TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Split: Alexander Vasilev vs George Loffhagen

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Alexander Vasilevof Alexander Vasilev, George Loffhagen
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$116,273

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,273 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1624…bf63backed George Loffhagen3c12,594$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.761,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed George Loffhagen11c2,380$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.586,79236.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked George Loffhagen17c2,344$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.3811,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dca…72a5backed George Loffhagen67c2,239$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.9820847.1%98 W · 110 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1da3…2f94backed George Loffhagen52c2,120$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10016743.7%73 W · 94 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked George Loffhagen30c1,862$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.472,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Alexander Vasilev59c1,800$1,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.256,65250.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L+263.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Alexander Vasilev33c1,515$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,016.153,88435%1,358 W · 2,526 L+92.8wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x33c6…6daabacked George Loffhagen1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15160%0 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa10e…4ea1backed Alexander Vasilev31c1,448$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996.38331.3%26 W · 57 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed George Loffhagen39c1,242$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.823,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ff2…01b9backed Alexander Vasilev33c1,231$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.592356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed George Loffhagen1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10821.2%1 W · 81 L0.0wins0.00per pick1cpaid+22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbcc…5ae5backed Alexander Vasilev69c948.45$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.071782.4%14 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick69cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked George Loffhagen27c942.43$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.92,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Alexander Vasilev30c874.35$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.2930530.8%94 W · 211 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Alexander Vasilev29c800$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5682,22945%1,002 W · 1,227 L+3.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde89…bc4bbacked George Loffhagen2c780.13$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.36425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-58%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0f2…a822backed George Loffhagen66c754.97$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.2811158.6%65 W · 46 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8df8…59ddbacked Alexander Vasilev36c708.02$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.0424438.9%95 W · 149 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Alexander Vasilev43c696.35$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.627,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed George Loffhagen70c687.94$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.031,98046.2%915 W · 1,065 L-1.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b54…db07backed George Loffhagen41c686.16$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2796850%34 W · 34 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed George Loffhagen23c598.9$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.828,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61e0…4b62backed George Loffhagen54c552.64$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006869.1%47 W · 21 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed George Loffhagen55c518.47$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.444,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed George Loffhagen25c503.77$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.416,84048.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L+58.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda22…6d2abacked George Loffhagen23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035344.8%158 W · 195 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe1e…7ee3backed George Loffhagen64c425$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.023050%15 W · 15 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-22.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed George Loffhagen70c415.89$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2901,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed George Loffhagen51c409.4$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21085568.3%584 W · 271 L+24.6wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Alexander Vasilev28c343.4$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.2558639.6%232 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Alexander Vasilev29c318.07$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.687,18349.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L+112.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed George Loffhagen67c316.51$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.4419241.1%79 W · 113 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked George Loffhagen69c300$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20718943.4%82 W · 107 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x423c…25d5backed George Loffhagen10c280$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2810317.5%18 W · 85 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Alexander Vasilev23c278.23$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.911,38116.4%227 W · 1,154 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0bfe…5c6cbacked Alexander Vasilev33c276.47$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.471353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed George Loffhagen76c236.17$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.752,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x482c…4da1backed Alexander Vasilev34c226.49$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.2217447.7%83 W · 91 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed George Loffhagen64c217$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.8898055.4%543 W · 437 L+3.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed George Loffhagen27c196.01$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5267836%244 W · 434 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Alexander Vasilev30c190$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13310242.2%43 W · 59 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe44c…f15cbacked Alexander Vasilev36c183.87$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.7913748.9%67 W · 70 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2439…3ed7backed George Loffhagen68c176.52$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12012954.3%70 W · 59 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ace…3afdbacked Alexander Vasilev34c176.47$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.4712152.1%63 W · 58 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd571…d24abacked George Loffhagen29c172.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020643.2%89 W · 117 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked George Loffhagen19c171.76$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.347,96850.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L+92.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba49…e8acbacked George Loffhagen7c169.3$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.417038.6%27 W · 43 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6617…dfb9backed George Loffhagen72c164.57$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.4924249.2%119 W · 123 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Alexander Vasilev30c160.38$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.679745.4%44 W · 53 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06e1…8b57backed Alexander Vasilev34c155.91$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.264461.4%27 W · 17 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+24.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Alexander Vasilev30c149.99$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.141,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Alexander Vasilev28c145.45$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.721,10752.8%585 W · 522 L+2.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Alexander Vasilev29c145.01$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.961,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58f2…692ebacked George Loffhagen69c145$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0553457.7%308 W · 226 L-0.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed George Loffhagen70c140$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed George Loffhagen33c135.31$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.283,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xd425…603ebacked Alexander Vasilev38c135.11$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.774751.1%24 W · 23 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-14.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Alexander Vasilev31c129.03$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.0332649.1%160 W · 166 L-18.4wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d59…2b49backed George Loffhagen68c128$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.72334.8%8 W · 15 L-4.9wins-0.21per pick56cpaid-42.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf9a7…207cbacked George Loffhagen25c118.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-52.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x62bd…3dfbbacked Alexander Vasilev35c110.17$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.612142.9%9 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+36.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed George Loffhagen45c109.11$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1357252.3%299 W · 273 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed George Loffhagen43c104.82$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8762534.4%215 W · 410 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Alexander Vasilev34c103.68$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.432,44051.7%1,261 W · 1,179 L+9.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Alexander Vasilev63c101.54$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.8295846.6%446 W · 512 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Alexander Vasilev31c100$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6924547.8%117 W · 128 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91c0…e4ccbacked George Loffhagen39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3951539.8%205 W · 310 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Alexander Vasilev31c100$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6930452%158 W · 146 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Alexander Vasilev31c95.01$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.5659440.2%239 W · 355 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed George Loffhagen32c93$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.972,13556%1,195 W · 940 L+41.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked George Loffhagen68c90.95$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.71,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Alexander Vasilev30c90$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.9226941.3%111 W · 158 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Alexander Vasilev36c90$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.6535040.9%143 W · 207 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Alexander Vasilev34c88.87$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.876443.8%28 W · 36 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed Alexander Vasilev24c82.96$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.3257267.3%385 W · 187 L+33.5wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc798…a8e9backed Alexander Vasilev30c77.84$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.4953544.1%236 W · 299 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9483…804ebacked George Loffhagen26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015514.2%22 W · 133 L-27.4wins-0.18per pick32cpaid-70.4%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x9d63…242abacked George Loffhagen29c74.46$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.952060%12 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5af1…f988backed Alexander Vasilev32c72.82$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.527945.6%36 W · 43 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa262…c8babacked George Loffhagen70c71.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504259.5%25 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8882…c67dbacked George Loffhagen40c67.04$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.155054%27 W · 23 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x077f…b971backed Alexander Vasilev33c65$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.551553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+30.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x610b…36a3backed Alexander Vasilev33c60.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.6154844.5%244 W · 304 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked Alexander Vasilev33c60$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.232842.7%140 W · 188 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Alexander Vasilev29c60$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.637342.6%159 W · 214 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Alexander Vasilev29c60$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.699044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd77…ef21backed George Loffhagen60c57.17$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4365264.1%418 W · 234 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8027…cf81backed Alexander Vasilev33c56.91$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.3230853.6%165 W · 143 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd499…7d5bbacked George Loffhagen47c53.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2514555.2%80 W · 65 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ee1…bd81backed Alexander Vasilev33c53.18$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.63650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf25…636dbacked Alexander Vasilev78c51.28$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.284443.2%19 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+19.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53c5…cb95backed Alexander Vasilev53c50.9$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9224244.6%108 W · 134 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed George Loffhagen72c50$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367546.7%35 W · 40 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf16…9c6fbacked George Loffhagen62c45$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.14551.1%23 W · 22 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e41…b875backed George Loffhagen67c44.85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3071165.1%463 W · 248 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee05…d6ccbacked Alexander Vasilev33c42.43$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.432152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+20.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa9…5da8backed George Loffhagen73c41.16$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f65…c1d0backed Alexander Vasilev32c40$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.230349.8%151 W · 152 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.