Asian League · resolved market
Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-03-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad1934167a5a118bef3b06a795b62e4fb5066c79e1deb06f2f341b559a3cc31c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,750
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,750 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 48c | 2,350$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.45 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 31c | 1,548$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.71 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 53c | 1,063$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.05 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 45c | 1,021$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.94 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 46c | 527.53$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.53 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked No | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 53c | 398.44$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.67 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 69c | 318.8$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.14 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed No | 16c | 220.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed No | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a6…7971backed Yes | 61c | 164.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.43 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69e4…9bacbacked Yes | 61c | 115.94$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 33c | 112$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.04 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 57c | 90$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd790…a24ebacked Yes | 30c | 86.73$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.71 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6598…5f36backed Yes | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Yes | 55c | 73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.09 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8efb…c73ebacked No | 42c | 69.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 45c | 66.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…1e75backed Yes | 54c | 57.31$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.18 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 30c | 57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked No | 70c | 54.29$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.97 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed No | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 52c | 42.71$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.66 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…c67dbacked Yes | 41c | 42.27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.05 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 51c | 35.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 35c | 35.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x680d…98b8backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…642dbacked No | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb358…2723backed No | 69c | 32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 150 | 68%102 W · 48 L | +16.7wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9d63…242abacked Yes | 51c | 21.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +128.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 60c | 16.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 70c | 15.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-03-22?this page
- Will Kawasaki Frontale vs. Yokohama F·Marinos end in a draw?No won
- Will Kawasaki Frontale win on 2026-03-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.