MLB · resolved market
Cardinals vs. Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95376ec965b7be817144fd697679434fdf77cc99fda85ec80e51e824bcef7652
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cardinalsof Cardinals, Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $297,047
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $300,362
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $297,047 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Cardinals | 35c | 76,532$26,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,745.92 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Giants | 65c | 35,000$22,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,750 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Giants | 30c | 22,378$6,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,779.69 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Giants | 65c | 20,000$13,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,000 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Cardinals | 51c | 19,139$9,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,289.35 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4992…6f5cbacked Cardinals | 79c | 16,416$12,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,447.75 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Giants | 65c | 13,378$8,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,679.96 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Giants | 64c | 8,191$5,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,242.14 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Giants | 65c | 6,568$4,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,242.04 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Giants | 12c | 5,670$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.32 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cardinals | 16c | 5,533$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,647.63 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Giants | 65c | 5,153$3,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,325 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ca…9bf2backed Cardinals | 36c | 5,010$1,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,206.4 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7784…5b6dbacked Giants | 17c | 5,000$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Cardinals | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,249.96 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Cardinals | 40c | 4,756$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,856.15 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Giants | 65c | 4,665$3,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,032.15 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Giants | 65c | 3,922$2,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,549.05 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cardinals | 7c | 3,516$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,270.74 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd61c…5953backed Giants | 64c | 3,300$2,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,111.96 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Cardinals | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.99 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Giants | 64c | 2,900$1,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,856 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbb…374abacked Giants | 21c | 2,747$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Cardinals | 18c | 2,540$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,085.58 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Cardinals | 23c | 2,457$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,891.77 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cardinals | 31c | 2,323$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,610.96 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Giants | 31c | 2,284$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.88 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cardinals | 18c | 2,281$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860.96 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Giants | 64c | 1,989$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272.86 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd323…9e96backed Giants | 65c | 1,817$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.39 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Giants | 41c | 1,500$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.58 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Giants | 1c | 1,391$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Giants | 65c | 1,386$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6a…9f0dbacked Cardinals | 32c | 1,322$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Giants | 64c | 1,171$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.44 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Cardinals | 36c | 1,111$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.12 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Cardinals | 6c | 1,087$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.41 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68ce…d06dbacked Giants | 65c | 1,074$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Giants | 50c | 1,033$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.08 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Cardinals | 36c | 999.97$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.98 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Cardinals | 35c | 760.99$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.65 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6349…bc60backed Cardinals | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.29 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +103.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Cardinals | 67c | 698.64$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.15 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Giants | 3c | 677$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Cardinals | 34c | 640$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.2 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Giants | 72c | 619.58$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.6 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cardinals | 37c | 600$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…56f2backed Cardinals | 35c | 595$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.75 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Giants | 44c | 552.41$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.63 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Giants | 39c | 526.14$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 181 | 55.8%101 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Cardinals | 35c | 504$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.6 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Cardinals | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.45 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Cardinals | 14c | 500$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Cardinals | 16c | 446.26$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.35 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Cardinals | 36c | 384$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.76 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Giants | 64c | 372.99$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.72 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Cardinals | 14c | 364.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.64 | 105 | 27.6%29 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Giants | 63c | 356.23$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.79 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81d6…bec9backed Cardinals | 36c | 333.33$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.33 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Cardinals | 30c | 319.93$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.81 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7774…15d4backed Cardinals | 68c | 314.97$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.77 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d74…2759backed Cardinals | 28c | 300.28$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.18 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Cardinals | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Giants | 64c | 300$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 148 | 63.5%94 W · 54 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…1dbdbacked Giants | 65c | 300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Giants | 21c | 296.4$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.93 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…ba93backed Giants | 65c | 280$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Giants | 50c | 268$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.11 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Giants | 66c | 263.65$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.53 | 331 | 37.5%124 W · 207 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Cardinals | 37c | 223$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.49 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…7485backed Cardinals | 36c | 222.22$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.22 | 543 | 52.3%284 W · 259 L | +27.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…fc7bbacked Cardinals | 5c | 215.45$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.22 | 102 | 2.9%3 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Giants | 65c | 215.38$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ce…316ebacked Cardinals | 23c | 215.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.25 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Cardinals | 17c | 214.23$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.77 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Cardinals | 21c | 206.16$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.52 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Giants | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…6137backed Giants | 65c | 187.12$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.16 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x386d…9bb6backed Cardinals | 35c | 155$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.75 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Giants | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Giants | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…c62dbacked Cardinals | 66c | 150.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.89 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8868…ec0dbacked Giants | 14c | 149.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Giants | 64c | 141.59$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.59 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6722…278cbacked Cardinals | 14c | 141.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.4 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa6…b062backed Cardinals | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a8…8466backed Giants | 64c | 138$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.32 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5be…46cebacked Cardinals | 14c | 136.83$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.41 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2efa…6a09backed Giants | 55c | 116.77$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +4.3wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Cardinals | 14c | 110$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.17 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac1…5f0fbacked Cardinals | 37c | 105$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.45 | 342 | 57.6%197 W · 145 L | +25.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Cardinals | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Cardinals | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Cardinals | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 159 | 44%70 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6360…c981backed Cardinals | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 252 | 55.6%140 W · 112 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked Giants | 27c | 97.57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Giants | 70c | 97.14$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Giants | 14c | 88.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Cardinals | 23c | 86.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.39 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe88c…2f53backed Cardinals | 37c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 258 | 57%147 W · 111 L | +14.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.