TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Spread: Auburn Tigers (-13.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Seattle Redhawksof Auburn Tigers, Seattle Redhawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,923

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,923 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7b47…d615backed Auburn Tigers50c29,875$14,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,937.774051.5%381 W · 359 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Seattle Redhawks50c13,817$6,909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,908.7219950.3%100 W · 99 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Seattle Redhawks49c9,270$4,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,681.792,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Redhawks36c5,058$1,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,252.95,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Seattle Redhawks52c2,420$1,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,164.9825145.8%115 W · 136 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Seattle Redhawks46c2,112$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,131.81,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Seattle Redhawks50c1,976$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9881,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Auburn Tigers50c1,641$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.4812,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Auburn Tigers50c1,489$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.645,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Auburn Tigers48c1,273$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.0431837.7%120 W · 198 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x714d…6e05backed Auburn Tigers54c1,027$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.793043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d66…22d1backed Auburn Tigers52c991.26$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.467450%37 W · 37 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Seattle Redhawks51c899.77$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.471,23444.8%553 W · 681 L-32.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Seattle Redhawks49c845.04$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.883,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Auburn Tigers53c791.36$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.953,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Seattle Redhawks49c645.41$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.3739454.6%215 W · 179 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Seattle Redhawks52c533.3$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.981,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Seattle Redhawks53c495.64$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.952948.3%14 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e56…8243backed Auburn Tigers53c422.29$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.812540%10 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1f3…e4a1backed Auburn Tigers53c422.29$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.813348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Auburn Tigers37c293.45$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.864,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Seattle Redhawks37c284.26$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.9635338.5%136 W · 217 L-18.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Seattle Redhawks46c218.04$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.742,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Seattle Redhawks49c202.3$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.1733855%186 W · 152 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Seattle Redhawks50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10062451.1%319 W · 305 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf029…3998backed Seattle Redhawks28c200$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1441330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick24cpaid-23.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Auburn Tigers52c198.25$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.0960548.9%296 W · 309 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Seattle Redhawks47c194$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.8291848.9%449 W · 469 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef86…5afcbacked Auburn Tigers53c172.48$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.425959.3%35 W · 24 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb89b…a39dbacked Auburn Tigers53c172.48$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.425457.4%31 W · 23 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Auburn Tigers52c148.69$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.3212254.1%66 W · 56 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Seattle Redhawks37c115.97$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.412,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Seattle Redhawks32c109.42$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.8719958.3%116 W · 83 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2dc8…47d0backed Auburn Tigers53c105.08$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.695644.6%25 W · 31 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Seattle Redhawks50c104.1$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.4929650.7%150 W · 146 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d27…676ebacked Seattle Redhawks49c104.06$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.139441.5%39 W · 55 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf3d…fd74backed Seattle Redhawks42c101.23$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.52142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2442…0c2bbacked Auburn Tigers53c93.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5614051.4%72 W · 68 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Auburn Tigers53c93.18$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3930152.8%159 W · 142 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88a0…f673backed Auburn Tigers53c89.22$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.284454.5%24 W · 20 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08f1…705cbacked Auburn Tigers52c81.28$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.274252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x522d…3913backed Seattle Redhawks40c74.37$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.62366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked Auburn Tigers53c72.36$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.352650%13 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed Seattle Redhawks50c70$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3540849.8%203 W · 205 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Seattle Redhawks34c61.18$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.4564647.5%307 W · 339 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d12…cc43backed Auburn Tigers53c56.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.743554.3%19 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x534c…70f1backed Seattle Redhawks49c55.18$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.273441.2%14 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Auburn Tigers51c54.96$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.046147.5%29 W · 32 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1966…25c0backed Seattle Redhawks49c51.59$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.311729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-38.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Auburn Tigers41c51.25$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8219147.6%91 W · 100 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Auburn Tigers61c50.1$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4119153.9%103 W · 88 L+10.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Auburn Tigers54c49.57$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7732246.6%150 W · 172 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2841…3c5abacked Auburn Tigers49c46.85$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.114334.9%15 W · 28 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-23.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Seattle Redhawks48c41.65$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.664,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e4a…4ce0backed Auburn Tigers53c40.64$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.541650%8 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Seattle Redhawks50c39.65$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8333058.2%192 W · 138 L+24.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed Auburn Tigers53c38.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.496056.7%34 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Auburn Tigers41c37.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.477443.2%32 W · 42 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bcf…06b3backed Seattle Redhawks53c37.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.584548.9%22 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Seattle Redhawks38c32.9$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.271,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x8656…718dbacked Seattle Redhawks37c28.21$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.92100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+106.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e4a…1a5cbacked Auburn Tigers53c28.06$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.872948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf15…bc03backed Seattle Redhawks51c26.78$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.015265.4%34 W · 18 L+5.5wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Auburn Tigers45c26.59$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8933445.5%152 W · 182 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e0b…d6c6backed Seattle Redhawks49c26.32$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.37475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+37.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d63…242abacked Seattle Redhawks39c26.14$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.91450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5101…4a4fbacked Auburn Tigers52c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1322656.2%127 W · 99 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2185…b40cbacked Auburn Tigers52c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134961.2%30 W · 19 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Auburn Tigers52c24.78$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.896654.5%36 W · 30 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x907d…2c9bbacked Auburn Tigers52c24.78$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.892352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Auburn Tigers64c24.77$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8657655%317 W · 259 L+17.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9534…4182backed Seattle Redhawks51c20.9$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.241963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Seattle Redhawks73c20.58$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.5384854.5%462 W · 386 L+32.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Auburn Tigers56c18.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.289725.8%25 W · 72 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Auburn Tigers63c17.21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8660551.4%311 W · 294 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.