Asian League · resolved market
Will Kawasaki Frontale win on 2026-03-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0efce6c9ae17e427155d3783f20ca5918a8543c0bd42a8eb13767b91b2abf655
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,706
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,706 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 9,369$7,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,934.91 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 19c | 7,118$1,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344.58 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 21c | 1,928$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.69 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 59c | 545.86$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.88 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 43c | 404.29$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.11 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Yes | 38c | 285.2$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.71 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efb…c73ebacked Yes | 10c | 246.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Yes | 28c | 170$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.82 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 55c | 155.24$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.04 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 79c | 148.42$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.56 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x862a…d26bbacked Yes | 47c | 132.2$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.13 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Yes | 42c | 95.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.71 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…22b8backed Yes | 45c | 91.69$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.26 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa9…5da8backed Yes | 33c | 90.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 18c | 86.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 45c | 81.2$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.54 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 42c | 77.72$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.56 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 47c | 70.4$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.09 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 79c | 69.06$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 141 | 53.2%75 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 19c | 55.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 20c | 55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Yes | 46c | 54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea4b…0256backed Yes | 44c | 52.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed No | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8c…35b0backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Yes | 46c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Yes | 46c | 42.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 74c | 37.06$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…642dbacked Yes | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1c…0e0cbacked No | 54c | 25.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 47c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kawasaki Frontale win on 2026-03-22?this page
- Will Kawasaki Frontale vs. Yokohama F·Marinos end in a draw?No won
- Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-03-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.