorns won
- Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-5.5)Texas Longhorns won
- Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-6.5)Texas Longhorns won
- Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-8.5)Texas Longhorns won
- Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga BulldogsTexas Longhorns won
- Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs: O/U 140.5Over won
- Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs: O/U 141.5Over won
- Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs: O/U 142.5Under won
- Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs: O/U 143.5Under won
- Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs: O/U 144.5Under won
- Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs: O/U 147.5Under won
- Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs: O/U 149.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.