TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Split: Mili Poljicak vs Felix Gill

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mili Poljicakof Mili Poljicak, Felix Gill
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$93,856

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,856 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Mili Poljicak61c11,032$6,721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,311.377,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1663…36f5backed Felix Gill0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Felix Gill53c7,124$3,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,772.9511,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1574…64c9backed Felix Gill3c6,487$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.2747639.1%186 W · 290 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Mili Poljicak64c3,727$2,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,327.342,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d6f…7135backed Felix Gill28c2,662$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.7315457.1%88 W · 66 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Mili Poljicak38c2,341$899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,441.544,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Felix Gill21c2,287$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.932,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Mili Poljicak75c1,962$1,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.686,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Felix Gill63c1,708$1,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,082.3879855.9%446 W · 352 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4b5…4425backed Mili Poljicak72c1,666$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.614548.9%22 W · 23 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0ce…99f6backed Felix Gill27c1,639$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45017936.9%66 W · 113 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa163…934dbacked Felix Gill32c1,600$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51230715.6%48 W · 259 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+0.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Felix Gill55c1,470$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801.391,13250.3%569 W · 563 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Felix Gill40c1,243$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.823,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Mili Poljicak46c1,050$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.169,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Mili Poljicak72c1,034$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.582,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8a0…92dfbacked Felix Gill63c1,026$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.9429637.5%111 W · 185 L-15.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x26f2…4c29backed Felix Gill18c999.99$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1758326.5%22 W · 61 L+8.0wins+0.10per pick17cpaid+72.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa9a3…f319backed Mili Poljicak50c977.5$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.986240.3%25 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Felix Gill26c937.33$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.1630131.9%96 W · 205 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Mili Poljicak40c737.98$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.443,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Mili Poljicak39c707.42$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.351,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x864f…ebe6backed Mili Poljicak72c694.44$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.443663.9%23 W · 13 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Felix Gill32c620.75$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.24,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Mili Poljicak38c599.99$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.9946932%150 W · 319 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Mili Poljicak72c547.77$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.771,07660.4%650 W · 426 L+24.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34f6…eab4backed Felix Gill37c540.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Felix Gill27c501.48$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.532,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0a1…8d1cbacked Felix Gill26c499.99$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-51%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Felix Gill48c495$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.6750644.9%227 W · 279 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c32…d322backed Mili Poljicak41c487.8$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.812066.7%80 W · 40 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Mili Poljicak38c461.58$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.437,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a4d…71c6backed Mili Poljicak75c400.27$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.277859%46 W · 32 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f10…c927backed Felix Gill15c399.98$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5810543.8%46 W · 59 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9416…98cfbacked Felix Gill26c399.97$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.9914536.6%53 W · 92 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Mili Poljicak38c379.98$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.5910242.2%43 W · 59 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Felix Gill55c362.67$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.4732050%160 W · 160 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Felix Gill58c352$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.162,22945%1,002 W · 1,227 L+3.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x423c…25d5backed Felix Gill18c348.16$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.6610317.5%18 W · 85 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d8c…35b0backed Felix Gill61c327.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022465.2%146 W · 78 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Felix Gill62c322.58$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004751.1%24 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Felix Gill48c311.58$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.3348652.1%253 W · 233 L-1.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Mili Poljicak38c299.99$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.991,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Mili Poljicak38c292.19$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.239745.4%44 W · 53 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd8c…f75abacked Mili Poljicak74c270.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.5132763.9%209 W · 118 L+15.6wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Felix Gill59c269.31$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.411,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x347a…83e3backed Felix Gill9c267.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2531339.9%125 W · 188 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf927…2663backed Mili Poljicak39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.413447.1%16 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x464c…4632backed Felix Gill49c232.49$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.237237.5%27 W · 45 L+0.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59db…2e36backed Felix Gill58c211.66$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.9714772.8%107 W · 40 L+19.7wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+22.3%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Felix Gill55c202.62$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.4439955.4%221 W · 178 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Mili Poljicak40c199.99$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.9986835.4%307 W · 561 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed Felix Gill55c191.64$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.424460.7%148 W · 96 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Mili Poljicak35c191.5$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.488951.7%46 W · 43 L+8.4wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+14.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Mili Poljicak77c190.04$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.7175748.6%368 W · 389 L+16.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e9f…5403backed Felix Gill56c184.86$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.137350.7%37 W · 36 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Felix Gill56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Mili Poljicak36c177.65$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.71,72948.9%845 W · 884 L+53.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2274…988ebacked Felix Gill28c173.86$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.982040%8 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-42.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ee9…1362backed Mili Poljicak53c172.92$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.1572542.6%309 W · 416 L-20.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Felix Gill60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10057349.6%284 W · 289 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Felix Gill28c166$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6773745.2%333 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x288a…768abacked Felix Gill60c165.75$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004259.5%25 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0676…f0f0backed Felix Gill61c164.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020552.7%108 W · 97 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5056…e270backed Felix Gill53c161.96$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.925761.4%35 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x817c…fb78backed Felix Gill50c161.17$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.312157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4738…4687backed Felix Gill62c161.11$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10037351.2%191 W · 182 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Felix Gill62c160$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.21,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x150c…add3backed Felix Gill62c145.16$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9020670.4%145 W · 61 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Felix Gill46c144$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.2496844.4%430 W · 538 L-1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Mili Poljicak41c138.97$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.991,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Mili Poljicak38c134.36$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.31,58847%746 W · 842 L-24.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Mili Poljicak78c129.15$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.822,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6832…8ba4backed Felix Gill57c123.11$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.982142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-25.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5af1…f988backed Mili Poljicak39c122.21$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.997945.6%36 W · 43 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe44c…f15cbacked Mili Poljicak76c120.58$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4813748.9%67 W · 70 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Felix Gill59c119.64$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x866a…de80backed Felix Gill19c119$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2313113.7%18 W · 113 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-28.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda74…1ab0backed Mili Poljicak56c116.45$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.4594549.6%469 W · 476 L-23.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Mili Poljicak65c113.37$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.76,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Felix Gill58c113$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.5496755.3%535 W · 432 L+3.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x033a…586dbacked Felix Gill63c111.11$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709565.3%62 W · 33 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Mili Poljicak40c111.08$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.567,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked Mili Poljicak40c111$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.654434.2%186 W · 358 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8504…ea7dbacked Felix Gill55c106.09$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.852259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mili Poljicak51c105.8$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.067,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4880…5626backed Felix Gill55c101.98$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.0924460.2%147 W · 97 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Mili Poljicak42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581,21233.1%401 W · 811 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Mili Poljicak39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6130452%158 W · 146 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb4b…5166backed Felix Gill11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c06…bbeebacked Mili Poljicak37c99.99$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.57146.5%33 W · 38 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe52e…ac6dbacked Mili Poljicak41c95.56$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3817051.8%88 W · 82 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+33.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Felix Gill23c95.05$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.273,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xd499…7d5bbacked Felix Gill55c91.26$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014555.2%80 W · 65 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc1c…425abacked Felix Gill54c90.01$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc54c…6a13backed Mili Poljicak78c88.26$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3314355.9%80 W · 63 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Felix Gill57c85.54$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7615248.7%74 W · 78 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Mili Poljicak65c82.86$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Felix Gill60c76.69$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.0153058.1%308 W · 222 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.