TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs: O/U 147.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$133,705

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,705 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Over50c50,348$25,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,173.7889645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Under51c14,927$7,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,314.21666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over48c10,452$5,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,056.9725145.8%115 W · 136 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under50c10,063$5,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,023.9812,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under50c8,581$4,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,290.65,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under50c8,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,00090645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under54c6,644$3,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,029.081,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under50c5,628$2,803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,825.192,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Under50c5,194$2,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,595.2423243.5%101 W · 131 L-15.7wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under52c2,878$1,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,388.892,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over48c2,799$1,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,333.6646246.5%215 W · 247 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Over51c1,983$1,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.086342.9%27 W · 36 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under53c1,764$935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.5119958.3%116 W · 83 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under55c1,752$961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.543,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Under65c1,707$1,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.11,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Over50c1,694$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.041,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93a2…5181backed Over41c1,655$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.413141.2%54 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over48c1,524$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.853,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under71c1,293$913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.474,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ea1…f17ebacked Over1c1,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131010%1 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick3cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Over50c991.25$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.631060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+21.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd9c…2a50backed Under51c777.45$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.95250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2ba…b283backed Over49c726$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.742544%11 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under50c705.48$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.741,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over43c651.22$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.011,23444.8%553 W · 681 L-32.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Over50c637.87$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.2731448.7%153 W · 161 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd641…cd4bbacked Under51c583.09$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f19…f012backed Under72c541.73$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.614652.2%24 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Under50c495.63$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.8123754.9%130 W · 107 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over50c402.51$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.635,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under51c388.57$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.439454.6%215 W · 179 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Under57c363.19$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.834831.3%15 W · 33 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-34%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Over49c363$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.8710443.3%45 W · 59 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Over49c363$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.8718048.9%88 W · 92 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe74a…f1bfbacked Over49c363$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.872544%11 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd817…ac33backed Over49c363$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.878444%37 W · 47 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Over47c341.3$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.9352843.6%230 W · 298 L-19.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed Over49c321.69$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.6316341.7%68 W · 95 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeae5…0720backed Over49c321.69$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.631346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under50c289.67$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.8416650%83 W · 83 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Under51c264.33$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.523953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Over50c231.95$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.9825837.6%97 W · 161 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over49c200.31$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.1591848.9%449 W · 469 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8948…76e5backed Over45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-42.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x41f9…84e6backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10020642.7%88 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1379…e6b8backed Under51c198.25$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.141844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87b8…29dcbacked Over50c198.25$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1312147.9%58 W · 63 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Over50c198.25$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.131,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Over50c198.25$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1383350.2%418 W · 415 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3b2…0497backed Over50c198.25$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.13850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Under51c196.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.1763551.5%327 W · 308 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3113…09e7backed Under58c188.04$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.98922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.25per pick47cpaid-60.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over47c176.66$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.4744146.5%205 W · 236 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under50c153.44$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.7227650.7%140 W · 136 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ace…3afdbacked Over41c148.73$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.983151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x83c5…c3ffbacked Under51c145.77$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.433953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Under70c134.78$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5419147.6%91 W · 100 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over43c115.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5732246.6%150 W · 172 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc15…3a2ebacked Under50c110.33$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.164546.7%21 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Under50c108.58$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.2942339.2%166 W · 257 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed Under52c104.08$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.966056.7%34 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under53c101.99$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.943,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d87…4e0dbacked Under50c100.12$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.0611854.2%64 W · 54 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63ae…97c0backed Over39c99.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392516%4 W · 21 L-6.0wins-0.24per pick40cpaid-64.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over49c99.93$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.971,07046.9%502 W · 568 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Under66c99.85$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.9510755.1%59 W · 48 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Over50c99.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7821455.6%119 W · 95 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5235…a0bdbacked Over51c99.13$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.551233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under53c98.54$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.211456.1%64 W · 50 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf60…f8d5backed Under51c97.18$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.628051.3%41 W · 39 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Under62c91.72$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.856457.8%37 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over18c85.28$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5984854.5%462 W · 386 L+32.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b70…3102backed Under51c82.59$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.479256.5%52 W · 40 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa938…3bc3backed Under51c77.75$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.14146.3%19 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Under57c77.62$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.0625246.4%117 W · 135 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b7…6f17backed Under67c74.2$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.59560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed Over50c69.69$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8540849.8%203 W · 205 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf15…bc03backed Under58c60.37$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.315265.4%34 W · 18 L+5.5wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x534c…70f1backed Over49c58.43$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.633441.2%14 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed Under53c56.11$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3718439.1%72 W · 112 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed Under52c53.58$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.677962%49 W · 30 L+7.7wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc03a…d7c4backed Under51c50.07$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.534562.2%28 W · 17 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over50c49.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7478052.2%407 W · 373 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf804…8758backed Over50c49.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.783560%21 W · 14 L+4.1wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+27.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over40c49.17$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4857655%317 W · 259 L+17.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over42c48.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1913445.5%61 W · 73 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick42cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under51c41.38$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2869350.4%349 W · 344 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa00e…73fabacked Over50c39.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8316551.5%85 W · 80 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under50c39.65$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8213356.4%75 W · 58 L+10.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x087f…2ebfbacked Under53c39.04$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.285757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18d3…98e5backed Under51c38.87$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.054100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+104.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8a25…3c70backed Under51c38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.813357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Under69c36.15$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2933445.5%152 W · 182 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed Over50c32.71$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.367553.3%40 W · 35 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e3d…bbfabacked Under57c31.6$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.657558.7%44 W · 31 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x50e0…776ebacked Over51c31.6$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.125038%19 W · 31 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-28.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under51c29.26$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.289154.9%50 W · 41 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fc0…8f18backed Over50c25.77$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8911840.7%48 W · 70 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over50c25.64$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7862451.1%319 W · 305 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.