TailMyPicks

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College Football · resolved market

Purdue Boilermakers vs. Northwestern

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Northwesternof Purdue Boilermakers, Northwestern
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$134,360
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$139,745

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,360 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2129…4222backed Purdue Boilermakers21c22,706$4,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,693.5485947.7%410 W · 449 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed88…f3c4backed Northwestern60c20,524$12,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,209.5612549.6%62 W · 63 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Northwestern70c18,929$13,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,734.0868440.8%279 W · 405 L-10.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Purdue Boilermakers13c14,067$1,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,888.4886243.7%377 W · 485 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Purdue Boilermakers40c10,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00039954.1%216 W · 183 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x96e1…50aabacked Northwestern68c8,952$6,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,832.314055%22 W · 18 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+7.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Purdue Boilermakers40c8,779$3,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,511.715539.4%61 W · 94 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Northwestern76c6,500$4,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,584.6362843.6%274 W · 354 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb2f…eca9backed Purdue Boilermakers39c6,260$2,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,468.299540%38 W · 57 L-6.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Purdue Boilermakers10c5,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015451.9%80 W · 74 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066e…ceb2backed Northwestern66c3,634$2,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,220.776030%18 W · 42 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed Purdue Boilermakers29c3,190$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9209048.9%44 W · 46 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Purdue Boilermakers40c2,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.9919120.9%40 W · 151 L+0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Northwestern60c2,450$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9807448.6%36 W · 38 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Purdue Boilermakers42c2,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84038450.5%194 W · 190 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Purdue Boilermakers39c1,502$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.638142.5%162 W · 219 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Northwestern66c1,376$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.046855.9%38 W · 30 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Purdue Boilermakers40c1,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011540%46 W · 69 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6722…278cbacked Purdue Boilermakers1c1,191$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8820%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Northwestern57c1,129$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.9275651.9%392 W · 364 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Purdue Boilermakers43c1,106$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.5881847.9%392 W · 426 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Northwestern60c1,070$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.2950358.1%292 W · 211 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8a8…a48ebacked Northwestern60c1,043$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.28236.6%30 W · 52 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ff…e7f5backed Purdue Boilermakers41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4101233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Purdue Boilermakers6c1,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603423.5%8 W · 26 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick14cpaid+40.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeefb…c552backed Northwestern60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4001040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44a0…c3b9backed Purdue Boilermakers33c900$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29711735.9%42 W · 75 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Purdue Boilermakers40c840$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33620450.5%103 W · 101 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa177…6e84backed Northwestern60c831.43$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.431855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+32.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Northwestern59c815.43$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.3337749.6%187 W · 190 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Purdue Boilermakers40c635$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2541,09041.7%455 W · 635 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bc7…e411backed Northwestern60c606$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.45754.4%31 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked Northwestern58c600$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25217954.2%97 W · 82 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Northwestern73c571.26$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.7655350.3%278 W · 275 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0cd…b74cbacked Purdue Boilermakers5c420.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.125819.8%51 W · 207 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-26%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd40…73a2backed Purdue Boilermakers23c399.95$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.9911221.4%24 W · 88 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2343…6f72backed Purdue Boilermakers40c382.5$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1531050%5 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Purdue Boilermakers42c300$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12649443.7%216 W · 278 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8480…293ebacked Northwestern58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1264961.2%30 W · 19 L+5.4wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+11%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Northwestern60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.7520757.5%119 W · 88 L+13.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa52e…e2c4backed Northwestern58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1263762.2%23 W · 14 L+5.0wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+18.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1114…d59abacked Purdue Boilermakers40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Northwestern60c241.67$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.6730253%160 W · 142 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed Purdue Boilermakers40c199.99$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805729.8%17 W · 40 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Purdue Boilermakers20c191.63$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2116044.4%71 W · 89 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Northwestern60c170$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6813253.8%71 W · 61 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2fce…ae92backed Purdue Boilermakers15c166.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252025%5 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Purdue Boilermakers39c133$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.8725629.3%75 W · 181 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Northwestern61c131.31$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.2139847.7%190 W · 208 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Purdue Boilermakers40c124.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5056844.5%253 W · 315 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fbc…3099backed Purdue Boilermakers41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016839.9%67 W · 101 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dc4…63febacked Northwestern61c103.25$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d21…d7cdbacked Purdue Boilermakers40c102.33$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Northwestern59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4113149.6%65 W · 66 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9334…32dabacked Northwestern60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4018868.1%128 W · 60 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick69cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65d3…d153backed Purdue Boilermakers40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-41.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x279b…04f5backed Purdue Boilermakers39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.4wins-0.24per pick46cpaid-42.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Purdue Boilermakers34c99.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3447331.5%149 W · 324 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Purdue Boilermakers41c98$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5540244.8%180 W · 222 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8c0…be99backed Northwestern60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.336558.5%38 W · 27 L+0.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbf6…513abacked Northwestern58c71.23$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.9214355.2%79 W · 64 L+12.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xacf9…6cd8backed Purdue Boilermakers41c65.37$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.82832.1%9 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x831a…d532backed Purdue Boilermakers21c59.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.62352.2%12 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.15per pick37cpaid+43.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb6cc…18cebacked Northwestern77c51.95$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.955156.9%29 W · 22 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Northwestern59c49.98$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4924157.3%138 W · 103 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1bb…c285backed Purdue Boilermakers29c49.15$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.184656.5%26 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cc4…8eacbacked Purdue Boilermakers41c49$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.091520%3 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-40.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd774…82cdbacked Purdue Boilermakers41c48.76$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9916050%80 W · 80 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe530…a2cabacked Purdue Boilermakers43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209752.6%51 W · 46 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed Purdue Boilermakers40c43$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.221629.2%63 W · 153 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Purdue Boilermakers39c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.617634.7%61 W · 115 L+11.6wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x42ed…d13dbacked Northwestern63c40$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Purdue Boilermakers40c37.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.27per pick45cpaid-62.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3803…ed1fbacked Purdue Boilermakers40c37.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3b…5f76backed Northwestern60c36.67$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.67366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd8…3f15backed Northwestern61c34.43$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.432972.4%21 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b47…8625backed Northwestern61c29.51$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.51475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+52.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb8a…7ed3backed Purdue Boilermakers40c27.5$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Purdue Boilermakers40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1018858%109 W · 79 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68c4…1305backed Northwestern60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfca9…cb3dbacked Purdue Boilermakers40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104327.9%12 W · 31 L-7.1wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-46%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x5425…8b3abacked Northwestern63c19.06$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74360.5%26 W · 17 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.